NFL Coach of the Year Odds
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With the new NFL season just weeks away, now is a great time to look at the NFL Coach of the Year award futures. Our article will provide you with the current NFL Coach of the Year odds and some history for the NFL Coach of the Year award.
Current NFL Coach of the Year 2023-2024 Odds
The table below will list the top five NFL Coach of the Year candidates and the current NFL Coach of the Year odds for each one. Also, note that all the odds listed below are from DraftKings Sportsbook:
| Candidate | Odds |
| Dan Campbell (Detroit Lions) | +850 |
| Sean Payton (Denver Broncos) | +900 |
| Matt Eberflus (Chicago Bears) | +1100 |
| Arthur Smith (Atlanta Falcons) | +1400 |
| Matt LaFleur (Green Bay Packers) | +1500 |
Betting on NFL Coach of the Year futures
DraftKings Sportsbook is not the only sportsbook that offers NFL Coach of the Year odds. There are plenty of other sportsbooks that also offer NFL Coach of the Year futures. The importance of shopping lines is that you can find the best NFL Coach of the Year odds, which will help you find the most value.
On top of that, each sportsbook also offers its own unique welcome bonus, and each one can give you a different incentive to bet the current NFL Coach of the Year odds. In the provided table, we will include five different sportsbooks and their welcome offer:
NFL Coach of the Year candidates for 2023-2024: Who are the favorites?
Most of the NFL Coach of the Year favorites listed in our NFL Coach of the Year odds table are coaches of teams that struggled last year. That being said, they have all improved their teams over the offseason and have the opportunity to make a real run at the NFL playoffs.
Below we have listed these NFL Coach of the Year favorites and provided more information about why they could win this award for the upcoming season.
Dan Campbell NFL Coach of the Year Odds (+850)
The NFL Coach of the Year betting favorite is Dan Campbell. He is the Head Coach of the Detroit Lions and his current NFL Coach of the Year odds are +850 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Campbell led the Detroit Lions to a 9-8 season in 2022-2023 which is a vast improvement from a 3-13 season in 2021-2022. The Lions finished second in the NFC North last season and added some great potential during the 2023 Draft. Because of this, the Lions are projected to improve even further and should be a playoff contender.
Sean Payton NFL Coach of the Year Odds (+900)
Next on the list of NFL Coach of the year favorites is Sean Payton. He returns to the NFL as Heach Coach of the Denver Broncos. His NFL Coach of the Year odds are +900 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Over the course of his coaching career, Payton has compiled a 152-89 record. He has one Super Bowl title in 2009-2010.
Matt Eberflus NFL Coach of the Year Odds (+1100)
The third of the NFL Coach of the Year favorites is Matt Eberflus. He is the Head Coach of the Chicago Bears and his odds to win the NFL Coach of the Year award are +1100 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Eberflus had a rough 2022-2023 season, going 3-14 with the Bears. They picked up some talent in the NFL Draft and their quarterback, Justin Fields has even more experience, which at the very least should help the Bears improve on their record from last season.
Arthur Smith NFL Coach of the Year Odds (+1400)
Arthur Smith is fourth on the list for the NFL Coach of the Year odds at +1400. He is the Head Coach of the Atlanta Falcons, leading them to a record of 7-10 in his first two seasons at the helm. The Falcons added running back Bijan Robinson in the NFL Draft, and improved their defense. If they can take the next step and make the playoffs, Smith could be a good choice to win this award.
Matt LaFleur NFL Coach of the Year Odds (+1500)
To round out the top five for the NFL Coach of the Year favorites, we have Matt LaFleur. He is the Head Coach of the Green Bay Packers and his current NFL Coach of the Year odds are +1500 at DraftKings Sportsbook. This will also be his first season without the services of Aaron Rodgers. Having gone 8-9 last season with Rodgers, it may be difficult for them to improve with a new quarterback under center. If the Packers do not improve, LaFleur is likely not going to be considered for NFL Coach of the Year.
NFL Coach of the Year 2023-2024: Long-shot candidates to watch
One coach who could be considered a long-shot to win the NFL Coach of the Year award would be Doug Pederson at odds of +2200. He is the Head Coach of the Jacksonville Jaguars. Pederson led the Jaguars to a playoff appearance this past season, and even though they lost, the Jaguars could be a dark horse for the Super Bowl this year. They are slowly getting better every season and if they can have a breakout regular season, Pederson could be in line for winning this award.
How we make our NFL Coach of the Year 2023-2024 predictions
The main thing we look at when it comes to our NFL Coach of the Year betting predictions is how the coach has fared in their career. This especially includes their most recent season and what they did to help improve their teams over the offseason.
How the NFL Coach of the Year is decided
The NFL Coach of the Year award is voted on by a panel of 50 sports writers. The coach who receives the most votes will be named at the annual NFL awards ceremony. These sports writers are usually with the Associated Press (AP).
Trends & Statistics for the NFL Coach of the Year
The NFL Coach of the Year is not always the best coach from that particular season. The voters look at coaches who improved their team the most from the previous year, or a coach who took their team to the playoffs after losing one of their biggest stars early in the season.
That being said, if a coach were to ever have a perfect regular season, or only lose a handful of games, this would also be a reason why a coach might win the NFL Coach of the Year award.
Teams with most NFL Coach of the Year winners
| Team | No. of Winners |
| Chicago Bears | 7 |
| Baltimore/Indianapolis Colts | 6 |
| New York Giants | 6 |
Teams with no NFL Coach of the Year winner
Below are the teams who have never won an AP Coach of the Year award:
- Houston Texans
- Las Vegas Raiders
- Kansas City Chiefs
- New York Jets
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers
- Jacksonville Jaguars
Past 10 winners of NFL Coach of the Year
| Year | Winner | Team |
| 2022-2023 | Brian Daboll | New York Giants (9-7-1) |
| 2021-2022 | Mike Vrabel | Tennessee Titans (12-5) |
| 2020-2021 | Kevin Stefanski | Cleveland Browns (11-5) |
| 2019-2020 | John Harbaugh | Baltimore Ravens (14-2) |
| 2018-2019 | Matt Nagby | Chicago Bears (12-4) |
| 2017-2018 | Sean McVay | Los Angeles Rams (11-5) |
| 2016-2017 | Jason Garrett | Dallas Cowboys (13-3) |
| 2015-2016 | Ron Rivera | Carolina Panthers (15-1) |
| 2014-2015 | Bruce Arians | Arizona Cardinals (11-5) |
| 2013-2014 | Ron Rivera | Carolina Panthers (12-4) |
As per the table above, having a winning season is pretty much a requirement for the NFL Coach of the Year award. Only one coach has ever won this award with a losing record, that being Jimmy Johnson with the 1990 Dallas Cowboys.
Who has won the NFL Coach of the Year most often?
Don Shula has won the most NFL Coach of the Year awards with four during his 33-year coaching career. Three of these awards came when he was with the Baltimore Colts and one came when he was coaching the Miami Dolphins.
