Against the Spread Pick
Thursday Night Football here as the New England Patriots host the New York Giants in a game that’s expected to be lopsided. I don’t usually like laying it with favorites this large, but you have to do it here. New England has been dominant this season, and the Giants are extremely banged up. Saquon Barkley is still going to be sidelined with his ankle injury and the running back who took over for him, Wayne Gallman, is going to miss this game with a concussion. New York will also be without their best receiver in Sterling Shepard, and Evan Engram is looking questionable with a knee injury. Daniel Jones has flashed some promise, but he’s also made plenty of mistakes, and he’ll now be tasked with going on the road in primetime against one of the league’s best defenses. The Giants’ defense is a bottom-five unit, and Tom Brady should have no problem picking apart their sieve-like secondary. The Patriots are going to win this one by 20+.
Over Under Pick
I also think the under makes some sense here, because the Patriots aren’t going to score enough to send this one over by themselves. When Jones and the Giants had to play one of the league’s other top defenses in Minnesota this past week, they only put up ten points. That game was at home, and now they’re going on the road in primetime on a short week, with a depleted offense. They’ll be missing almost their entire starting offense, and Jones is getting thrown to the Wolves here against a Patriots defense that has only given up two offensive touchdowns the entire year. New England’s offense quietly hasn’t been that great the past few weeks, so I think New York will be able to limit them just enough to keep this one under.