Ricky Dimon
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You don’t have to wait until Saturday to immerse yourself in college football Week 13 action. There were MAC games on Tuesday, the Egg Bowl between Ole Miss and Mississippi State took place on Thursday and now a whole feast of football is being served on Friday. This presents us with another great opportunity to come up with a lucrative NCAAF mega parlay. Below are my plays for Friday, and also be sure to check out all of our NCAAF picks for today and Saturday’s matchups.
UTSA ML (+150)
Boise State -9.5 alternate spread (+128)
Texas -12.5 (-110)
NCAAF parlay odds: +988
For this college football parlay, we are going with 1 underdog on the money line and 2 favorites against the spread, with 1 on an alternate number. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
UTSA Roadrunners ML over Tulane Green Wave (+150)
The early part of the season wasn’t promising for a UTSA team that was expected to take the American Athletic Conference by storm. Veteran quarterback Frank Harris played one of the worst games of his career in an opening loss to Houston before getting injured and missing games against Army and Tennessee. Since returning, however, Harris has been stellar under center while leading the Roadrunners to 7 straight victories in conference play. UTSA is stepping up defensively, as well. That unit is now 28th nationally in EPA per pass and 45th in EPA per play. Improvements on that side of the ball should serve the visitors well against a Tulane team that struggles to run the football. The Green Wave defense is 92nd in EPA per pass, which doesn’t bode well against Harris and a passing game that has exploded since the start of conference play. I think this is a good spot for a UTSA upset.
Don’t miss our Oregon State vs Oregon Same Game Parlay for tonight at +747 odds
Boise State Broncos -9.5 alternate spread over Air Force Falcons (+128)
This is a Mountain West clash that has conference championship implications. UNLV leads the MWC at 6-1, but the Rebels face 5-2 San Jose State on Saturday. Boise and Air Force are both 5-2, as well, and there are going to be a host of weird tiebreakers that come into play if UNLV takes a loss. We know one thing for sure: the loser of Friday’s contest definitely won’t be playing for the MWC title. Air Force comes into this game riding an ugly 3-game losing streak after starting the season 8-0. The worst of those losses was at Hawaii, but the Falcons also fell to Army and last week at home against UNLV.
Boise State, on the other hand, has gone in the other direction. The Broncos started slow but hit their stride in conference play. Their 2 losses have come on the road (at Fresno State and Colorado State) and they have been dominant at home. This should be a good matchup for Boise State, too. It is #30 in the country in rushing defense, well equipped to handle the Falcons’ triple-option attack. Don’t be surprised if the home team wins this one by double-digits.
Get our expert’s college football best bets for this weekend’s slate
Texas Longhorns -12.5 over Texas Tech Red Raiders (-110)
Texas needs to win this game to guarantee a spot in the conference championship while also keeping its hopes alive for the College Football Playoff. It probably will – and by a lot. The Longhorns have not been extremely efficient offensively in the last 6 weeks, but some of those inconsistencies can be attributed to quarterback Quinn Ewers missing a couple of games due to injury. Their passing attack has much more upside with Ewers under center, and it should take advantage of a Texas Tech defense that is 75th in points per opportunity allowed, 88th in success rate allowed and 106th in PPA since Week 7. The Red Raiders as a whole are simply mediocre. They are bowl eligible following last week’s win over UCF, but that’s about it. Texas has won each of the last 2 home games in this matchup by at least 25 points. I don’t think they will have any trouble covering 12.5 points on Saturday.
We’ve also got an Ohio State vs Michigan Same Game Parlay for Saturday’s HUGE matchup
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