College football Week 12 best bets – Keep fading the Michigan Wolverines
Don’t look now, but the Indiana Hoosiers of all teams are involved in the best matchup of this week’s college football slate. So much for being a basketball school! That being said, they are getting almost three touchdowns against the Ohio State Buckeyes on Saturday. Spreads such as that one are always scary, so Indiana vs. Ohio State is not one of our best bets of the week. But there can be some great value found in in a different Big Ten contest….
Let’s take a look at the best college football bets for Week 12.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights +10.5 vs. Michigan Wolverines
Both teams have lost three in a row, but Michigan’s woes are particularly alarming. The Wolverines coming off consecutive setbacks at the hands of Michigan State, Indiana, and Wisconsin. They have lost their last two by a combined margin of 87-32. Needless to say, head coach Jim Harbaugh’s squad should not be giving double-digit points to really anyone in the FBS–especially not to a Big Ten opponent that is at least respectable. Don’t get carried away by thinking that the Scarlet Knights are good, but they at least won at Michigan State by 11 points and were respectable enough against Indiana and Ohio State. Wide receiver Bo Melton (20 catches, 334 yards, four touchdowns) has been particularly productive. As for Michigan’s offense, quarterback Joe Milton has as many touchdowns as interceptions (four apiece) this season and nobody has rushed for more than 163 total yards this entire season. The Wolverines are 1-5 ATS in their last six overall.f
Auburn Tigers -11 vs. Tennessee Volunteers
Auburn is aiming for a three-game winning streak having recently defeated Ole Miss and LSU–the latter via a 48-11 blowout. In two of the past three outings, the Tigers have produced more than 200 yards both on the ground and through the air. Bo Nix not only passed for 300 yards against LSU but he also led his team in rushing with 81 yards. He has four touchdowns and no interceptions over the past two contests, and mistake-free football is the recipe for the Tigers’ success. That bodes well for their chances against a struggling Tennessee team. The Volunteers are in the midst of a four-game losing streak, throwing away all of their momentum following a 2-0 start. You cannot trust Tennessee to do much of anything in the way of moving the football. The Vols’ three most recent point outputs are seven, 17, and 13. It is unclear if Jarrett Guarantano or Harrison Bailey will get the start under center. Both played against Arkansas and neither was effective. Tennessee is 0-4 ATS in their last four overall.
Everything you need to know about Auburn vs. Tennessee before kick off on Saturday.
— Auburn Football (@AuburnFootball) November 19, 2020
Kansas State Wildcats at Iowa State Cyclones Over 47
This is Kansas State’s fifth straight game with the total lined in the 40s. Iowa State has had its last two line the 40s, as well, and both of those have gone over. Don’t be surprised if that’s the case again on Saturday, as the Cyclones’ offense is clicking with 52 points against Kansas and 38 at Baylor’s expense. Success can mostly be attributed to star running back Breece Hall, who has surpassed the century mark in every single contest this year. Hall leads the nation in rushing at 1,034 yards to go along with 13 touchdowns. On the other side of the ball, it’s unlikely that Iowa State will completely put the clamps down on Kansas State. Even Kansas scored 22 against the Cyclones just a couple of weeks ago and that game was in Ames, too. The Wildcats have a stellar running back of their own in Deuce Vaughn, who is also a receiving threat out of the backfield. He has had receiving performances of 81, 81, and 129 yards in 2020.
Liberty Flames +3.5 at N.C. State Wolfpack
Liberty is one of the best storylines in college football. The Flames have already defeated ACC opponents Syracuse and Virginia Tech (the latter as +17.5 underdogs) and they now face a mediocre N.C. State squad. Although the Flames are finally getting at least some respect (+3.5 underdogs this time around), they still aren’t getting enough! Liberty is coming off a 58-14 win over Western Carolina in which it had 632 yards of offense. Malik Willis continued his fantastic season, throwing for 306 yards and three touchdowns against the Catamounts. He also added 97 yards on the ground with two scores. The Flames are lighting up scoreboards to the tune of 40.5 points per game. N.C. State beat Florida State 38-22 in its most recent outing, but that actually isn’t an encouraging scoreline given how bad the Seminoles have been in 2020. The Wolfpack defense is allowing 33.9 points per game and it does not defend the pass well. Liberty should cover and will probably even win the game outright.
“It’s been a special year” – @coachhughfreeze.
— Liberty Football (@LibertyFootball) November 18, 2020
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