MLB Picks

The home of free expert MLB picks every day of the 2024 MLB season. The bumper 162-game season returns in 2024, seeing a total of 2,340 regular season games played, plus the MLB Postseason. Get free MLB expert picks on all of the top MLB games today, right through to the MLB World Series.

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Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers
MIL
Today
SNY
NYM
New York Mets
New York Mets
Money Line Pick
MIL Brewers WinMIL Brewers @ NY Mets

The MLB Opening Day game between the Brewers and Mets was postponed on Thursday, but fans can now gear up for this exciting matchup on Friday. The Brewers are coming off a dominant season in 2023, clinching the NL Central title with an impressive record of 92-70, while the Mets struggled, finishing fourth in the NL East with a record of 75-87. Heading into the 2024 season, the Brewers face some changes. They traded away Corbin Burnes, a key pitcher who contributed to their success in 2023, to the Baltimore Orioles. Additionally, Devin Williams will be sidelined as he recovers from a back injury. On the other hand, the Mets saw their pitching rotation undergo significant changes — losing Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer midseason — that have left uncertainties for their pitching staff.

Both teams boast potent lineups. The Mets feature Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso and J.D Martinez, while the Brewers counter with Christian Yelich, Willy Adames and William Contreras, all of whom had solid performances in 2023. However, both starting pitchers — Jose Quintana for the Mets and Freddy Peralta for the Brewers — struggled in spring training. Despite the offensive firepower on both sides, the Brewers hold the advantage with Freddy Peralta on the mound. With the Mets facing uncertainties in their pitching staff, the Brewers are poised to capitalize in their first game of the season.

Brewers ML (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Sportsbook
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$38.52
Jason Fragomeni
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
ATL
Today
Bally Sports South
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
Game Totals Pick
Under 7.5ATL Braves @ PHI Phillies

The Atlanta Braves again won the National League East crown in 2022 and 2023, but the Philadelphia Phillies have become their playoff nemesis — eliminating them in both seasons. Now the teams meet for their first series of 2024 with their respective aces taking the hill.  Zack Wheeler showed out as the sport’s most dominant pitcher last postseason, and he was lethal in the regular season, as well, for the Phillies. The veteran hurler tossed 192 innings while ranking 4th in xERA, 6th in FIP, 7th in SIERA and 12th in K/9 among qualified pitchers. Wheeler is already elite but has added a splitter over the offseason. The early returns were positive in exhibition play and I am looking forward to seeing his new offering in action against what was a historic 2023 Atlanta offense. His spring numbers weren’t bad, either, with only 2 earned runs surrendered across 14.1 frames.

Spencer Strider also had an elite season in 2023, ranking 3rd in xERA, 2nd in FIP and 1st in both SIERA and K/9. His ERA was higher than most would expect when considering his strong peripheral numbers, but there is reason to believe he will find more success this year. He has succeeded so far in his career with mainly his 4-seam fastball and slider, but the offseason focus for Strider was developing his changeup and adding a new curveball. That curveball was tunneling extremely well with his 4-seamer in spring training and could unlock a whole new level to his game. His 17.2 IP in exhibition play yielded 26 strikeouts, while he allowed just 2 earned runs. Given this is opening day for both clubs, both bullpens are entirely rested and we should expect to see the premier relievers in the event of a close ballgame. I lean toward the under in this matchup.

Under 7.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to -120.

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$36.39
Javan Shouey
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
TOR
Today
BSSUN
TB
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays
Money Line Pick
TOR Blue Jays WinTOR Blue Jays @ TB Rays

The opener could not have gone better for the Blue Jays. Not only did they win, but they also slugged 3 homers — including shots from 1B Vlad Guerrero Jr. and OF George Springer, a couple of bats they need to get off to a good start. Starter Jose Berrios was very solid and the bullpen was not overly taxed, which is key because their best high leverage guys are currently hurt. Obviously the opposite was true for the Rays. It is just 1 loss, of course, but concerning if the lineup is not going to produce — because the pitching does not look at solid as it did last year. The only positive is that is took a little while to get to starter Zach Eflin. 1B Yandy Diaz had 3 hits, including a homer, as he looks to prove last season was no fluke. 

For G2, the Rays are tabbing Aaron Civale. They picked up the veteran last season from Cleveland and like so many Rays hurlers he was much more effective with his new team. His 2.34 ERA with Tampa was impressive. Chris Bassitt of the Jays is no slouch, either. You might not have realized it, but his 16 wins were tied for tops in the AL — better than Cy Young winner Gerrit Cole. Bassitt has always been a hidden gem and is looking to build on his best season. 

I am not sure you can really get momentum from just a single game, but if you can the Jays have it, and they needed it, too. They are starting the season with 3 straight series on the road, all against expected playoff teams. They are slight underdogs for G2 but I would have priced this one at -110 on both sides, so they are the team to back. There is value there. 

Blue Jays ML at +110 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Sportsbook
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Payout
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$42.00
Matt Wiesenfeld
New York Yankees
New York Yankees
NYY
Today
ATV
HOU
Houston Astros
Houston Astros
Money Line Pick
NY Yankees WinNY Yankees @ HOU Astros

It’s the second game of an intense four-game series between the New York Yankees and the Houston Astros. Yesterday, the Yankees faced a sluggish start at the plate, squandering opportunities with the bases loaded in both the second and fourth innings. Most Yankee fans probably started to think this was the 2023 season all over again when they couldn’t score runs, but in the fifth inning, Juan Soto changed that by ripping a single to right field, narrowing the gap to within three runs. Then, in the sixth inning, Oswaldo Cabrera’s solo blast leveled the game at four apiece.

Nestor Cortes had a shaky start, giving up four runs in the first two innings, but he regrouped impressively, delivering five solid innings before handing over the reins to the bullpen, which shut down the Astros without allowing any further runs. Today, Carlos Rodon steps up to the mound for the Yankees. In the 2023 season, he struggled, posting a 3-8 record with a 6.85 ERA, but in spring training, he showed improvement with a 2-1 record and a 4.19 ERA.

Cristian Javier will be taking the mound for the Astros, who had a solid spring training with a 3-1 record and a 3.72 ERA. Last year, Javier faced the Yankees twice, with a 0-1 record, giving up 6 runs in 10.2 innings. On the other hand, Rodon faced the Astros twice, earning a 1-0 record but giving up 7 runs in 7.2 innings. Despite Houston’s solid lineup that has Jose Altuve, Yordan Alvarez, Kyle Tucker and Alex Bregman, the Yankees showcased significant improvements in their lineup yesterday.

Look for the Yankees to come out swinging as they strive to take a 2-0 series lead in this pivotal 4-game series against the Astros on their home turf.

Yankees ML at +102 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Sportsbook
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Payout
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$20.20
Jason Fragomeni
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Today
NESN, RSNW
SEA
Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners
Money Line Pick
BOS Red Sox WinBOS Red Sox @ SEA Mariners

The Red Sox took Opening Day in Seattle as underdogs, winning 6-4. I am looking for the Sox to do the same thing on Friday. The short explanation is this: I think Boston is better than we are expecting them to be, and I think Seattle is going to struggle on offense. For the Red Sox, this is a lineup with some dangerous veteran hitters mixed in with some rising youngsters. As long as guys like Trevor Story and Tyler O’Neill stay healthy to go with Rafael Devers, this team can hit. For the Mariners, I have some concerns about this lineup. I’m not sure why you would pitch to Julio Rodriguez when the rest of the lineup is so bland. They have two catchers hitting in the middle of the order, and they have a couple of players that washed out in other places. I don’t like what the Ms are right now on offense. I’m giving the edge to the Boston.

For the Mariners, they are banking on their pitching to carry them. To be sure, George Kirby is an advantage over Nick Pivetta, but it is also the first time through the rotation when guys (and especially valuable young guys) are on a tighter pitch count. The Mariners also have an advantage in the bullpen, but it is generally the case early in the season that hitters are ahead of pitchers anyway, so I am going to side with the better lineup here. I’ll take the plus money with the Red Sox on Friday night.

Boston ML (+135) available at the time of publishing; playable at that number

Sportsbook
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$48.00
Chad Hartsock
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
SF
Today
MLBN
SD
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
Run Line Pick
SD Padres Win -1.5SF Giants @ SD Padres

The Giants dropped their season opener at San Diego. They had a couple of early leads, which is never a good way to start. Michael Conforto had three hits including a homer and they could really use a quality full season out of the outfielder. He has not had one of those since 2019 when he slammed 30+ homers for New York. Ace Logan Webb was solid in the loss. The Padres did more damage against the bullpen. San Diego started their season in Korea so yesterday was already game number three. A strong start is what they really need after a disappointing season. The top of their lineup has been productive so far even though they traded away top hitter Juan Soto. Yu Darvish now has a couple of starts under his belt and has looked great.

Giants lefty Kyle Harrison made his MLB debut last season at 21. This season he is starting the second game of the season. That is a quick progression and the Giants are expecting big things so this game will be a bellwether of how good San Francisco might be this year. Veteran Joe Musgrove is much more established than Harrison. He started against L.A. in Korea and was hit hard though. I am not worried about that single result, but at the same time is not encouraging. 

You have to pay a decent premium to back the Padres on Friday night. Given they are especially built to mash lefties, the run line looks like the better play. Through three games they already have a couple of run line victories too, including yesterday. San Diego, even without Soto, has plenty of offense and I like a better outing from Musgrove then his first one.

San Diego -1.5 available at publishing. 

 

Sportsbook
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$47.20
Matt Wiesenfeld

MLB Video

The biggest theme of MLB picks is ‘opportunity.’ That’s because of the mammoth 162 regular-season games, plus the playoffs, meaning you can have are up to 15 MLB games a day to wager on. With so many games on offer each day, it means if your MLB picks get hot, you can really build up your bankroll quickly. It also means that if you have a not-so-great day at the sportsbook window, you can get right back on the horse the next day instead of dwelling on it for a week as you would with the NFL for example. We have MLB picks on the best games, every day from opening day through to the World Series itself.

What Free MLB Expert Picks Do You Offer On MLB Games Today

There are 2,430 total games in the MLB regular season and our expert MLB picks provide insight and analysis including an MLB Expert Pick for all of the MLB games today, and be sure to head to our MLB Best Bets page for today’s top plays.

MLB Games Today – Today’s MLB Picks

We offer our MLB expert picks throughout the 6-month MLB season with great success. We have you covered with Today’s MLB Picks, available for all of the MLB games today. Our MLB picks cover the marquee matchups as well as the under-the-radar plays away from the spotlights where you often find tremendous value. Pitching matchups, weather, injuries, travel schedule, and many other factors are all taken into account to find the best MLB picks in all of the MLB games today.

2024 MLB Picks

MLB picks provide a real test across such an action-packed and long season. The age-old cliché of it being a marathon and not a sprint is most applicable to MLB picks during the 2,430 game season. 

Our experts spend hours researching and analyzing all of the key information such as statistics, pitchers, team news, weather, travel, and more before making our MLB picks all season long.

With 2,340 regular season games, and an entire MLB postseason to breakdown, the level of detail required for long-term wagering success is huge. That’s where our experts shine, we do the research so you don’t have to, bringing you a full game preview and the best free MLB picks throughout the MLB regular season and post season. 

Free Money Line MLB Picks 

The most popular way to bet on MLB is via the Money line. This means games are basically handicapped based on each of the team’s starting pitchers. “Sure thing” pitchers such as Jacob deGrom, Max Scherzer, and Clayton Kershaw are going to cost you, often requiring a $200 or more wager to make $100 (-200). Finding an even pitching matchup or one of those stud pitchers that may be fatigued and going against them is the best way to make money on the MLB. Our free MLB money line picks help you identify these profitable matchups throughout the baseball season.

MLB Picks Against The Spread – Run Line MLB Picks

The spread in baseball is known as ‘the run line’. Many bettors feel there isn’t as much value laying -200 on an all-star caliber pitcher because even elite pitchers can turn the game over to his bullpen who will subsequently blow the game and cost them the win. Therefore waging on the run line (-1.5 or +1.5) is a great way to find better MLB prices compared to the Money line. A Clayton Kershaw pick on the ML (win outright) for example might be -240 but betting that same game to win by 2 runs or more (run line) could be priced at -120. The MLB run line works in the opposite way too. There are a lot of 1-run games in baseball and betting on a team +1.5 runs is a great way to string together wagering wins if you think teams can keep games close.

Free Total Runs MLB Picks

There’s no other sport where the stadiums and the weather are so crucial to the scoring as the MLB. This is why our free MLB picks on the totals see almost as much wagering from the public as each side of the game itself.

The dimensions of the MLB parks are also different and need to be factored in when making your MLB picks. Coors Field for example is located in the high altitude of Denver, Colorado which means it’s not unlikely to see scores similar to 11-8 three or four times a week. Minute Maid Park in Houston for example has a left-field wall that is just 315 feet from home plate compared to AT&T Park in San Francisco that has a right-center field alley of 421 feet.

Weather is a major factor when picking our MLB picks today. The ball travels better on 92 degree Summer days in Arlington, Texas, or when the wind is blowing out to left field at 23 MPH at Wrigley Field in Chicago. So before you head to the window make sure you check the weather report to give your ticket the best chance of cashing, particularly with those MLV Totals picks.

Our experts do all of this research and analysis for you and our accompanying game preview will detail all of the key factors in making our MLB Totals Picks for each game. 

Alternate Free Expert MLB Picks

There are numerous ways to have success with your MLB picks. For example, if you are confident in a team’s starting pitching but have reservations on their bullpen and relievers, sportsbooks offer the first 5 innings lines.

Also if you are really confident in a particular matchup you can bet on alternate run lines or taking a team to win by -2.5 or even -3.5 runs with increasing pay outs. Another fun way to essentially bet on all MLB games today, at once, is with a grand salami wager, in which you’re wagering on the over/under for total runs scored in all games on a given day. There’s plenty of fun to be had on a daily basis with our MLB picks.

Free Baseball Picks Today

Baseball is a notoriously difficult sport to bet on day today. Teams will typically play each other in mini-series over a few days, and it’s common to see the sides split these games. Trying to find out which team is primed on any given day in a league built around parity is no easy task. To make the most informed decision about any matchup or wager requires a lot of time and research ahead of making our MLB baseball picks. Our expert handicappers will consider everything from pitching lineups, bullpen strength, the number of days on the road, player injuries, the stadium, the weather, and a whole host of advanced statistical models before making our baseball picks. With 2,340 regular-season games and up to 15 on any given day, that’s a lot of hours’ worth of research for any one person. That’s where we at Pickswise come to the fore. Our team of baseball, experts do the research for you. All of our baseball picks and free and come with full reasoning, analysis, and a confidence rating. Check out our MLB Best Bets page for our favorite plays today

What Is An MLB Computer Pick 

An MLB computer pick is an unbiased entirely stats-driven MLB pick  on the outcome of particular markets in a given MLB game.

Advanced stats, beyond the hits, runs and strikes, have long been associated with baseball, and the importance of it has grown immensely in recent years with regards to MLB picks and waging. With access to more and more data, we can use this information to find an edge in the MLB markets to bring you the best MLB picks from today’s games.

An MLB computer pick is generated by a supercomputer capable of simulating pre-game probabilities using advanced machine learning techniques by simulating each MLB game over 10,000 times to cater for the large range of outcomes and variables that can occur. It does this by running hundreds of algorithmic variabilities to predict the performance of each player, which is then used to run overall match simulations. This is then compared to the live odds and markets to find the biggest non-biased edges out there.

How To Use And Wager On MLB Computer Picks

There are many ways you can use MLB computer picks, with a wealth of information generated for various markets ahead of today’s MLB slate.

For each MLB game, you’ll find MLB computer picks for the Money line, Run Line, and Run Totals markets. You can also generate individual player projections with strikeouts, runs, & or hits, which are great for finding the edge on MLB player prop bets.

MLB Baseball Consensus Picks

MLB consensus picks are the picks in which the public are leaning and waging on any given MLB game, or market. For example, if 68% of the picks are on the Chicago White Sox money line, over the Detroit Tigers, then they are the consensus money line pick. However if 60% of the picks are on the Tigers ATS, then they are the consensus pick on the spread. The consensus, in short, is a way to gauge where the money is going, this can move lines and odds, so are worth keeping an eye on, at the very least, even if you intend on fading the public.

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