NFL Super Bowl MVP Odds

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With a new NFL season comes a new chance for teams to work towards the Super Bowl and a new chance for a player to win Super Bowl MVP.

This article will give you the history behind the NFL Super Bowl MVP award, including the past winners, and how these awards are given out. Unfortunately, no NFL Super Bowl MVP odds are available to bet on yet, but we provided plenty of other information that will help you make NFL Super Bowl MVP bets when the time comes. 

Betting on the 2023-2024 NFL Super Bowl MVP

It is important to note that several sportsbooks offer Super Bowl MVP odds. Below you can find a list of these sportsbooks and the welcome bonus that each one offers:

DraftKings
DraftKings logo
Bet $5, Get $150 instantly in Bonus Bets + Get a No Sweat NBA SGP Every Day of NBA Playoffs
FanDuel
Fanduel logo
Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets If your bet wins
Caesars
$1,000 First Bet on Caesars
BetMGM
BetMGM logo
$1,500 First Bet Insurance
Bet365
Bet365 icon
Bet $5 and Get $150 in Bonus Bets OR $2,000 Back If Your First Bet Loses

NFL Super Bowl MVP betting history

The table below will give you the 10-year history of the NFL Super Bowl MVP odds. This will include the player who won, the Super Bowl where they won MVP, and the odds they had to win Super Bowl MVP

Super Bowl + YearGameMVP WinnerOddsPositionScore
LVII (2023)Kansas City Chiefs vs Philadelphia EaglesPatrick Mahomes+130QBKC
38-35
LVI (2022)Los Angeles Rams vs Cincinnati BengalsCooper Kupp+600WRLAR 23-20
LV (2021)Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City ChiefsTom Brady+187QBTB
31-9
LIV (2020)Kansas City Chiefs vs San Francisco 49ersPatrick Mahomes+110QBKC 31-20
LIII (2019)New England Patriots vs Los Angeles RamsJulian Edelman+2000WRNE
13-3
LII (2018)Philadelphia Eagles vs New England PatriotsNick Foles+325QBPHI 41-33
LI (2017)New England Patriots vs Atlanta FalconsTom Brady+150QBNE
34-28
L (2016)Denver Broncos vs Carolina PanthersVon Miller+2200LBDEN 24-10
XLIX (2015)New England Patriots vs Seattle SeahawksTom Brady+160QBNE
28-24
XLVIII (2014)Seattle Seahawks vs Denver BroncosMalcolm Smith+2000LBSEA 43-8

NFL Super Bowl MVP trends & statistics

The most obvious trend is that the Super Bowl MVP almost always comes from the winning team. In fact, the last 10 Super Bowl MVPs have followed this trend. Secondly, the Super Bowl MVP is almost always a quarterback or wide receiver. Looking at the table above, this trend has held true in 8 of the last 10 years. The last non-QB or WR to win was Von Miller in 2016. Knowing these trends will help you make your NFL Super Bowl MVP predictions when the time comes.

NFL Super Bowl MVP Predictions

Looking at the trends above, there are some immediate candidates that come to mind for who could win this award. At the top of this list has to be Patrick Mahomes. He has already won this award twice. The Chiefs once again look to be the best team in the AFC, making it more likely that Mahomes will get another Super Bowl appearance. He tends to perform well in the biggest games, so looking at Mahomes when the NFL Super Bowl MVP odds become available may be beneficial. 

NFL Super Bowl MVP winners

YearPlayerTeam
2023Patrick Mahomes (QB)Kansas City Chiefs
2022Cooper Kupp (WR)Los Angeles Rams
2021Tom Brady (QB)Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2020Patrick Mahomes (QB)Kansas City Chiefs
2019Julian Edelman (WR)New England Patriots
2018Nick Foles (QB)Philadelphia Eagles
2017Tom Brady (QB)New England Patriots
2016Von Miller (LB)Denver Broncos
2015Tom Brady (QB)New England Patriots
2014Malcolm Smith (LB)Seattle Seahawks
2013Joe Flacco (QB)Baltimore Ravens
2012Eli Manning (QB)New York Giants
2011Aaron Rodgers (QB)Green Bay Packers
2010Drew Brees (QB)New Orleans Saints
2009Santonio Holmes (WR)Pittsburgh Steelers
2008Eli Manning (QB)New York Giants
2007Peyton Manning (QB)Indianapolis Colts
2006Hines Ward (WR)Pittsburgh Steelers
2005Deion Branch (WR)New England Patriots
2004Tom Brady (QB)New England Patriots
2003Dexter Jackson (S)Tampa Bay Buccaneers 
2002Tom Brady (QB)New England Patriots
2001Ray Lewis (LB)Baltimore Ravens
2000Kurt Warner (QB)St. Louis Rams
1999John Elway (QB)Denver Broncos
1998Terrell Davis (RB)Denver Broncos
1997Desmond Howard (KR/PR)Green Bay Packers
1996Larry Brown (CB)Dallas Cowboys
1995Steve Young (QB)San Francisco 49ers
1994Emmitt Smith (QB)Dallas Cowboys
1993Troy Aikman (QB)Dallas Cowboys
1992Mark Rypien (QB)Washington Redskins
1991Ottis Anderson (RB)New York Giants
1990Joe Montana (QB)San Francisco 49ers
1989Jerry Rice (WR)San Francisco 49ers
1988Doug Williams (QB)Washington Redskins
1987Phil Simms (QB)New York Giants
1986Richard Dent (DE)Chicago Bears
1985Joe Montana (QB)San Francisco 49ers
1984Marcus Allen (RB)Los Angeles Raiders
1983John Riggins (RB)Washington Redskins
1982Joe Montana (QB)San Francisco 49ers
1981Jim Plunkett (QB)Oakland Raiders
1980Terry Bradshaw (QB)Pittsburgh Steelers

How do sportsbooks calculate NFL Super Bowl MVP betting odds?

Sportsbooks calculate their NFL Super Bowl MVP odds using a variety of factors. One of the main ways these are calculated is based on regular-season performance. The players who have the best regular seasons are likely on the better teams in the league and therefore in the playoffs, and this can help with determining their NFL Super Bowl MVP odds. 

How to read NFL Super Bowl MVP betting odds

Reading the NFL Super Bowl MVP odds or just odds in general sounds difficult, but it really is quite straightforward. Below we will include a couple examples to explain:

  • +500

Say the odds for your NFL Super Bowl MVP bets were +500. This means that if you made a $100 bet, your potential profit would be $500. Similarly, if you bet $10 your potential profit would be $50. If the odds have a plus symbol, then the number that follows is always what you would win from a $100 bet.

  • -150

For this example, the odds would be -150. This means that you must bet $150 in order to win $100. If you bet $300 then you would win $200. If the odds have a minus symbol then the number that follows is what you would need to stake in order to win $100.

An easy way to look at it is that if there is a minus () sign, you will always be betting more to win less, while a plus (+) sign means you can bet less to win more.

How to calculate NFL Super Bowl MVP betting odds

The easiest way to calculate betting odds is to plug the odds of the bet you are making into an odds calculator. This will give you the American odds, decimal odds, fractional odds and implied probability, as well as your potential winnings. Alternatively, you can use the below formulas to calculate the implied probability for American odds without using a betting calculator:

Favorites:

  • odds/(odds + 100) x 100

Underdogs:

  • 100/(odds +100) x 100

Which Sportsbooks offer NFL Super Bowl MVP odds?

There are plenty of sportsbooks to consider when making NFL Super Bowl MVP bets. This includes DraftKings, FanDuel, Caesars, BetMGM and Bet365. Each of these sportsbooks can have different welcome offers which can either give you bonus bets regardless of the result of your NFL Super Bowl MVP bets, or you can receive first bet insurance with the chance to earn back bonus bets if your NFL Super Bowl MVP bets lose.

How is the NFL Super Bowl MVP is decided

The winner of the NFL Super Bowl MVP is decided by a panel of 16 writers and broadcasters, as well as a fan vote. The fan vote takes place during the game and makes up 20% of the vote, while the panel of writers and broadcasters is 80% of the vote and takes place after the game.