NFL week three picks against the spread and straight up for every game this week. Get our free NFL week three expert picks below. Get free NFL picks every week of the season.

Thu, Sep 19th - 8:20pm ET:
Tennessee Titans @ Jacksonville Jaguars

Tennessee Titans
Jacksonville Jaguars
JAX Jaguars +1.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 40.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Jacksonville Jaguars will host the Tennessee Titans here on Thursday Night Football. These are tumultuous times for the Jaguars. They entered 2019 with high hopes, but then Nick Foles broke his collarbone and things quickly unraveled. Just two weeks into the season star cornerback Jalen Ramsey has demanded a trade, but for a few reasons I’ll be backing Jacksonville here. The Jags are 0-2, and will have their backs up against the wall here. I think this is a good time to fade the national narrative surrounding the team, and they should come out on fire looking to prove everyone wrong. The defense is still elite even without Ramsey, and rookie quarterback Gardner Minshew has looked pretty good so far. I called out the Titans’ Week 1 win as fraudulent right away, and they then immediately lost to the Colts at home in Week 2. I love a good home ‘dog in primetime games, and I’m taking one here.

Over Under Pick

I also think the under makes some sense. Minshew is making just the second start of his young career, and it’s on a short week without much time to prepare. The Titans only scored a lot of points in Week 1 because of Baker Mayfield’s meltdown, and their offense hasn’t actually been that good. Tennessee’s offensive line has had trouble protecting Marcus Mariota, and they’ll still be without star left tackle Taylor Lewan here. The Titans have an uninspiring cast of weapons, and I don’t think they’ll fare too well on the road in a division rivalry game. Like many Thursday night games are, this one should be pretty sloppy.

Sun, Sep 22nd - 1:00pm ET:
New York Jets @ New England Patriots

New York Jets
New England Patriots
NE Patriots -21.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 43.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

I’m going to open up this New York Jets vs. New England Patriots betting preview with a quote. “When you make a mistake, there are only three things you should ever do about it: admit it, learn from it, and don’t repeat it”. I was one of the few bettors last week who took the Dolphins to cover against the Patriots and that was already the worst mistake so far this NFL betting season. However, I have learned from it, and will never repeat it again. The New England Patriots are the most well-rounded team in the league and at this moment there should be no concern over the size of the point spread they can cover. Until another team can compete with them, ALL money should be going to the Patriots. It especially makes sense with the Patriots being at home as the Jets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings as well as 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings in New England. Give me the Patriots as they continue to roll this NFL season.

Over Under Pick

Even though the mistake was made picking the Dolphins last week, picking the Under in that game masked the crucial mistake. I expect the same type of result in this Week 3 contest as the Patriots will score early and often and slowly tear apart this Jets team. The Under is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games in September as well as 7-1 in Patriots last 8 vs. AFC East. New York rarely scores against New England, now put in the fact they have a new quarterback and going up against arguably the best defense in the league, this is an easy pick for the Under. The Under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings and I’m rolling with the Under here.

Sun, Sep 22nd - 1:00pm ET:
Baltimore Ravens @ Kansas City Chiefs

Baltimore Ravens
Kansas City Chiefs
BAL Ravens +6.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 54.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

We’ve got perhaps the most anticipated matchup of the young season here as the Baltimore Ravens visit the Kansas City Chiefs. It’s Lamar Jackson vs. Patrick Mahomes, so buckle up. For a few reasons, I think the Ravens will be able to keep this one very close. These teams played in Kansas City last year and the Ravens managed to take it to overtime. They’ve gotten a lot better since then, and at that time Lamar Jackson had only played a few games. Jackson has been on fire so far this season, and the Ravens have a ton of momentum. It looks like the Chiefs could be without starting left tackle Eric Fisher again here, and even if he plays he won’t be close to 100 percent. Kansas City hasn’t really been tested yet this season, and I think the Ravens will be able to slow down Mahomes enough to keep this one within the number easily.

Over Under Pick

I also like the under a lot here, and a total in the mid-50s is simply way too high. Jackson has made major strides as a passer, but Baltimore’s preference is still to run the ball. Mahomes twisted his ankle in Kansas City’s Week 1 win, and it clearly limited his mobility in Week 2 against the Raiders. That didn’t impact him too much against Oakland’s sieve of a defense, but it sure will here against a much tougher unit. The Chiefs are without Tyreek Hill, and they didn’t score in three of the four quarters against the Raiders. Kansas City’s defense is also a lot better than it was last year, and the additions of pass-rusher Frank Clark and safety Tyrann Mathieu have provided a huge upgrade.

Sun, Sep 22nd - 1:00pm ET:
Atlanta Falcons @ Indianapolis Colts

Atlanta Falcons
Indianapolis Colts
IND Colts -2.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 47.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Two 1-1 teams will square off here as the Indianapolis Colts host the Atlanta Falcons. Both teams dropped their openers before rebounding with wins in Week 2. While the Falcons beat the Eagles, I wasn’t particularly impressed. Philly players were dropping like flies, and the Falcons barely won at home despite all the injuries the Eagles suffered. Matt Ryan played a pretty poor game, tossing three interceptions, so it’s not like Atlanta played a great game. Indy on the other hand went on the road and earned a tough division win over the Titans. I’ve been high on this Colts team for a while, and I thought the market vastly overreacted to Andrew Luck’s retirement. Jacoby Brissett has proved that he’s a capable quarterback, and he has a strong supporting cast. The Colts’ defense is also underrated, and I think they’ll be able to get after Ryan here. With home-field advantage on their side, the Colts will easily win this one by at least a field goal.

Over Under Pick

I also like the over a lot here. Both teams have intriguing weapons on offense, and there’s reason to believe both defenses will struggle. Atlanta’s just flat-out isn’t any good, and their weak defensive front will get mauled by Indianapolis’ stellar offensive line. The Colts’ defense has a lot of potential, but a couple of key guys are banged up. Star linebacker Darius Leonard and cornerback Pierre Desir are both looking iffy to play here, and if neither is at 100 percent that’s a huge downgrade to the unit.

Sun, Sep 22nd - 1:00pm ET:
Detroit Lions @ Philadelphia Eagles

Detroit Lions
Philadelphia Eagles
DET Lions +7.0 Point Spread
-125
Under 46.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Detroit Lions enter this game as one of the undefeated teams in the NFL after their tie against the Arizona Cardinals and upset win against the Los Angeles Chargers. Even though the Lions have been hit and miss in some drives this season, Vegas is giving them way too much against a team that is injured and has looked flat all season long. The Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and the Eagles have only covered in three of the past 14 games then they are favored over three points. As stated above, these injured Eagles come in with Alshon Jeffery and Desean Jackson questionable for this game. The Eagles have looked sloppy all season long and even if they win this game, the Lions will have a nice backdoor cover. Sharp action has moved this line right below a touchdown, but buying that half-point will make this easily a touchdown cover.

Over Under Pick

The Detroit Lions have sharpened up their defense and it showed in their games against the Cardinals and Chargers. They have been creating turnovers while Wentz and the Philly offense is not looking to sharp either. Along with the Eagles defense stepping up against Matt Ryan on Sunday Night Football, expect this game to be sloppy and slow. The Under is 8-1 in Lions last 9 games as well as 6-1 in the Lions’ last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game. The Eagles will struggle with a new offensive layout as the Lions use the ground-and-pound to chip away at the Eagles. Under is a nice play here.

Sun, Sep 22nd - 1:00pm ET:
Oakland Raiders @ Minnesota Vikings

Oakland Raiders
Minnesota Vikings
MIN Vikings -8.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 43.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Oakland Raiders come into this Week 3 matchup against the Minnesota Vikings after getting blown out by the Kansas City Chiefs. For the Raiders, it looks to be another lost season as they were exposed in Week 2 after their raw emotional win against the Broncos on Monday Night Football. For the Vikings, they almost completed the comeback against the Green Bay Packers but most likely the worst throw in NFL history by Kirk Cousins stopped it. However no need to worry about Cousins in this game as he loves playing in that Minnesota dome. Oakland has only covered three of the last ten games when they are underdogs of at least seven points or more. On the other side, the Vikings have covered five of the last eight games when they are touchdown favorites. Vikings will rebound with ease in this game and cover this touchdown spread.

Over Under Pick

U.S. Bank Stadium has been the home of Unders so far and there is no reason to fade it especially when both teams are averaging less than 25 points per game. Oakland is averaging 16.5 points per game while Minnesota is getting 22 points per game. Nothing special will happen in this game as Cousins and the defense gets the win at a low pace. The Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games overall as well as 8-1 in Vikings last 9 games on FieldTurf.

Sun, Sep 22nd - 1:00pm ET:
Miami Dolphins @ Dallas Cowboys

Miami Dolphins
Dallas Cowboys
DAL Cowboys -21.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 47.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The worst team in the NFL will head to Dallas to take on the Cowboys in an afternoon matchup in the state of Texas. It is getting very weird in the NFL betting world and these are the type of lines nobody could have expected. The Cowboys enter this game as THREE TOUCHDOWN FAVORITES against the Dolphins. That is a spread that is more normal for a ranked CFB team taking on an FCS team. Welcome to the world of betting with the Miami Dolphins. Coming into this game, the Dolphins have covered 4 of their last 12 NFL games as double-digit underdogs. Last week, Miami was unable to cover a 19 point spread against the New England Patriots. As for the Cowboys, they usually are not this high of favorites and it took some digging to find this stat. Dallas has covered four of their last eight double-digit favorite lines and this will be their 9th game for this category. Miami is already a selling team as they recently sent off DB Minkah Fitzpatrick to the Pittsburgh Steelers for a 1st round pick. Miami’s above-average players are being traded left and right. There is no talent on this team and it is a small lean for the Cowboys to cover.

Over Under Pick

The Dolphins have to score more than 6 points right? Overall this is a weird game to bet on as, since the start of the 2003 season, Dallas will be the fourth team over that span to close as a favorite of at least three touchdowns. In those three games, the Over hit in all of them. I’m rolling with the trends as the Over is 5-0 in Cowboys last 5 games overall as well as 10-2 in Cowboys last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Take the Over in this historic betting game.

Sun, Sep 22nd - 1:00pm ET:
Cincinnati Bengals @ Buffalo Bills

Cincinnati Bengals
Buffalo Bills
BUF Bills -6.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 44.0 Game Totals
-111

$ 2-0 on ATS Bills Picks This Season $

Against The Spread Pick

The Cincinnati Bengals are going to hit the road as they take on the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. Coming into this game, the Bengals are pretty beat up after being blown out by the San Francisco 49ers by a final score of 41-17. The Bengals’ defense was exposed as the fast and quick 49ers offense got ahead early and held onto it. The Bengals are clearly missing their deep-threat wide receiver A.J. Green and his absence will not help  as they take on a tough Bills team in Week 3. Buffalo is currently the 5th best defense in allowed points per game with 15 points. This is the Bills’ home opener and I expect the stadium to be sold out and ready to rock ‘n’ roll in a classic NFL beatdown. The Bengals are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 meetings and the BILLS are the perfect ATS pick here.

Over Under Pick

The total is a bit too low for my liking in this game. We have seen flashes from the Bengals offense and they are likely to be able to produce some points/big plays even if some of that is likely to come in garbage time on Sunday. In the past four Bills’ home openers, the average total combined score is 48.2. Expect another fireworks show in this one as the Bengals keep the Bills on their toes, but not for long. The Over is 21-8 in Bills last 29 home games as well as 10-4 in Bills last 14 games in Week 3. Give me the OVER here.

Sun, Sep 22nd - 1:00pm ET:
Denver Broncos @ Green Bay Packers

Denver Broncos
Green Bay Packers
GB Packers -7.5 Point Spread
-111
Under 43.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Denver Broncos are heading to Green Bay to take on the Packers in hopes of getting their first NFL win of the season. For the Broncos, the biggest concern for the team is the offense as it seems new addition Joe Flacco is not bringing the flair the team needs. Even though the team is averaging 265.5 passing yards per game which is 14th in the league, those stats are mainly padded because of the horrible running game. Without a strong ground game, the Broncos have been forced to throw and Flacco has already thrown over 80 ATTEMPTS! Denver is only scoring 15 points per game while their opponent is making history. Green Bay hasn’t allowed this few points per game (just 9.5) in their first two games since 2001. No reason to panic over this pick, select the Packers and hurry before the lines move larger.

Over Under Pick

As stated above, the Broncos offense has hit rock bottom already this season and it will not change against a Packers defense that is ready to prove why they deserve to be nationally ranked. Also, remember that the Packers have not had the hottest start on the offensive side either as they are only dropping 15.5 points per game. Green Bay drops another 20 points in this game as they hold Denver under 10 points. The Under is 5-0-1 in Broncos last 6 road games as well as 4-0 in Broncos last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game. Take the UNDER here!

Sun, Sep 22nd - 4:05pm ET:
Carolina Panthers @ Arizona Cardinals

Carolina Panthers
Arizona Cardinals
ARZ Cardinals -2.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 44.5 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

The Carolina Panthers are in trouble as they head into this contest with the Arizona Cardinals. Quarterback Cam Newton was not at practice Tuesday as injury news reached the media. Panthers GM Marty Hurney confirmed Newton has aggravated his injured left foot and added there’s no firm timeline currently for Newton to be ready to play. I already loved the Cardinals in this game as they are slowly gaining consistency on the offensive side of the ball. They stayed toe to toe with the Detroit Lions and Baltimore Ravens in their first two games. Even if Newton plays this game, he is not going to be 100% and everybody knows how he plays when he is not ready to go. Cardinals are rolling right now and the home team is 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings. Give me the Cardinals.

Over Under Pick

The Arizona Cardinals have yet to really have any type of lead this season, but once they do on Sunday they are going to roll with the punches and keep their foot on the gas. I predict that this is the week where Murray draws more attention than Lamar Jackson. Kliff Kingsbury is capable of drawing up the perfect gameplan against a Panthers defense that looks horrible so far this season. The Panthers have allowed 25 points per game and I am confident the Cardinals will surpass that. The Cardinals gave up 182 rushing yards last week and with the help of CMC the Panthers will score. This is usually a high-scoring game with the Over 4-1 in the last 5 meetings as well as 4-1 in the Panthers’ last 5 games in Week 3.

Sun, Sep 22nd - 4:05pm ET:
New York Giants @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers

New York Giants
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
NY Giants +7.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 48.0 Game Totals
-111

Against The Spread Pick

As you might have heard, the time is now for the New York Giants as Eli Manning heads to the bench and Daniel Jones will get his first career start against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. This is the perfect time to start the rookie against a weak Buccaneers team that has been a hit and miss. Jones looked great in the preseason finishing with 416 total passing yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions. A nice 137.3 quarterback rating makes it look like the new man is ready for his start. Coming into this game, the Giants have covered in 10 of their last 14 games as any type of road underdog while the Buccaneers have only covered one home game as favorites in the past six attempts. I’m loving the free touchdown play here as the Giants cover and might win outright with Daniel Jones under center. Give me the Giants.

Over Under Pick

Even though the Giants will cover, there will not be a lot of action in this one. The Tampa defense held the 49ers to 256 total yards in Week 1. and then limited Christian McCaffrey to just 37 yards on 16 carries. Even though they do not have a lot of film on the new rookie quarterback, they will still cause problems for Jones throughout the game. The Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Tampa Bay as well as 7-1 in Buccaneers last 8 games overall. Under is a great play here.

Sun, Sep 22nd - 4:25pm ET:
Houston Texans @ Los Angeles Chargers

Houston Texans
Los Angeles Chargers
LA Chargers -3.0 Point Spread
-120
Over 47.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Los Angeles Chargers are coming off a disappointing loss to the Lions, and will need to rebound here as they host the Houston Texans. Fortunately for them, I think they’ll be able to do so. Los Angeles made a series of mental mistakes against the Lions, missing two short field goals, fumbling at the one-yard line, and getting two touchdowns called back by penalties. Despite all that, they still only lost by three points on the road. The Texans on the other hand, were a missed two-point conversion attempt away from losing at home to the Jaguars in a game in which they were massive favorites. Houston’s offensive line is still a major liability, and I think Deshaun Watson will be under heavy duress from Melvin Ingram and Joey Bosa. The Texans are poorly coached, and their defense is a disaster at the moment. Even with all their injuries, the Chargers should have no trouble winning this one.

Over Under Pick

I’m also putting a small play on the over here. Philip Rivers should have a bounce back game here at home against a shaky Houston secondary, and Mike Williams and Keenan Allen should be running wide open. Austin Ekeler has been just as good if not better than Melvin Gordon at running back, so Los Angeles isn’t missing him too much. The Chargers’ defense is pretty banged up right now, and they just had to place starting safety Adrian Phillips on injured reserve. As such, I’d expect Watson to have some success as well with his strong group of weapons.

Sun, Sep 22nd - 4:25pm ET:
Pittsburgh Steelers @ San Francisco 49ers

Pittsburgh Steelers
San Francisco 49ers
PIT Steelers +6.5 Point Spread
-111
Over 43.0 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

Mason Rudolph will make his first career start here for the Pittsburgh Steelers as they visit the San Francisco 49ers. Ben Roethlisberger might be out for the season, but all is not lost. The Steelers traded a first round pick for safety Minkah Fitzpatrick earlier this week, signaling that they aren’t giving up on being competitive in 2019. All things considered, Rudolph was pretty impressive in his pro debut against the Seahawks. The 49ers might be 2-0, but they’ve been getting very lucky with the schedule. Their two wins are against the Buccaneers and Bengals, so I’m not impressed. Jimmy Garoppolo still hasn’t looked good, and I think he’ll struggle here against a real defense. The Steelers are rallying around Rudolph, and I think they come out with a home run effort here to avoid falling to 0-3. The 49ers will be without starting left tackle Joe Staley here, and even head coach Kyle Shanahan admitted this week they don’t have many appealing options to replace him.

Over Under Pick

I also like the over in this spot, and I think oddsmakers are overcompensating for Roethlisberger’s absence. Rudolph looked pretty good in his limited action, and I expect him to be even better here with a full week of practice under his belt. I’m not very high on this 49ers defense, and it looks like they could be without pass-rusher Dee Ford for this one. Pittsburgh’s defense is poorly coached, and Shanahan should be able to exploit it with his elite play-calling abilities. This one will be a lot higher scoring than people think.

Sun, Sep 22nd - 4:25pm ET:
New Orleans Saints @ Seattle Seahawks

New Orleans Saints
Seattle Seahawks
NO Saints +4.0 Point Spread
-111
Over 44.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The New Orleans Saints will play their first meaningful game without Drew Brees in quite a long time here as they travel to Seattle to take on the Seahawks. Brees is out for the next six weeks or so, and Teddy Bridgewater will take his place in the meantime. Bridgewater used to be a promising starter with the Vikings before he suffered a devastating knee injury, so he isn’t your typical backup quarterback. Bridgewater still has a lot of upside, and the Saints have a lot of talent around him. The Seahawks barely escaped with a one-point win over the Bengals in Week 1, then beat the Steelers narrowly in Week 2. Cincinnati lost four fumbles in their game and Ben Roethlisberger got hurt for the Steelers last week, so it’s safe to say Seattle has been getting pretty lucky. That’s not sustainable, and this Seahawks defense has looked very vulnerable. At the very least New Orleans will be able to keep this one very close.

Over Under Pick

I also like the over here. I think oddsmakers have overreacted to the Brees injury, and this total is a bit too low now. This Seahawks defense doesn’t have very much experience, and they’re still without suspended stud defensive tackle Jarran Reed. Bridgewater will be better than expected, and he’ll be able to pick apart a defense that allowed Andy Dalton to torch them for 418 yards in Week 1. New Orleans’ defense hasn’t looked great either, giving up at least 27 points in each of their first two games. I think we could see a surprising shootout here.

Sun, Sep 22nd - 8:20pm ET:
Los Angeles Rams @ Cleveland Browns

Los Angeles Rams
Cleveland Browns
LA Rams -3.0 Point Spread
-111
Under 49.5 Game Totals
-111

Against the Spread Pick

The Cleveland Browns are in a primetime nationally televised game for the second week in a row as they host the Los Angeles Rams. The Rams are 2-0, while Cleveland sits at 1-1 following their win over the Jets. The Browns got the win they desperately needed, but they didn’t look particularly good doing it. Yes they won 23-3, but the Jets were down to their third-string quarterback for most of the game and looked completely lifeless. The Rams on the other hand dismantled the Saints, beating them 27-9. The Rams are no strangers to big games and have plenty of experience on the national stage, while this is the most meaningful Browns game in years. Cleveland showed in Week 1 when they lost to the Titans by 30 points that they weren’t a true contender, and even at home I don’t see them winning here. Rams coach Sean McVay will be able to exploit the Browns’ numerous weaknesses, and Los Angeles will come away with a decisive win.

Over Under Pick

The play I like even more here is the under. The Browns’ offensive line has been a mess through two games, and Aaron Donald and co. should be able to make life miserable for Baker Mayfield. Something is up with the Browns’ offense, and Mayfield is holding the ball too long even when he does have time to throw. Jared Goff always struggles with pressure, and I think the Browns will be able to get plenty of it here. The Rams’ offensive line has already taken a big step back, and now starting right guard Austin Blythe is dealing with an ankle injury. Goff doesn’t play nearly as well on the road, and if you’re expecting a shootout here you’re going to be sorely disappointed.

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