NBA picks for every game of the 2021/22 season. We crunch the numbers, analyze the data, and provide free NBA expert picks each and every day. Check out our NBA Best Bets for our top plays on today’s games.

Point Spread Pick
CHI Bulls Win -5.5CHA Hornets @ CHI Bulls

The Hornets are off an overtime loss to the Rockets. That is not a great look and I do not think it is a coincidence that they gave up so many points (140+) in a game that big man Mason Plumlee missed. Charlotte is one of the worst defensive teams in the league but he at least gives them some presence at the rim. PJ Washington is a much better offensive player and Charlotte might have no other way of beating teams this season than trying to run them into submission. They are second in the NBA in scoring. 

Chicago also lost to the Rockets this past Wednesday and since then has gone 1-1. The Bulls match up well with Charlotte because both teams are heavy on the wings. DeMar DeRozan has been a great fit so far. His 25 ppg is the most since he was back in the Eastern Conference with the Raptors. The Bulls are efficient on offense but play defense, too. They are 7th in the league in points allowed. They can play a few different styles effectively. 

Chicago is favored at home. I think these teams match up well but the Bulls are the better team. They have more high-end talent and better depth. This one should be an entertaining game, especially with the Ball brothers squaring off. DeRozan and Zach LaVine have been very effective in scoring the ball for the Bulls, but this could be a game in which Nikola Vucevic’s presence inside is of great value. Charlotte does not have anyone to really occupy him with Plumlee out. Look for the Bulls to win each quarter by a bucket on the way to cover. Take Chicago.

*Bulls -5.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to -6.5.*

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Game Totals Pick
Over 224.0CHA Hornets @ CHI Bulls

I like Chicago’s offense this season. They are efficient and I expect that efficiency to rise against a poor defense like Charlotte’s. The Hornets are tops in the NBA in scoring and 28th in points allowed. They are going to make it easy for the Bulls to get the shots that they want and that will help speed things up a little. Teams always play a little quicker when the ball is going through the hoop and I will be surprised if both teams don’t score at least 110 points in this game. My only worry is if Chicago pulls away and the benches empty early. Take the over.

*Over 224 available at time of publishing. Playable to 225.*

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$39.00
Matt Wiesenfeld
Point Spread Pick
OKC Thunder Win +2.5OKC Thunder @ HOU Rockets

The Houston Rockets will host the Oklahoma City Thunder following their 146-143 triple-overtime win over the Charlotte Hornets at home on Saturday night. The Rockets played their first game of the season without their first-round pick Jalen Green (hamstring), but Christian Wood dropped a career-high 33 points on 68.4% shooting from the field along with 16 rebounds and 2 blocks in his absence. The Rockets were moving the ball and shooting better than they have all season, totaling 36 assists and hitting 23 of 49 three-point attempts (46.9%). The visiting Thunder are coming off of a 101-99 loss to the Washington Wizards at home on Friday night. OKC enters tonight’s game on a 5-game losing streak and have lost by an average margin of 6.6 ppg in that span. After sitting two games with a right ankle sprain, OKC’s leading scorer Shai Gilgeous-Alexander returned to the lineup against the Wizards and posted a near triple-double with 15 points, 8 rebounds, and 9 assists. 

Tonight’s game will mark the third meeting of a 4-game season series between these two teams who are both 1-1 in the season series. The Rockets are on a 2-game win streak while the Thunder are on a 5-game losing streak, but the Thunder have covered the spread in six straight games. Take the Thunder to continue that streak tonight.

Thunder +2.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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$38.18
Game Totals Pick
Over 215.5OKC Thunder @ HOU Rockets

In their last three games, the Thunder are averaging 101.3 ppg on 41.8% shooting from the field and 33.6% shooting from three while the Rockets are averaging 118.0 ppg on 47.3% shooting from the field and 40.2% shooting from three. Both teams have been scoring more and shooting at a higher percentage as of late, and both teams are also allowing their opponents to score more points per game in recent games. The Thunder and the Rockets are stronger contenders in the Draft Lottery than they are in this year’s playoffs, but neither will admit that they are inferior to the other. Look for both teams to bring out the guns tonight. Take the over in tonight’s match-up.

Over 215.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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$38.18
Robin Hong
Point Spread Pick
WAS Wizards Win -3.0WAS Wizards @ SA Spurs

The Wizards have won their last 2 games on the road and look to keep things rolling at San Antonio. With a deeper team around him, we are seeing a more diverse game for guard Bradley Beal as he leads the team in scoring and assists. The other 4 players who average more than 10ppg are all newcomers. There is a lot to like about this Washington team, which should get better with more time together and improved health in the New Year. 

The Spurs snapped a 6 game losing streak in their last game, beating Boston. Lead guard Dejounte Murray is an emerging player but it is hard to see how San Antonio can win consistently with this group. They do not have any particular strength to lean on and seem to have odd roster construction. Washington is not a bad matchup though as they do not emphasize interior play either. 

San Antonio has been a fade team for me for much of the season. The coach deserves respect for all his past success but with this roster, I just don’t see how they win against teams that are likely to make the playoffs. Washington is favored on the road and I expect a game that is probably close for the first few quarters with the Wizards pulling away late. Beal is a great closer and San Antonio doesn’t have one of those. To cover a small number all it takes is a couple of winning shots late and Washington is the better offensive and defensive team.

Takes Washington (-3 available at publishing. Playable to -4)

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Game Totals Pick
Under 214.5WAS Wizards @ SA Spurs

Washington was a disaster on defense last season. This year, with a new coach, and a lot of new players, they are in the top ten in the NBA in points allowed (9th). With that new focus, they have produced an O/U record of 7-13. They are more careful with the ball on offense also thanks to the switch from Russell Westbrook to Spencer Dinwiddie as the primary ballhandler. Possessions are longer which is another reason those unders are coming in more often. San Antonio is just OK on defense but their offense is in the lower half of the league also. They have gone under in their last game and 3 of their five.  Look for that trend to continue.

Take the Under (214.5 available at publishing. Playable to 213.5)

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$19.09
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$19.09
$19.09
$19.10
Matt Wiesenfeld
Point Spread Pick
GS Warriors Win -2.5GS Warriors @ LA Clippers

Tonight, the Golden State Warriors and the Los Angeles Clippers will face-off at the Staples Center. The Warriors enter play with the best record in the entire league. The Clippers have struggled of late, winning only three of their last seven contests. When these two teams met on October 21, the Warriors emerged victorious by a final score of 115-113.

Golden State is led by the current MVP-frontrunner, Steph Curry. Curry is averaging 28.4 points, 5.8 rebounds, 6.9 assists, and 1.6 steals per game on 41.7 percent shooting from beyond the arc. He has seen surprising contributions from Andrew Wiggins and Jordan Poole early in the campaign, with both players averaging 18.1 points or better through the team’s first 19 games. Draymond Green continues to fill the stat sheet, posting 8.2 points, 8.0 rebounds, and 7.8 assists per game while playing exceptional defense. In the absence of Kawhi Leonard, Paul George has elevated his game to new heights–averaging 25.6 points, 7.6 rebounds, and 5.2 assists per night. Yet, other than Reggie Jackson, this Los Angeles team has a lack of consistent scoring options in the supporting cast. Though eight players are averaging at least 8.8 points per game, only two are averaging more than 10.2 points per game.

Simply, it is foolish for bettors to even consider fading the Warriors right now. Golden State is outscoring their opponents by an absurd 13.5 points per 100 possessions. The Utah Jazz rank second in the NBA with a 9.1 Net Rating, for context. Even on the road, the Warriors are outscoring their opponents by 8.7 points per 100 possessions. This is the best team in basketball priced at a near pick’em. Do not overthink this one.

Warriors (-2.5) available at time of publishing. Playable to Warriors (-3)

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$18.70
Game Totals Pick
Under 214.5GS Warriors @ LA Clippers

When these two teams met during the opening week of the NBA season, their game total resulted in 228 points. However, this final total is not indicative of what bettors should expect this afternoon at the Staples Center. On the season, Golden State ranks second in the NBA in defensive efficiency on the road. Los Angeles ranks second in the NBA in defensive efficiency at home. In Golden State’s last eight games, their game total has gone over 216 points only twice. The Clippers have seen their game total go under the current market price six times in their last seven contests. The under is a strong play in this one.

Under 215.5 available at time of publishing. Under 212.

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$39.05
Nick Galaida
Point Spread Pick
MIL Bucks Win -2.0MIL Bucks @ IND Pacers

This will be the second meeting between these sides this yea after the Bucks picked up a 119-109 road win. Both teams were without key players that game, but Caris LeVert and Jrue Holiday will be available for their respective sides here. The Bucks struggled to contain Malcolm Brogdon in the first game with the guard dropping 25 points. With Holiday back in the lineup, they should be able to slow him down tonight. The Bucks have not allowed an opposing guard to score 20 or more points in any of their previous 6 games. Brogdon himself has not been in great form, having scored more than 20 just once in his last 5 games.

Matchup wise Giannis Antetokounmpo presents the Pacers with plenty of problems since Domantas Sabonis gives up a considerable length advantage to him. Myles Turner on the other hand could struggle to contain him in transition and off the dribble. The former MVP was just an assist shy of a 30-point triple double and should be set to dominate once more tonight. With Brogdon potentially facing a tougher time scoring tonight, the Pacers could have issues keeping pace with the Bucks here. The Bucks are winners of 6 straight games and have scored 114 or more in each of the last 4 contests. If they can achieve that once more here, they will have a great chance of covering.

Bucks -2 available at time of publishing. Playable to Bucks -3.5.

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Game Totals Pick
Over 217.5MIL Bucks @ IND Pacers

The Milwaukee Bucks have been free scoring of late as mentioned earlier. They have been able to do this by being locked in from deep. They are currently second in the league in 3-pointers made per game and 4th in 3-point percentage. The Pacers themselves are 12th in the league in made shots from beyond the arc themselves so should be able to chip in with points.

The Pacers also tend to put their opponents at the free throw line. They currently rank 28th in opponent free throws per game, which should give the Bucks an opportunity to put points on the board with the clock stopped. They also rank 9th in the league in second chance points per game and should be able to pick up easy buckets that way here. Back the over on this one.

Over 217.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to over 219.

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$38.18
Germantas Kneita
Point Spread Pick
TOR Raptors Win -2.5BOS Celtics @ TOR Raptors

Boston is coming off back-to-back losses and is only a game ahead of the Raptors in the standings. The Celtics have injury concerns for Sunday with center Robert Williams III doubtful and wing Josh Richardson questionable. Jaylen Brown has been back for a few games but is questionable. He has not had the same impact he had before his most recent injury; he has not scored even 20 points in the last 3 games since his return. His minutes are down, too, so they seem to be easing him back into things. That puts that much more pressure on “do everything” forward Jayson Tatum. 

Toronto fell apart in the 4th quarter against Indiana to lose on Friday. It was the last game of a 6 game road trip and the Raptors just looked spent. They have been playing without forward OG Anunoby and against Indiana guard Gary Trent Jr. left the game. He is questionable for this game against Boston, as is big man Khem Birch. That is 3 rotation regulars that might not be available. The Raptors really need forward Chris Boucher to find the range; is scoring is down 8 ppg from a year ago.  

Boston and Toronto seem to often play close games, but I was a little surprised that the Raptors were favorites at home in this spot given their recent play and injury absences. Then I noticed that Boston guard Dennis Schroeder has been added to the injury report as out with an ankle injury. With Brown limited (and potentially out), that makes Boston very thin in terms of scoring options. Getting home should help the Raptors get back on track even though they have some injuries too. Their defense might be compromised due to injury but Boston does not have much to attack with other than Tatum. Take Toronto.

*Raptors -2.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to -3.*

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$38.20
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Game Totals Pick
Over 210BOS Celtics @ TOR Raptors

Toronto’s injury absences definitely impact its defense and the same goes for Williams’ absence for the Celtics. In the two games these teams have played against each other this season, we have seen 2 unders. In each contest the losing team failed to score even 90 points. I don’t see that as being the case on Sunday. Neither team has an elite defense and they are missing key defenders on top of that. Look for a game that has better flow than the others have played against each other so far this season. Take the over.

*Over 210 available at time of publishing. Playable to 211.*

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$19.10
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Matt Wiesenfeld
Money Line Pick
SAC Kings WinSAC Kings @ MEM Grizzlies

The Memphis Grizzlies (9-10) will host the Sacramento Kings (8-12) following their 132-100 loss to the Atlanta Hawks at home on Friday night. Ja Morant left the game with a sprained left knee after playing just 18 minutes, and as of right now there is no timetable for his return. The Hawks opened the half with a quick 14-2 run, but it quickly got worse for the Grizzlies as the Hawks soon got up by as much as 40 points in the third quarter while the Grizzlies continued to struggle on both ends of the court. 6’5 shooting guard, John Konchar led the Grizzlies with 17 points on 87.5% shooting from the field along with 5 rebounds and 3 assists, and has been a frequent member of the rotation whenever a member of the Memphis backcourt has been injured. The visiting Kings are coming off of an entertaining 141-137 triple-overtime win over the Los Angeles Lakers on Friday night. The Kings are 2-1 in the Alvin Gentry era and the usage of Marvin Bagley III has been a much needed spark for Sacramento. De’Aaron Fox has been shedding his slow start to the season, averaging 26.0 ppg, 4.3 rpg, and 5.3 apg on 50% shooting from the field in their last three games. 

In their three games under Gentry, the Kings are averaging 120.0 ppg on 46.2% shooting form the field and 30.3% from three, and they will look to close out their mini 2-game road trip 2-0 after their big win in Los Angeles. The Kings should be able to take advantage of the Grizzlies without star guard Ja Morant. Take the Kings to win outright tonight.

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Game Totals Pick
Under 222.5SAC Kings @ MEM Grizzlies

The Kings are coming off a triple-overtime game in which De’Aaron Fox, Tyrese Haliburton, and Buddy Hield each played 53, 47, and 40 minutes respectively, in that game. Yes the Kings are young, but the Grizzlies are a roster filled with reserves who will be looking to take full advantage of Ja Morant’s time off due to injury and will keep the pressure on the young Kings’ backcourt. Sacramento will have to return home to face the Lakers on Tuesday night, and the Lakers will be hungry for revenge. Take the under in what should be a much more controlled game for the Kings under Gentry, and a bit of a struggle for the Grizzlies who are still figuring out lineups and match-ups.

Under 222.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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$38.18
Robin Hong
Point Spread Pick
DET Pistons Win +10.5DET Pistons @ LA Lakers

The game we’ve all been waiting for is finally here. Just a week after their hotly contested matchup in Detroit, the Pistons and Lakers square off in a rematch at Staples Center. The Pistons played there last night and lost against the Clippers 107-96. They did cover the spread, though, as they entered the game as +11.5 underdogs. All eyes will be on tonight’s game, especially on Isaiah Stewart after his encounter with LeBron James in the previous game. It is unknown if LeBron reached out to Stewart and apologized, but I’m sure the NBA will do anything in their power to keep things under control here.

Speaking of keeping things under control, the Lakers have not been able to do so — especially not on the defensive end. They allowed a season high 141 points against the Kings on Friday, in a game in which LeBron James played 50 minutes. I’m just hoping the Lakers don’t rest him here as he has played 93 minutes over his last two games. LA is just 4-9 ATS at home this season and with a 10-11 record rumors are already circulating around Frank Vogel’s job. Some are even saying a loss tonight could seal his fate, but let’s not get too much ahead of ourselves.

Despite being just 2-7 on the road this season, the Pistons have actually done well when it comes to covering the spread. They are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games and have covered in their last 5 in a row vs the Lakers. With the way L.A. has been playing lately, asking it to win this game by 11 points is a bit too much. I’m backing the Pistons to cover.

*Detroit +10.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.*

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Game Totals Pick
Over 216.5DET Pistons @ LA Lakers

Last week when these two played each other we saw 237 points scored between them and that was with LeBron James scoring only 10 points. The Lakers defense is so bad right now; they are allowing 121 points over their last 3 and at home for the season opponents are scoring 113.8 points per game. Detroit is one of the worst offensive teams in the NBA, but you would never guess that if you watched the previous game between these two opponents. They are averaging 117.3 points over their last 3 against the Lakers and 2 of the last 3 meetings have gone over the total. Pistons games vs Western Conference teams have also been productive on the over, with 4 of the last 5 cashing on that bet. L.A.’s home games have gone 5-1 on the O/U in the last 6; I think that trend continues tonight. Let’s back the over.

*Over 216.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.*

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$38.18
Filip Tomic

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NBA picks against the spread are a great way to bet on underdogs too. Let’s say we go against the Golden State Warriors in the above example and we take the points. Our team can lose by 10 points or fewer points and we still win. This is where those ‘meaningless’ half-court shots at the buzzer turn from anguish into elation. They can also cause an upset and win the game outright, or against the spread. 

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