NFL week seven picks against the spread and straight up for every game this week. Get our free NFL week seven expert picks below. Get free NFL picks every week of the season.

Thu, Oct 17th - 8:20pm ET:
Kansas City Chiefs @ Denver Broncos

Kansas City Chiefs
Denver Broncos
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KC Chiefs -3.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 48.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Thursday Night Football here as the Denver Broncos host the Kansas City Chiefs. The Broncos have won back to back games to crawl back to 2-4 and give them some hope, while the Chiefs have dropped two straight to fall to 4-2. Unfortunately for Denver, I think their hot streak ends here. The Broncos beat the Chargers and Titans, two teams that are in free-fall right now. On a short week you always have to give the edge to the better coach who can game-plan with less time, and that’s obviously Andy Reid. Reid is one of the best schemers in the league, so he has the clear edge with limited time. Patrick Mahomes isn’t going to lose three straight games, and now he has his best weapon back in Tyreek Hill. Joe Flacco hasn’t had to do anything the last two weeks as Denver’s defense has carried him, but that won’t be the case here. Kansas City is obviously going to score, so Flacco will finally have some pressure to carry the load. He won’t rise to the occasion, and the Chiefs will win this one easily.

Over Under Pick

I also like the under in this spot. Denver has been trying to establish a run-first identity, and that’ll continue here. The Chiefs have an underrated secondary, so I wouldn’t expect much from Flacco here. Mahomes has Hill back now, but he’s still missing two starters on his offensive line and is also dealing with a bum ankle. Even during their two-game win streak, the Broncos have only totaled 36 points. I think the Chiefs will want to take a little bit off Mahomes’ shoulders, and be a bit more conservative with their game-plan than usual. This is a divisional game between two opponents who are very familiar with one another, and I think this one should be pretty low scoring.

Sun, Oct 20th - 1:00pm ET:
Jacksonville Jaguars @ Cincinnati Bengals

Jacksonville Jaguars
Cincinnati Bengals
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JAX Jaguars -3.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 44.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Jacksonville Jaguars are ready to enter the jungle as they head into Cincinnati to take on the Bengals. The Bengals enter this game with a 0-6 record and there is a strong reason why they have yet to win this season. The Bengals offense has been absolutely dreadful at the start of games leaving them battling late in games. They are ranked fourth-last in the NFL with an average of 7.7 points in the first 30 minutes and it will not get any better against a Jaguars defense that just allowed 13 points in the win against the red-hot Saints. To make things worse, the Bengals failed to reach the end zone in the first three quarters for the third straight game. The Bengals offense is going to struggle all game long and won’t be able to get the running game going as they will be behind. However, expect RB Leonard Fournette to have himself a day for the Jags as he is going up against a Bengals team that allowed 269 rushing yards last week to the Ravens. The Bengals have allowed at least 250 rushing yards in three of its six games and the Jaguars are going to run over the Bengals with ease. This is an EASY PICK. Take the Jaguars.

Over Under Pick

The Bengals have had trouble scoring so far this season, but they might run into some luck as on the other side of the equation this Jaguars team has allowed at least 24 points per game on the road this season. Also, the Jaguars are allowing nearly 160 rushing yards per game away from Jacksonville. If the Bengals are ever going to get the running game going it has to be here. It will not be a walk in the park, but do expect the Bengals to have their best offensive output this season in week seven. The Bengals are not going to make it that close, certainly not close enough to cover the spread, but they should be able to do just enough to help this total hit the Over. The Over is 6-2-2 in the last 10 meetings in Cincinnati and it is another great play in this game.

Sun, Oct 20th - 1:00pm ET:
San Francisco 49ers @ Washington Redskins

San Francisco 49ers
Washington Redskins
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SF 49ers -10.0 Point Spread
+105
Under 41.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread

The surprise of this 100th season of the NFL are the San Francisco 49ers who strut into this week seven matchup with zero losses to their name. The 49ers have been rolling on the offensive side of the ball and have showcased their new defense that is taking over this league. Now they look to continue this winning streak as they head on the road to take on the Washington Redskins who recently got their first win against the Miami Dolphins. For Washington, they are going to have trouble getting anything going on offense. The 49ers have allowed 126 passing yards combined in the past two games. They are also giving up the fewest total yards in the league as Nick Bosa and company are getting to opposing quarterbacks on 30.5 percent of drop-backs, which is the second-highest percentage in the league. This is going to be a blowout. 49ers by 15+ with ease.

Over Under Pick

Remember, San Francisco are coming into this game having beaten the Browns and Rams by a combined 41 points. They are controlling their games and doing it with ease. It is going to be all San Francisco in this game as the Redskins would be lucky if they got more than nine points in this game. Do not expect the 49ers to cover the spread by themselves either. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco’s last 5 games and in 4 of San Francisco’s last 5 games played in October. Give me the Under as the 49ers control the clock and make the Redskins defense suffer all game long.

Sun, Oct 20th - 1:00pm ET:
Minnesota Vikings @ Detroit Lions

Minnesota Vikings
Detroit Lions
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MIN Vikings -1.0 Point Spread
-116
Under 45.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Pivotal NFC North game here as the Detroit Lions host the Minnesota Vikings. The Lions are clearly much more talented than they were last year, but I think their loss to the Packers on Monday Night might’ve been demoralizing. It was a heartbreaking defeat where they blew a late lead (with the help of the officials), and now they have a short week to shake it off. I think Minnesota will be more locked in, and that’ll help them win this one. The Lions’ run defense is their weakness and the Vikings love to run the ball. Detroit is giving up a whopping 5.1 yards per carry, which is the fourth-worst figure in the entire league. As such, I’d expect Dalvin Cook to have a big day here. Kirk Cousins has found his groove again, and he’s been dominant in Minnesota’s last two games, both wins. He’s finally on the same page with Stefon Diggs again, who had three touchdowns last week. Minnesota should win this one fairly easily.

Over Under Pick

I also like the under a lot in this spot. The Vikings usually operate with relatively conservative game plans, and I’d definitely expect that to be the case here against a weak run defense. Cook will see a heavy workload, which will keep the clock moving and limit the possessions in this game. The Vikings have an elite defense, and I think they’ll be able to shut down a Lions offense that should start slow coming off their tough loss on a short week. Cousins has had the luxury of facing two weak secondaries in his two recent big games, and I’d expect him to slow down here against a much tougher unit.

Sun, Oct 20th - 1:00pm ET:
Los Angeles Rams @ Atlanta Falcons

Los Angeles Rams
Atlanta Falcons
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LA Rams -3.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 54.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Los Angeles Rams are struggling right now, and they’ve now lost three games in a row for the first time in the Sean McVay era. Speaking of struggling teams, the Atlanta Falcons are in freefall right now. Dan Quinn’s seat is scorching hot as the Falcons have dropped to 1-5, and he could be fired at any moment. The Falcons’ defense might be the worst unit in the league, and they’ve given up a whopping 87 points over the last two weeks. That’s exactly what the doctor ordered for this ailing Rams offense, and I expect them to bounce back here. Even I could rack up completions against this Falcons defense with McVay as my play-caller, so it doesn’t matter what you think of Jared Goff here. This is a must-win game for the Rams, while Atlanta doesn’t really have much left to play for. Lay the short spread with the visitor.

Over Under Pick

The over also makes a lot of sense here. The Falcons know how bad their defense is, and that their only hope to win this game is to get into a shootout. The Rams’ offense looked terrible in Week 6, but the week before in Seattle they were scoring at will. Both teams will be aggressive early on, and this one should be played at a very fast pace. Both defenses are really banged up, as the Rams just placed cornerback Aqib Talib on injured reserve and traded away fellow corner Marcus Peters. Even if new acquisition Jalen Ramsey is ready to play, they’ll still be down at least one starting cornerback. Starting safety John Johnson III also is going to miss this one after suffering a shoulder injury. This might be the highest scoring game on the slate.

Sun, Oct 20th - 1:00pm ET:
Arizona Cardinals @ New York Giants

Arizona Cardinals
New York Giants
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ARZ Cardinals +3.0 Point Spread
-120
Over 49.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The NFC West has been full of surprises so far this season and that includes the Arizona Cardinals (2-3-1), who are aiming for their third straight victory as underdogs as they take on the Giants in New York. The Cardinals have been the underdog story of the season after beating the Cincinnati Bengals and Atlanta Falcons in back-to-back weeks as Vegas ‘dogs. Well Vegas has them as underdogs once again as they the bookies have the Giants with a -3.0 line at home. Speaking of the Giants, they have lost back-to-back games under rookie quarterback Daniel Jones, who has become a turnover machine. With a combine QB rating of under 50.0 in the past two games, Jones has thrown 4 interceptions and seems like the typical rookie QB. On the flip side, rookie QB Kyler Murray is coming off 340 passing yards, three touchdowns and no interceptions against the Falcons. The Cardinals offense is starting to click with the mastermind of Kliff Kingsbury. This is the perfect time to still ride the Cardinals success as they are  5-2 ATS in its last 7 games and 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games against NY Giants.

Over Under Pick

Even though the Cardinals might be the hot hand on the offensive side, they still give up points and a lot of them very fast. Last week Arizona allowed Atlanta to score 17 unanswered points to blow a 27-10 lead. The Arizona defense comes in allowing 414 yards of total defense and 28.5 points per game against this season which is still very concerning. Rookie QB Daniel Jones will still continue to make mistakes throughout this game, but expect the Cardinals to give him some easy reads on Sunday. The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games against an opponent in the NFC conference and in 5 of NY Giants’ last 7 games against an opponent in the NFC conference. Give me the Over as both these quarterbacks try to outshine each other on Sunday.

Sun, Oct 20th - 1:00pm ET:
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts

Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts
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IND Colts -1.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 47.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Houston Texans are rolling right now as they come into this week seven divisional matchup against the Indianapolis Colts after taking care of Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. The win against the Chiefs was a dominant one, but it came at a cost. The Texans lost a lot of key players due to injury. Cornerback Bradley Roby injured his hamstring in the second half and will be gone for for the remainder of the month. To make matters even worse, Texans DB Johnathan Joseph is also dealing with a hamstring injury of his own. The secondary is very thin right now as they are limited to Lonnie Johnson, Xavier Crawford, Keion Crossen, and Phillip Gaines for this game. To add to the injuries the Texans will be without Tytus Howard as he has a knee injury. Remember the Colts also shutdown the Chiefs and can easily slow down the mobile quarterback of DeShaun Watson. The Colts are perfect SU and ATS in their last four divisional games as they make it five in a row on Sunday. Give me the Colts.

Over Under Pick

In the past 10 meetings between these two divisional foes the Under has hit in seven of the games. Even though the Texans are beat up in the secondary, still expect them to bring that deadly pass rush that has been working for them the whole season. In the past 10 games, the combined total average score has been 39.50 points. This is a divisional matchup that will come down to the final drive as both defenses will come ready to play. Give me the Under here, which has been the hot pick in these matches. The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Houston’s last 10 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis.

Sun, Oct 20th - 1:00pm ET:
Oakland Raiders @ Green Bay Packers

Oakland Raiders
Green Bay Packers
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GB Packers -6.0 Point Spread
-105
Over 47.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Green Bay Packers know how to get the job done and it shows as they come into this week seven matchup against the Oakland Raiders with an impressive 5-1 record. On the flip side, the Raiders have been a hot-and-cold team with their three wins coming on the emotional last Monday night game played in Oakland, a shootout against the Colts and an overseas win against the Bears. A single game out of first place in the AFC West, are the Raiders for real? Unfortunately, they are in for a rude awakening on Sunday afternoon as the Packers have owned this series for a while. In the last five meetings between these teams, the Packers own an impressive 4-1 against-the-spread record, and perfect 5-0 straight-up record. They have scored an average of 36.60 points in those games while holding down Oakland to only 14.80 points. Rodgers is ready to throw the ball down field and will easily against a team that allows over 260 passing yards per game. Anything less than a touchdown, give me the Packers here.

Over Under Pick

In the last three games, both the Packers and Raiders are averaging a combine total of 51 points per game. Derek Carr is slowly finding his rhythm in this offense and it is showing as they ran all over the best rushing defense in the league. The Raiders ran for 169 rushing yards in London a couple of weeks ago and will put the same style of offense into Green Bay this Sunday. The Packers have allowed nearly 125 rushing yards per game this season, expect the Raiders to move the ball down the field and score. Expect a close battle all the way to the end where the Packers close the game out with a huge touchdown drive. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay’s last 5 games against Oakland.

Sun, Oct 20th - 1:00pm ET:
Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills

Miami Dolphins
Buffalo Bills
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BUF Bills -17.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 40.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

Not that it was needed, but the Buffalo Bills come into this week seven matchup coming off a bye week and well rested to take on this Miami Dolphins team that is still on its way to landing Tua Tagovailoa in the NFL draft. The Buffalo Bills have showcased they have one of the best defenses in the league which includes holding their opponents to 87.8 rushing yards per game, 4.5 yards per play, and 14.0 points per game. The Bills are in prime position to make a run this season and it showed when they were the first team this season to slow down the high-flying Patriots offense and Tom Brady. The Dolphins have dreadful right now and allowed the Washington Redskins to score 17 points against them last week. Imagine what the Bills offense can do against a team that is allowing 4.6 touchdowns per game. Buffalo will have no problem moving the ball up and down the field as there is a VERY GOOD CHANCE the Dolphins do not get past midfield. Take the Bills as they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.

Over Under Pick

The Over might seem like a good idea as any team can practical run over the Dolphins on any given Sunday, but the Bills offense is not as shiny and polished as some may think. Buffalo is one of two teams above .500 with a negative differential In turnover difference as quarterback Josh Allen is tied for third in the league with seven interceptions. Even though the Bills defense will keep the Dolphins in check all game, expect the Bills to fumble away some easy potential scoring opportunities. With that in mind the Under is a great play here as the total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami’s last 5 games.

Sun, Oct 20th - 4:05pm ET:
Los Angeles Chargers @ Tennessee Titans

Los Angeles Chargers
Tennessee Titans
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LA Chargers +2.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 40.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Los Angeles Chargers are happy to be back on the road once again as they want to be far away as possible from their soccer home stadium. In the last two weeks, the Chargers have taken on the winless Denver Broncos and third string quarterback Devlin Hodges of the Pittsburgh Steelers at home. Instead of easy wins, the Chargers looked horrible are were outscored 38-0 in the first half over the pair. Los Angeles entered this season looking to be another Super Bowl contender, but are heading in another direction right now. Star running back Melvin Gordon has yet to get the ball rolling as he has 20 carries for just 49 yards through two games since returning to the team. Even though the Chargers have been horrible as of late, there is good news on the horizon for them. Los Angeles is 8-2 SU and ATS in their last 10 road games and head into Tennessee taking on the Titans who are rolling with a new QB. Marcus Mariota is heading to the bench and QB Ryan Tannehill will get his shot to showcase why he deserves to be the leader of the Titans. There is no way to lean with the horrible Titans offense right now, as getting free points with a veteran offense is an easy bet right here. The Chargers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in Tennessee as well as 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Give me Los Angeles as they get back on track on the road here.

Over Under Pick

Bringing in Tannehill will not change a lot for the Titans. Do not expect Tennessee to start scoring touchdowns left and right.  The Titans will be lucky to even score 14 in this game as the Chargers defense gets back on track on the road where they are allowing 11.5 points per game. Expect a low scoring game as the Under is 5-0 in Titans last 5 games overall as well as 6-0 in Titans last 6 games in October. Give me the Under in this game as the Chargers barley squeak by the Titans in a field goal showdown.

Sun, Oct 20th - 4:25pm ET:
Baltimore Ravens @ Seattle Seahawks

Baltimore Ravens
Seattle Seahawks
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BAL Ravens +3.5 Point Spread
-116
Over 49.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

AFC vs. NFC here as the Baltimore Ravens travel to Seattle to take on the Seahawks. Both teams have played pretty weak schedules, and I’m not sure that either is legit. For a few reasons though, I’m taking the points here. The Seahawks have been on an incredible run of catching lucky breaks, starting with when they squeaked out a one-point win over the still winless Bengals because Cincinnati fumbled four times. Ben Roethlisberger then got injured in their win over the Steelers, and Greg Zuerlein missed a gimme field goal as time expired in their win over the Rams. In their most recent game, they caught multiple interceptions from Baker Mayfield that were deflected by Browns receivers to gift them the win. I don’t think they’ll be that fortunate here. The Ravens’ defense has been lacking, and they made a big splash Thursday by trading for cornerback Marcus Peters. Peters should provide an immediate boost to this ailing secondary, and Lamar Jackson should have a lot of success against an overrated defense.

Over Under Pick

I also like the over a lot here. Seattle’s defense quietly isn’t any good, and there have been at least 59 total points scored in three of their past four games. Jackson is electric, and Baltimore is letting him throw the ball a lot more this season. The Seahawks are finally letting Russell Wilson do his thing more, which is ensuring their games are increasingly higher scoring. Even with the addition of Peters the Ravens’ secondary still isn’t anything to write home about, and they’re giving up 8.1 yards per pass attempt in 2019. This one has underrated shootout potential.

Sun, Oct 20th - 4:25pm ET:
New Orleans Saints @ Chicago Bears

New Orleans Saints
Chicago Bears
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CHI Bears -3.0 Point Spread
-125
Under 38.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The New Orleans Saints have gone a perfect 4-0 since Drew Brees went down, but they’ll face a tough test on the road here against the Chicago Bears. Teddy Bridgewater has done a decent job managing games, but he hasn’t had to do much. Sean Payton has been hiding him, and I don’t think that’ll fly here against an elite defense. Bridgewater has barely been throwing the ball beyond the line of scrimmage, and I think he’s going to get exposed in this spot. The Bears are going to come out angry in this one, as they had the bye week to stew after an embarrassing loss to the Raiders in Week 5. Chicago always plays better at home, and I think the crowd will rattle Bridgewater here. The Saints are due for a letdown game, and I think we see it this weekend.

Over Under Pick

The stronger play is with the under. The Saints have been winning games because of their defense, not because of anything Bridgewater has been doing. New Orleans’ defensive front has been lights out, and they just limited the Jaguars to six points in their most recent game. The key to beating this Bears team is to wear down their defense gradually, so expect to see the Saints run the ball a ton with Latavius Murray and Alvin Kamara here. Chicago’s offense, and particularly their passing game, are broken right now. They’ll be leaning on rookie running back David Montgomery here, and this one should be played at a snail-ish pace.

Sun, Oct 20th - 8:20pm ET:
Philadelphia Eagles @ Dallas Cowboys

Philadelphia Eagles
Dallas Cowboys
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PHI Eagles +3.0 Point Spread
-120
Over 49.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

First place in the NFC East is on the line here as the Dallas Cowboys host the Philadelphia Eagles for Sunday Night Football. Both teams are struggling a bit at the moment, and both enter at 3-3. Unfortunately for Dallas, I think their problems are a bit more complex. Jason Garrett seems on the verge of losing the locker room, and he just got significantly out-coached by Adam Gase. The Cowboys’ defense clearly isn’t as good as people thought it was at the beginning of the year, and they just got torched by Sam Darnold in his first game back from mono. The Cowboys also look like they won’t have Amari Cooper for this one, which is a huge blow to their offense. Even if he plays, he’ll be well under 100 percent after re-aggravating his quad injury. I think Carson Wentz will out-duel Dak Prescott, and the Eagles will end up winning this one outright. To be safe though, I’d take the three points in what could be a tight game.

Over Under Pick

The over also makes some sense. The Eagles have a really stout defensive front led by defensive tackle Fletcher Cox, so the Cowboys’ running game won’t work here. They’ll abandon the run early and start chucking it, and Philly’s secondary is so banged up right now that Dallas’ passing attack should be able to have some success even without Cooper. Dallas’ defense has collapsed the last couple of weeks, giving up 34 points to the Packers and then 24 to the Jets. Wentz should be sharp here, and he’ll do enough to send this one over.

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