UFC 322: Valentina Shevchenko vs. Zhang Weili Prediction for Saturday, 11/15/25

The Co-Main Event at UFC 322 will see Valentina Shevchenko take on Zhang Weili. This will be a fight in the UFC Women’s Flyweight division and will be for the UFC Women’s Flyweight title. Shevchenko enters this fight with an MMA record of 25-4-1 and 14-3-1 in the UFC. She is averaging 3.14 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 52%. Shevchenko is absorbing 2.06 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 63%. Her grappling is just as strong, averaging just 2.62 takedowns every 15 minutes. Shevchenko has a takedown accuracy of 60% and a takedown defense of 75%.

Zhang enters this fight with an MMA record of 26-3 and 10-2 in the UFC. She is averaging 5.15 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53%. Zhang is absorbing 2.77 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. Her grappling is also solid, averaging 2.24 takedowns every 15 minutes. Zhang has a takedown accuracy of 45% and a takedown defense of 74%.

This fight is evenly matched, with Shevchenko listed as the small favorite. Despite that, Zhang looks to be the better betting option. She has the advantage in striking volume, and her grappling is only slightly less than that of Shevchenko. Further, Zhang is 5-0 in her last 5 UFC fights, while Shevchenko is 3-1-1. Given that Zhang is in slightly better form and her striking is better, backing Zhang to win will be our best bet.