NFL week fourteen picks against the spread and straight up for every game this week. Get our free NFL week fourteen expert picks below. Get free NFL picks every week of the season.

Thu, Dec 5th - 8:20pm ET:
Dallas Cowboys @ Chicago Bears

Dallas Cowboys
Chicago Bears
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DAL Cowboys -3.0 Point Spread
+100
Under 43.0 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

Thursday Night Football here as the Chicago Bears host the Dallas Cowboys in a game both teams desperately need to win. While Chicago could technically sneak into the playoffs if they win out, I think it’s very unlikely. They play the Cowboys, Packers, Chiefs, and Vikings in their final four games, and I don’t see any way they win all of them. I think Chicago’s players realize this, and as such I’m not sure how motivated they will be. Dallas on the other hand is still in the driver’s seat in the NFC East despite a lackluster 6-6 record thanks to Philadelphia’s incompetence. The Cowboys are coming off a humiliating loss at home to the Bills, and now is the perfect time to buy-low. Mitch Trubisky finally had a decent game last week, but it was against a horrible Detroit defense that has been getting abused by everybody. He’s not going to make it two in a row, and you can safely take the Cowboys to cover the spread. Chicago’s weakness is their run defense, and I think Ezekiel Elliott will be able to wear them down.

Over Under Pick

The under also makes a lot of sense here. Chicago still has a very strong pass-rush and secondary, so I think Dallas will be pretty conservative on offense here and not ask Dak Prescott to do too much. Elliott should see a heavy workload, which will keep the clock running and the number of possessions limited. Trubisky has been arguably the league’s worst starting quarterback at times, and after a one-game rebound he should come crashing back down to earth here. Dallas has a talented defense, and I don’t see any way that Trubisky has success here.

Sun, Dec 8th - 1:00pm ET:
Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills

Baltimore Ravens
Buffalo Bills
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BAL Ravens -6.0 Point Spread
-105
Under 43.5 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

A very interesting matchup here as the Baltimore Ravens travel to take on the Buffalo Bills. Baltimore passed yet another test this past weekend by dispatching with the 49ers, and in my opinion they are the unquestioned best team in the league. I also think this is a good matchup for them, because Buffalo’s weakness this season has been their run defense. Obviously the Ravens are a ground-and-pound team, and they have the most electric running game that the NFL has seen in quite some time. Buffalo might be 9-3, but that has more to do with the ridiculously easy schedule they’ve played than anything else. They started the season off with games against the Jets, Giants, and Bengals, which set the tone for this season. Other than their game against the Cowboys on Thanksgiving, they have failed all three of their tests this season. Playing against a Baltimore team that’s absolutely on fire, I think they get exposed. Josh Allen had one of his best games as a pro this past week, and in typical Josh Allen fashion I expect him to follow it up with a dud. Lay the points here.

Over Under Pick

I also like the under in this spot. The Ravens obviously like to run the ball a lot, and I think they should do so even more here to exploit Buffalo’s weakness and to guard against their ferocious pass rush. It will likely be cold and windy in Buffalo, which could throw off Lamar Jackson’s passing game. Baltimore’s secondary has been elite ever since they traded for Marcus Peters, so I don’t see Allen having much success through the air. With Peters, Jimmy Smith, and Earl Thomas in the secondary, Buffalo’s vertical passing game doesn’t stand a chance.

Sun, Dec 8th - 1:00pm ET:
Carolina Panthers @ Atlanta Falcons

Carolina Panthers
Atlanta Falcons
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CAR Panthers +3.0 Point Spread
-115
Over 47.5 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

The Atlanta Falcons will host the Carolina Panthers here in an NFC South game that likely won’t have any playoff implications. That doesn’t mean this matchup isn’t intriguing, as it’ll be the first time the Panthers take the field without Ron Rivera as their head coach since the 2010 season. The Panthers have caught some tough breaks recently, but this is still a very talented team. I’m still high on the defensive potential of this squad, and if Kyle Allen can regain his prior form then they could still be able to make some noise down the stretch. Interim coach Perry Fewell is by all accounts well respected within the locker room, so I think you don’t have to worry about motivation here. The Falcons had a brief resurgence of sorts, but I was never buying it. They have since come crashing back down to earth with lopsided losses to the Buccaneers and Saints the past two weeks. Strangely enough this is the fifth straight division game for the Falcons, and I think they could be a bit fatigued from all the physical play. Give me the Panthers as a ‘dog all day long.

Over Under Pick

I am also playing the over here. Atlanta has had one of the worst defenses in the league all season long, and they’ve given up at least 26 points in each of their past two games. The Panthers have one of the League’s best offensive weapons in Christian McCaffrey, and they have scored 52 points over their past two contests. Carolina’s once strong defense has collapsed in recent weeks, and they embarrassingly gave up 29 points to the Redskins this past Sunday. Neither team is going to the playoffs, and I think they are both going to swing for the fences here. This one could be a sloppy shootout.

Sun, Dec 8th - 1:00pm ET:
San Francisco 49ers @ New Orleans Saints

San Francisco 49ers
New Orleans Saints
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NO Saints -2.5 Point Spread
-110
Under 44.5 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

One of the biggest games of the Week 14 slate here as the New Orleans Saints host the San Francisco 49ers. The 49ers are coming off a tough loss to Baltimore, while New Orleans outlasted Atlanta on Thanksgiving. Oddsmakers opened the Saints as less than a field goal favorite, and I think this line is a bit short. The Saints haven’t looked their best in recent weeks, but I think that has more to do with them having played a very easy schedule than anything else. They weren’t going to bring their best for easy opponents they could cruise by anyways, but we should see an all-out effort here for this pivotal game against San Francisco. Playoff seeding is on the line here, and the Saints have one of the best home-field advantages in the entire league. San Francisco coasted early on by playing all of the league’s weakest teams, but now that the schedule has toughened up they’re just 2-2 in their last four. If a few balls had bounced the other way during their two very close games against the Cardinals, they could very easily be 1-4 in their last five.

Over Under Pick

This game will feature two of the league’s brightest offensive minds in Kyle Shanahan and Sean Payton going head-to-head, but I think the value is with the under. The 49ers are a defensive team first and foremost, and that unit has been carrying Jimmy Garoppolo all season long. Garoppolo quietly hasn’t been that good despite the team’s success, and he has shown shaky decision-making skills while tossing 10 interceptions. He only threw for 165 yards against Baltimore, and I don’t think Shanahan trusts him too much. You should see a ton of running plays dialed up, and I certainly don’t think we see a shootout here. Drew Brees has declined a bit, and I don’t think he’s going to light up the scoreboard here either.

Sun, Dec 8th - 1:00pm ET:
Indianapolis Colts @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Indianapolis Colts
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
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IND Colts +3.0 Point Spread
-115
Over 47.0 Game Totals
-105

Against the Spread Pick

AFC vs NFC here at the Indianapolis Colts travel to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I’ve been high on both of these teams recently, but one of them has become overvalued in recent weeks while the other has been forgotten about. Tampa Bay has been hot recently and it’s been nice to see, but they are simply not better than this Colts team on a neutral field as this point spread would seem to suggest. Indianapolis is still very much alive in the AFC playoff hunt, while the Buccaneers don’t have much to play for other than pride. The Colts have been blowing a lot of games recently by shooting themselves in the foot, but they still have a ton of talent. When evaluating their recent performances, I think you have to toss out the two games they lost because Brian Hoyer was at quarterback. Their backs are up against the wall here and this is their Super Bowl, so I think we see them come out with a great effort. Jameis Winston is still as turnover-prone as ever, and Indy’s defense should take advantage.

Over Under Pick

Even though I’m high on this Colts defense, I like the over in this spot. Jacoby Brissett has had a lot of people questioning whether he’s the long-term answer under center in recent weeks, and I think he comes out with a bounce-back effort here against a poor Tampa Bay secondary. Winston is a true gunslinger, and he is going to air it out to Chris Godwin and Mike Evans no matter what. He’s going to put up big yardage numbers, and he will likely throw an interception or two as well. That style of play is extremely conducive to shootouts, and that’s what I expect here. Tampa Bay’s offense has quietly been playing really well, and they’ve scored at least 28 points in four of their last five games.

Sun, Dec 8th - 1:00pm ET:
Cincinnati Bengals @ Cleveland Browns

Cincinnati Bengals
Cleveland Browns
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CIN Bengals +8.5 Point Spread
-110
Under 40.5 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

Before the 100th NFL season started, the Cleveland Browns were one of the most hyped teams. Now heading into the 14th week of the season, the Browns are halfway into the grave getting the couch out ready to watch some playoff football. Cleveland has simply been one of the most inconsistent teams this season and it shows with their 5-7 record and 4-6 against the spread record in the past 10 games. One of the biggest concerns heading into this game is the hand injury of Cleveland QB Baker Mayfield. After injuring it late in the 1st half he only managed 98 yards and an interception in the second half. On the flip side, QB Andy Dalton is recharged and ready to showcase why he still has fuel in the tank. Dalton is coming off a great performance of 243 yards and a touchdown in the 22-6 win over the visiting New York Jets. I expect Dalton and the Bengals to continue their underdog story late in the season as they are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Cleveland and 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings. Give me the Bengals and sprinkle some on the Money line as well.

Over Under Pick

With the uncertainty of whether or not Baker Mayfield’s injury will hurt him in the long-run, it is clear the injury made a difference in the second half loss against the Steelers. If the Bengals were able to slow down the Jets who dropped 34 points in three straight games, imagine what they do against a team that has been inconsistent all season long. This game screams the under has it is 12-3-2 in the Bengals’ last 17 games overall and 18-8-1 in the Browns’ last 27 home games. Nothing fancy in this game, as I would not be surprised if the Browns do not score over 14 points in this one. Take the Under with confidence.

Sun, Dec 8th - 1:00pm ET:
Detroit Lions @ Minnesota Vikings

Detroit Lions
Minnesota Vikings
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MIN Vikings -13.0 Point Spread
-110
Over 43.0 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

NFC North clash here as the Minnesota Vikings host the Detroit Lions. The Vikings are coming off a disappointing loss to Seattle on Monday Night Football, while Detroit blew a late lead against the Bears on Thanksgiving. Undrafted rookie David Blough is going to start again for Detroit here, and you have to lay the points with the Vikings. Blough looked surprisingly strong in his NFL debut on the Thanksgiving, but I think that was a fluke. Detroit isn’t making the playoffs and many players have publicly aired their grievances with the coaching staff, so I don’t expect them to fight too hard in this late-season road game. The Vikings on the other hand absolutely need to win this game, and they are very talented on both sides of the ball. Keep your eye out for whether or not Adam Thielen suits up for this one, and if he does it will be a massive boost to Minnesota’s offense. Detroit has been racking up injuries, and now they’re going to be without promising young tight end T.J. Hockenson, who was just placed on injured reserve. This one isn’t going to be close.

Over Under Pick

I’m also making a small play on the over here. Minnesota’s offense doesn’t get enough credit, and Kirk Cousins has quietly played really well this season. Offensive coordinator Kevin Stefanski has done a great job with Gary Kubiak’s input, and I expect the Vikings to be able to get whatever they want offensively. Detroit’s secondary has been an absolute dumpster fire recently, and they made Mitch Trubisky look like a competent quarterback in their most recent game. Blough is an undrafted rookie, which means he’s going to have a lot of variance. He’s going to be letting it rip without hesitation, which could lead to easy points for either team.

Sun, Dec 8th - 1:00pm ET:
Washington Redskins @ Green Bay Packers

Washington Redskins
Green Bay Packers
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WAS Redskins +13.0 Point Spread
-125
Under 41.0 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

Watch out, here come the Washington Redskins who are actually still in the playoff hunt thanks to everyone in the NFC East being nothing more than average. The Redskins come into this game riding a two-game winning streak with their recent win coming back from 14-0 in the first quarter against the Panthers. The Redskins have unleashed their new power attack with the return of Rookie Derrius Guice who led the team with 129 rushing yards and two touchdowns on 10 carries in the win. Do not worry about Adrian Peterson as he added 13 rushes for 99 yards. Now the red-hot Redskins take on the Packers who are allowing 142.33 rushing yards per game at home. Even though Aaron Rodgers has been rolling for weeks, expect this Redskins team to continue to play spoiler. The Redskins are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games as a double-digit underdog as there are once again too many points being given to the Redskins.

Over Under Pick

With the Redskins pounding the ground game against the Packers, expect that clock to be running nonstop on Sunday. The Packers have yet to get their own running game going in the past two weeks as it won’t be challenging to get it going against the Redskins who allow 119.83 rushing yards per game on the road which is 25th in the league. With that in mind, expect a dog fight game where the Redskins are hoping for a historic three-game winning streak. Take the under here as it has hit in 5 of the Redskins’ last 6 road games against the Packers and in 4 of the Redskins last 5 road games.

Sun, Dec 8th - 1:00pm ET:
Miami Dolphins @ New York Jets

Miami Dolphins
New York Jets
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MIA Dolphins +5.5 Point Spread
-110
Over 45.0 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Miami Dolphins were viewed as one of the worst teams in the league near the midway point in the season, but after winning three of five games, they are back and ready to win some games. Their winning ways started when they took down the New York Jets as they look for the clean sweep on Sunday. The Dolphins have easily covered three of their last four road games and have been bettors, favorite teams, this season. For the Jets, their historic run was put to sleep against a once winless team of the Cincinnati Bengals. One of the biggest concerns I have for the Jets is the proper use of running back LeVeon Bell who has yet to really showcase his full potential. The Jets look to be back to their normal way and at the wrong time as they are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC East and 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in December. Give me the points here as the Dolphins cover this matchup and get the sweep.

Over Under Pick

Even though the Dolphins have managed to cover a lot of games in the past weeks, they still have one of the worst defenses in the league. Miami has allowed, 31, 41, and 37 points in the past three weeks. Given the fact the Jets were just embarrassed by the last winless team in the league, expect New York to come out strong here. However, do not count out the Dolphins in any part of this game as everyone saw they will do the unthinkable to win this game straight up. I love the Over here as it is 4-0 in Jets last 4 games following a straight-up loss and 5-0 in Jets last 5 games following an ATS loss. Expect a high scoring game here as this game clears the Over by a mile.

Sun, Dec 8th - 1:00pm ET:
Denver Broncos @ Houston Texans

Denver Broncos
Houston Texans
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DEN Broncos +9.0 Point Spread
-110
Under 42.5 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Houston Texans come into this game giving an early Christmas gift to all of the NFL fans as they not only knocked down the New England Patriots but embarrassed them on Sunday night football. Now they stay in Houston where they host the Denver Broncos in Week 14 hoping to continue their lead in the AFC North. However, it might be more difficult than it may seem to cover this large spread as the Texans are not the best to rely on being the favorites. In this game, the Texans are 2-6-1 ATS in its last nine as favorites, 5-10 ATS in its last 15 as home favorites, and 2-6 ATS in its last eight when favored by more than a seven points. The Texans just got out of a physical dog fight with the Patriots and even though they came out as the winners, they tend to regress after an against the spread win. The Texans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS win as there are way too many points on the table for this matchup. Rookie QB Drew Lock looked great in his first start as the Broncos will have another easy and simple gameplan to keep this game close. Take the 9.5 free points and the Broncos here.

Over Under Pick

As stated above, the Broncos are going to play conservative here and will likely not do anything too crazy that will dig them in the hole deep. On the flip side, the Texans are allowing just 20.50 points at home which is 11th best in the league. The Texans will continue to prove themselves in the AFC while the Broncos will continue to rely on the running game especially on the road where they average 126.17 yards away from Denver. Expect this game to go way under the total as it has gone under in 8 of the Texans’ last 10 games at home and in the Broncos’ last 3 games against the Texans.

Sun, Dec 8th - 4:05pm ET:
Los Angeles Chargers @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Los Angeles Chargers
Jacksonville Jaguars
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JAX Jaguars +3.0 Point Spread
-105
Under 43.0 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Los Angeles Chargers added on another heartbreaking loss last week as they suffered their eighth game this season and are now out from playoff contention. The Chargers came back all the way from 14 points down on the road against the Broncos just to loss on a long pass inference call and game-winning field goal kick. Now the Chargers head down to Jacksonville to take on the Jaguars who are in a mess of their own. Jacksonville will be starting QB Gardner Minshew for the rest of the way as putting back in QB Nick Foles was a huge mistake. Foles lost his last three starts by nearly 60 points combine as Minshew will look to clean up the mess. It might be the perfect time for Minshew Mania to return as the Chargers are allowing a passer rating of 96.6 and 7.4 yards per pass attempt. I love the points here as this might be the last hooray for the Jaguars and Minshew Mania.

Over Under Pick

With Minshew back under center, the Jaguars offense will slowly get back to normal but will take some time. Both teams have been a hit and miss this season as the Chargers are barley scoring 20 points per game on the road while the Jaguars are way below that with 15.83 points per game at home. Expect this game to be a low scoring game as the Chargers defense has quietly been consistently good as of late. They are allowing just 18.50 points per game on the road and 212 passing yards both 7th best in the league. The Under is 5-0 in Chargers last 5 games in Week 14 and 6-1 in Chargers last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game as the play here has to be the Under.

Sun, Dec 8th - 4:25pm ET:
Kansas City Chiefs @ New England Patriots

Kansas City Chiefs
New England Patriots
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KC Chiefs +3.0 Point Spread
-115
Under 49.0 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

One of the most anticipated matchups of the season here as the New England Patriots host the Kansas City Chiefs in a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship Game. For a few reasons, I think the Chiefs are going to be able to get their revenge. New England coasted early on this season because of a ridiculously easy schedule, but they are now just 2-2 in their last four games since things have gotten more difficult. Tom Brady has clearly lost a step, and if you remove some garbage time completions this past week, his numbers over the past three games are truly awful. New England’s defense rightfully earned a ton of hype early on, but they have struggled when facing transcendent quarterback talents. They allowed Lamar Jackson and the Ravens to put up 37 points on them a few weeks ago, and DeShaun Watson and the Texans to put up 28 this past week. Patrick Mahomes is even tougher to stop than those two, and there’s no reason to believe the Patriots will be able to shut him down. Brady has shown us nothing recently to make us believe he’ll be able to keep up. Take Kansas City.

Over Under Pick

I also like the under here. The Patriots haven’t topped 22 points since their game against the Browns back in October, and they simply don’t have much of an offense. They scored 22 points against Houston this past week, but that was only because the Texans were playing a really soft defense up multiple scores at the end. Brady is averaging only 6.7 yards per attempt this season, and their ground game is averaging only 3.5 yards per carry. Kansas City’s defense is a lot better than most people realize, and there’s no reason to think Brady will break out of his slump here. The Patriots put up just 13 points against the Cowboys two weeks ago and only 17 points against the Eagles the week before that. Don’t expect a shootout here.

Sun, Dec 8th - 4:25pm ET:
Tennessee Titans @ Oakland Raiders

Tennessee Titans
Oakland Raiders
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TEN Titans -3.0 Point Spread
+105
Over 47.0 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

A tale of two stories here as the Tennessee Titans head into Oakland to take on the Raiders. For the Titans, their story is riding high and will most likely end with a happy ending as they are now 7-5 after the upset win against the Colts last week. The change to quarterback Ryan Tannehill was the perfect call as he has turned this team around without a doubt. On the flip side, the Raiders are struggling to publish any type of story for this season as they are 6-6 after back-to-back losses, including getting embarrassed by the Chiefs last week. The Titans are simply on another level right now and have one of the hottest trends coming into this game. Tennessee is a perfect 3-0 ATS year off a road win against a division rival, while the Raiders are 0-3 ATS in their last three off a road loss vs. a division rival. Give me the Titans in the ATS and I would suggest hammering the money line just as much.

Over Under Pick

The Oakland Raiders need to keep their postseason alive and will do everything possible in keep those hopes alive. With that in mind, expect the Raiders to continue that power running game at home as they are averaging 126.33 yards on the ground at home. This is going to be a back and forth game with both veteran quarterbacks looking to reach the playoffs for maybe the final times in their “prime”. The Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Oakland and 6-0 in Titans last 6 games overall. Give me the Over here as this game might be the highest-scoring game in the slate.

Sun, Dec 8th - 4:25pm ET:
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Arizona Cardinals

Pittsburgh Steelers
Arizona Cardinals
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PIT Steelers -2.5 Point Spread
-120
Under 43.5 Game Totals
-110

Against The Spread Pick

The Pittsburgh Steelers are looking to keep their playoff hopes alive as they head into the desert to take on the Arizona Cardinals. For the Steelers, they have been leaning on their defense ever since their star QB Big Ben went down with a season-ending injury. Long story short, it has been working. Since Week 3, Pittsburgh currently ranks first in the league in takeaways (28), first in quarterback hits (78), first in passes defended (65), first in forced fumbles (13), first in fumble recoveries (13), second in interceptions (15), second in sacks (38) and tied for third in defensive TDs (three). (Via the Pittsburgh-Post Gazette) With a defense that is playing the way it is, there is no way to bet against them, especially when they are going up against a Cardinals offense that only managed less than 250 total yards even with garbage time coming in the 3rd quarter against the Rams. The Steelers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall as the bet here rides with Pittsburgh.

Over Under Pick

The Steelers will once again be going with the 23-year-old Devlin “Duck” Hodges this Sunday as he was great in his start against the Browns. He completed 14 of his 21 attempts, throwing for 212 yards and a touchdown. The Duck Hodges also added on one interception in the start as it was nothing fancy, he got the job done. Everyone should expect the same here. Expect Hodges to once again make the necessary throws when called open to get the early lead as the defense takes care of the rest. The Under is 4-0 in Steelers last 4 games overall and 5-0 in Steelers last 5 games following a ATS win. The Steelers get the close win as once again QB Kyler Murray has himself a rough day against a top defense.

Sun, Dec 8th - 8:20pm ET:
Seattle Seahawks @ Los Angeles Rams

Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Rams
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LA Rams +1.0 Point Spread
-115
Under 47.5 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

Sunday Night Football here as the Seattle Seahawks travel to take on the Los Angeles Rams. This is a revenge game for the Rams, after they lost by one point in Seattle earlier this year because of a missed Greg Zuerlein field goal at the end of the game. Los Angeles absolutely needs to win this game to keep their playoff hopes alive, and I think they’ll be able to do so. Seattle has been getting lucky all year long with closed wins, and they don’t deserve to have anywhere near 10 victories. Incredibly only one of their 10 wins has come by more than one possession this season, which indicates they are due for some serious regression. Two of their past four games have gone to overtime and they are coming into this one on a short week because of playing on Monday Night Football, so they could be a bit fatigued here as well. The Rams have a lot of momentum following their blowout win over the Cardinals, and you should take them here.

Over Under Pick

I also like the under a lot in this spot. The Seahawks are still a run-first team, and I think they’re going to try to slow down the pace of this game and keep Los Angeles’ offense off the field. Despite a one-game aberration against the league-best Ravens, this Rams defense has actually been really good recently. In four of their past six games they’ve limited opponents to 10 points or fewer, which is pretty incredible. Now that they’ve added Jalen Ramsey the secondary is playing a lot better, and I don’t think Russell Wilson is going to have too much success through the air here. This Rams offense has been struggling mightily, and I’m not so sure that they are back to being 100 percent just because they had a good game against Arizona. This one should be pretty low-scoring.

Mon, Dec 9th - 8:15pm ET:
New York Giants @ Philadelphia Eagles

New York Giants
Philadelphia Eagles
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PHI Eagles -10.0 Point Spread
-105
Over 46.0 Game Totals
-110

Against the Spread Pick

We are getting a real treat here as Eli Manning will make his return to the lineup on Monday Night Football. It looked for a while like we might have seen Manning’s last snap, but he will get at least one more start for the Giants here as Daniel Jones deals with an ankle injury. Unfortunately for Manning, he’s getting thrown into a tough spot on the road with a team that’s looked pretty lifeless recently. The Eagles are coming off an embarrassing loss to the Dolphins, but I think that had more to do with Miami playing really well than anything else. The Eagles are still very much alive in the playoff hunt and are only a game back of the Cowboys for first place in the NFC East, so the crowd should be buzzing here. The Eagles still have an elite run defense, which should foil New York’s best weapon in Saquon Barkley. Manning should be pretty rusty after not having played in a while, and even though it’s a nice story I’m not expecting too much from him here. Lay the points.

Over Under Pick

I’m also making a smaller play on the over. Philadelphia should completely shut down New York’s running game, which will force them to abandon it early and turn to the pass. Manning knows this might be his last time taking an NFL field, so I expect him to leave it all on the field and not play too conservatively. He’s going to be chucking it all over the yard, which should mean plenty of points for both sides. New York’s defense has been letting everybody torch them in recent weeks, giving up at least 31 points in four of their past five games, so Carson Wentz and the Eagles offense should be able to have some success here.

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