UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr Predictions for Today, 04/11/26

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC 327 will see Cub Swanson take on Nate Landwehr. Swanson enters this fight with an MMA record of 30-14 and 20-13 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.79 strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. Swanson is absorbing 4.00 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.01 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 50% and a takedown defense of 63%.

Landwehr enters this fight with an MMA record of 18-7 and 5-5 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.63 strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. Landwehr absorbs 5.83 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. He also has decent grappling ability, averaging 0.76 takedowns every 15 minutes and 0.8 submission attempts during the same period. Landwehr has a takedown accuracy of 41% and a takedown defense of 71%.

Landwehr is the slight favorite; therefore, we will be looking for this fight to end inside the distance. Swanson has seen 5 of his last 7 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Landwehr has seen 6 of his last 8 UFC fights end inside the distance. Because of this, also backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our play.