Against The Spread Pick
The Cincinnati Bengals are looking for one of the biggest upsets in Week 1 as they travel to Seattle to take on the Seahawks. This game opened up in favor of Seattle at -8.0, however, it is climbing and climbing. I’m not a fan of big lines, but there is a reason why this line keeps going up and up and will most likely hit double digits come kick-off. Even though the Bengals are looking forward to unleashing Joe Mixon in the wild, he is not going to love seeing new Seahawk Jadeveon Clowney bearing down on him. Also, without AJ Green the Bengals offense has no strong threat and will fail multiple times in this game. Anything can happen in Week 1 and so I’m going to play with caution, especially with the line this large. Wager small on Seattle as they are 14-0 SU and 12-2 ATS in its last 14 September home games. They are also 18-3 SU in their last 21 when hosting an East Coast team.
Over Under Pick
Now, this is the pick where the money truly lays. Instead of going after that large spread, the Over in this game is looking like a diamond in the rough. Of course, Clowney to the Seahawks is a huge addition to the defense, but that is not going to solve all of their problems. Expect Mixon to get some open looks especially early in the game as the Seahawks defense might have to adjust to their original play call. Of course, Seattle have always been the favored team in September as without fail they come out with a bang. Give me the Over here as it has hit in six of Seattle’s last seven games against the Bengals and in eight of Seattle’s last nine games overall. It is also 5-0 in the Bengals last 5 games in September. Over is a STRONG pick here.