MLB Picks

The home of free expert MLB picks every day of the 2024 MLB season. The bumper 162-game season returns in 2024, seeing a total of 2,340 regular season games played, plus the MLB Postseason. Get free MLB expert picks on all of the top MLB games today, right through to the MLB World Series.

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Bet Type
Experts
Confidence Rating
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks
ARZ
Today
ARID, MASN2
WAS
Washington Nationals
Washington Nationals
Money Line Pick
WAS Nationals WinARI Diamondbacks @ WAS Nationals

We have your Arizona Diamondbacks vs Washington Nationals prediction for Thursday afternoon as these two teams finish up a series. The first two games were a split, with the Nats evening the series on Wednesday. At first glance, this game seems obvious, as MacKenzie Gore is the far, far better pitcher than Ryne Nelson. But there is reason to second guess this one, or at least tread carefully.

Gore is better than Nelson, and I would take Gore head-to-head every day of the week. However, we do need to note that the D-Backs are one of the best in baseball against southpaws, while the Nats are among the worst against righties. That by itself makes this game much more even than it would seem. On the other hand, the D-Backs failed to muster anything at all against Patrick Corbin (a lefty) on Wednesday, and Gore is way more lethal than late-career Corbin. The Arizona bullpen is also the leakier unit of the two, and that might be the difference in the end. I don’t want to get aggressive and chase the Run Line here, but my Diamondbacks vs Nationals best bet is the Nats to win; just don’t be surprised if it is more of a dogfight than you might first expect.

Diamondbacks vs Nationals prediction: Nationals ML (-140) available at the time of publishing; playable at that number

Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select VA Odds
$34.08
Chad Hartsock
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers
DET
Yesterday
BSSO, BSDET
ATL
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves
Money Line Pick
ATL Braves WinDET Tigers @ ATL Braves

The Braves have taken 2 in a row from the Tigers, but they haven’t done it by lighting up the scoreboard, they’ve done it with their pitching. With 2 solid pitchers taking the mound this afternoon, we’ve got your Tigers vs Braves prediction for today, and here’s why I’m leaning toward the Braves in this afternoon’s matchup. 

I expect this to be quite the pitching duel today as Braves pitcher Reynaldo Lopez holds a 4-2 record this season with a 1.69 ERA. In 69.1 innings pitched, he has struck out 70 batters and given up only 22 walks. In his last 2 games, he struck out 15 hitters while giving up just 2 runs in 12 innings pitched. For the Tigers, they’ll be sending Tarik Skubal to the hill, who has been spectacular this year, posting an 8-2 record with a 2.20 ERA. In 86 innings pitched, he has struck out 98 hitters and walked only 16. In his last 2 games, he has given up 5 earned runs and struck out 12 in 13 innings pitched. 

In the Braves’ last 7 games, they’re averaging 4.9 runs per game and the Tigers are averaging 4, but the biggest difference in today’s matchup is the bullpen. The Braves are 5th in the league in bullpen ERA, holding strong at 3.32, while the Tigers are all the way down in 18th with a 4.03 ERA. With 2 aces taking the mound, the under looks very appealing, especially with a weak hitting team like the Tigers. However, the Braves have a far more talented lineup and I think they can score enough runs this afternoon to secure the victory. With that in mind, my Tigers vs Braves best bet is to take the Braves on the money line. 

Tigers vs Braves prediction: Braves ML (-130) available at time of publishing. Playable to -140.

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Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select VA Odds
$35.38
Jason Fragomeni
Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati Reds
CIN
Yesterday
SNPIT
PIT
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates
Game Totals Pick
Under 8.5CIN Reds @ PIT Pirates

Hunter Greene has performed better when pitching on the road in his career and this has remained true this season with 2 or fewer earned runs allowed in 5 of his 6 starts made away from Great American Ballpark, which must be taken into consideration for a Reds vs Pirates prediction. Overall, Greene has seen a decreased strikeout rate this season, but his 25.8% mark is still a 71st percentile number. Where Greene has improved from previous seasons is his quality of contact metrics, allowing just a 34.3% hard-hit rate and a 5.2% barrell rate. Both of those areas were concerns for Greene in his first 2 seasons, but he has made noticeable improvements since. He draws a Pirates offense today that has been inconsistent this season. In the last 30 days, Pittsburgh ranks just 22nd in wOBA with a 89 wRC+ against right-handed pitching.

Mitch Keller will start for the Pirates today and he has been very good since the start of May. His last 7 starts have combined for a 1.77 ERA and a very good 3.09 FIP behind it. He is controlling the zone well and limiting baserunners in general during this stretch, and now returns home where his ERA is over a full run lower than his road mark. Cincinnati has been better against right-handed pitching of late, but a lot of that has to do with favorable matchups. My Reds vs Pirates prediction is for it to be a lower-scoring game and the total to remain under despite warm weather in Pittsburgh.

Reds vs Pirates prediction: Under 8.5 (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Sportsbook
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Payout
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$19.62
Javan Shouey
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres
SD
Yesterday
SDPA, NBCSP, MLBN
PHI
Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies
Game Totals PickBest Bet
Under 8.5SD Padres @ PHI Phillies

The Padres and Phillies finish their series on Wednesday afternoon following a pair of Philadelphia wins to open the series. Monday was a 9-2 rout, but the Phillies needed a 9th-inning rally to grab the win on Tuesday. How should we play Wednesday’s game? We’ve got your Padres vs Phillies prediction here. With 2 pitchers on the mound who are shoving this season, I love the under in this game.

Ranger Suarez is a front-runner for NL Cy Young, and he has only given up more than 3 runs once all season. His game log looks like binary code — a bunch of 0s and 1s. Matt Waldron has also been good, firing off 7 straight starts of 2 runs or less. Waldron, if you don’t know, throws a knuckleball, and he is not only getting away with it, but he is thriving. The most likely outcome is that we get to around the 7th inning with little to no scoring, and then we see the high-leverage arms down the stretch. The Phillies would again have the advantage with the far better bullpen, if you want to play a money line angle, but I believe the best value is on the game total. With Suarez and Waldron on the bump, I am making under 8.5 runs my Padres vs Phillies best bet.

Padres vs Phillies prediction: Under 8.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select VA Odds
$58.57
Chad Hartsock
San Francisco Giants
San Francisco Giants
SF
Yesterday
MSN, NBCSBA
CHI
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs
Game Totals Pick
Under 11.5SF Giants @ CHI Cubs

Today’s Giants vs Cubs prediction will have us looking towards the total, which is set at a ridiculously high 11.5. This isn’t Coors Field and even though there is projected to be roughly 10 mph winds blowing out of the ballpark, this total is simply too high for a Wrigley Field game. While the weather contributes to where the line was set, Chicago’s starting pitcher Kyle Hendricks, also likely plays a part in the inflated number. His 8.20 ERA and 1.71 WHIP are eye-catching for all the wrong reasons, but his xERA of 5.63 suggests he is due for some substantial positive regression. He’s surrendered a whopping 0 runs in his last 3 appearances and appears to be trending back towards the average. 

Neither team has been too impressive offensively, with Chicago down in 26th in wRC+ over the last month while the Giants fall in the bottom half of the league in batting average against RHP. San Francisco starter Spencer Howard (4.02 ERA, 1.66 WHIP) has limited experience with just 4 starts this year, but he’s looked solid thus far. Considering San Francisco used only one bullpen arm in yesterday’s game, Howard will have a bevy of arms available in relief if things go haywire. Even if things do go a little wild, an 11.5 run total gives us plenty of room for error. With all things considered, I’m taking the under as my Giants vs Cubs prediction.

Giants vs Cubs pick: Under 11.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select VA Odds
$18.33
Ryan Bunnell
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles
BAL
Yesterday
YES
NYY
New York Yankees
New York Yankees
Money Line Pick
NY Yankees WinBAL Orioles @ NY Yankees

Yankees fans were holding their breath last night as Aaron Judge took a pitch off of his left hand, but thankfully for the Yankees, it came back negative. We don’t know if Judge will be in tonight’s lineup, but that isn’t going change my Orioles vs Yankees prediction simply because New York has its ace coming back, Gerrit Cole.  

Cole is set to take the mound for the first time this year after he pitched 4.1 scoreless innings and struck out 10 batters last Friday in his Triple-A start. For Baltimore, they’ll be sending left-hander Cade Povich to the mound, who is 0-1 this season with a 4.76 ERA. Povich was solid in his last start, where he didn’t give up a single run and struck out 6 against the Braves in 6 innings.

The Yankees will be looking to build off the crowd’s energy when Cole takes the mound, but they haven’t had much success against lefties this year. The Yankees are batting .241 this year against lefties, with only 21 home runs and 71 RBIs. Cole is 5-3 in his career against the Orioles, and with him taking the mound tonight, I’m making the Yankees on the money line my Orioles vs Yankees best bet for tonight’s matchup.  

Orioles vs Yankees prediction: Yankees ML (-170) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select VA Odds
$31.63
Jason Fragomeni
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox
BOS
Yesterday
NESN
TOR
Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto Blue Jays
Game Totals Pick
Over 8.0BOS Red Sox @ TOR Blue Jays

My Red Sox vs Blue Jays prediction for today’s game is for it to be a higher-scoring game with enough runs to surpass the posted total. Brayan Bello and Kevin Gausman have both had inconsistent and underwhelming seasons, especially considering the expectation levels for each of them entering this 2024 season. Bello has allowed 3 or more earned runs in each of his last 6 starts, including 4, 5 and 4 in his 3 starts this month. The right-hander has also struggled against active Blue Jay hitters in the past, allowing a 1.024 OPS in a 58 PA sample. Toronto in the last 30 days against right-handed pitching ranks 12th in wOBA with a 108 wRC+ and the 3rd-lowest strikeout rate.

Gausman has been a bit better of late, allowing just 3 combined earned runs in his last 2 outings, including a complete game shutout against the Athletics. Still, Gausman has taken sizable steps back in his run prevention indicators. His 20th-percentile hard-hit rate allowed is amplified by his inability to keep the ball on the ground, and his 9th-percentile barrel rate is the result. Gausman has also suffered from decreased strikeout rates this season, and with Boston swinging a hot bat that could lead to issues. The Red Sox in the last 30 days against right-handed pitching rank 4th in wOBA with a 114 wRC+, and they have had success against Gausman in the past as well. Active Boston hitters have a combined .859 OPS across 97 PA, and even scored 8 runs off him in one of their matchups last year. I like both sides to find offensive success tonight.

Blue Jays vs Red Sox prediction: Over 8 (+100) available at time of publishing. Playable to -110 odds.

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Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
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$38.87
Javan Shouey
New York Mets
New York Mets
NYM
Yesterday
SNY, BSSW
TEX
Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers
Game Totals Pick
Under 8.5NY Mets @ TEX Rangers

The New York Mets are riding high on a 7-game winning streak as they head into the final game of their series against the Texas Rangers. However, the Rangers have struggled mightily, dropping 5 straight contests. With both teams’ offenses trending in opposite directions, the best Mets vs Rangers prediction for today is to take the under at -115 odds.

The Mets have been scoring runs in bunches, plating 21 over the first 2 games of this series, but they’ll face a tough test against Rangers starter Andrew Heaney, who has a respectable 4.19 ERA. Meanwhile, the Rangers’ bats have gone cold, averaging just 3 runs per game during their losing skid. They’ll have their hands full with Mets pitcher Sean Manaea, who is coming off a stellar outing. With both starters capable of keeping the offenses in check, under 8.5 runs to be scored looks a wise play for our Mets vs Rangers best bet.

Mets vs Rangers prediction: Under 8.5 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to -120.

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Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select VA Odds
$36.67
Ed Perovic
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers
LAD
Yesterday
SNLA; Rockies.TV
COL
Colorado Rockies
Colorado Rockies
Game Totals Pick
Under 10.5LA Dodgers @ COL Rockies

The Los Angeles Dodgers and Colorado Rockies continue their series on Wednesday night at Coors Field. While the offenses for these 2 clubs can certainly light up the scoreboard, taking the under looks appealing as a Dodgers vs Rockies best bet.

The Dodgers are sending right-hander Bobby Miller to the mound and he was excellent in his one start against the Rockies last season, allowing just 2 runs over 7 innings with 9 strikeouts. Colorado’s bats have been inconsistent at best all season. On the other side, the Dodgers lineup is top-heavy and they’ve been held to 4 or fewer runs in 5 straight before hitting Colorado. With a fresh Miller on the mound and a typically over-inflated run number at Coors Field, under 10.5 runs to be scored at -120 odds looks a solid Dodgers vs Rockies prediction for tonight’s showdown.

Dodgers vs Rockies prediction: Under 10.5 (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select VA Odds
$36.39
Ed Perovic

MLB Video

The biggest theme of MLB picks is ‘opportunity.’ That’s because of the mammoth 162 regular-season games, plus the playoffs, meaning you can have are up to 15 MLB games a day to wager on. With so many games on offer each day, it means if your MLB picks get hot, you can really build up your bankroll quickly. It also means that if you have a not-so-great day at the sportsbook window, you can get right back on the horse the next day instead of dwelling on it for a week as you would with the NFL for example. We have MLB picks on the best games, every day from opening day through to the World Series itself.

What Free MLB Expert Picks Do You Offer On MLB Games Today

There are 2,430 total games in the MLB regular season and our expert MLB picks provide insight and analysis including an MLB Expert Pick for all of the MLB games today, and be sure to head to our MLB Best Bets page for today’s top plays.

MLB Games Today – Today’s MLB Picks

We offer our MLB expert picks throughout the 6-month MLB season with great success. We have you covered with Today’s MLB Picks, available for all of the MLB games today. Our MLB picks cover the marquee matchups as well as the under-the-radar plays away from the spotlights where you often find tremendous value. Pitching matchups, weather, injuries, travel schedule, and many other factors are all taken into account to find the best MLB picks in all of the MLB games today.

2024 MLB Picks

MLB picks provide a real test across such an action-packed and long season. The age-old cliché of it being a marathon and not a sprint is most applicable to MLB picks during the 2,430 game season. 

Our experts spend hours researching and analyzing all of the key information such as statistics, pitchers, team news, weather, travel, and more before making our MLB picks all season long.

With 2,340 regular season games, and an entire MLB postseason to breakdown, the level of detail required for long-term wagering success is huge. That’s where our experts shine, we do the research so you don’t have to, bringing you a full game preview and the best free MLB picks throughout the MLB regular season and post season. 

Free Money Line MLB Picks 

The most popular way to bet on MLB is via the Money line. This means games are basically handicapped based on each of the team’s starting pitchers. “Sure thing” pitchers such as Jacob deGrom, Max Scherzer, and Clayton Kershaw are going to cost you, often requiring a $200 or more wager to make $100 (-200). Finding an even pitching matchup or one of those stud pitchers that may be fatigued and going against them is the best way to make money on the MLB. Our free MLB money line picks help you identify these profitable matchups throughout the baseball season.

MLB Picks Against The Spread – Run Line MLB Picks

The spread in baseball is known as ‘the run line’. Many bettors feel there isn’t as much value laying -200 on an all-star caliber pitcher because even elite pitchers can turn the game over to his bullpen who will subsequently blow the game and cost them the win. Therefore waging on the run line (-1.5 or +1.5) is a great way to find better MLB prices compared to the Money line. A Clayton Kershaw pick on the ML (win outright) for example might be -240 but betting that same game to win by 2 runs or more (run line) could be priced at -120. The MLB run line works in the opposite way too. There are a lot of 1-run games in baseball and betting on a team +1.5 runs is a great way to string together wagering wins if you think teams can keep games close.

Free Total Runs MLB Picks

There’s no other sport where the stadiums and the weather are so crucial to the scoring as the MLB. This is why our free MLB picks on the totals see almost as much wagering from the public as each side of the game itself.

The dimensions of the MLB parks are also different and need to be factored in when making your MLB picks. Coors Field for example is located in the high altitude of Denver, Colorado which means it’s not unlikely to see scores similar to 11-8 three or four times a week. Minute Maid Park in Houston for example has a left-field wall that is just 315 feet from home plate compared to AT&T Park in San Francisco that has a right-center field alley of 421 feet.

Weather is a major factor when picking our MLB picks today. The ball travels better on 92 degree Summer days in Arlington, Texas, or when the wind is blowing out to left field at 23 MPH at Wrigley Field in Chicago. So before you head to the window make sure you check the weather report to give your ticket the best chance of cashing, particularly with those MLV Totals picks.

Our experts do all of this research and analysis for you and our accompanying game preview will detail all of the key factors in making our MLB Totals Picks for each game. 

Alternate Free Expert MLB Picks

There are numerous ways to have success with your MLB picks. For example, if you are confident in a team’s starting pitching but have reservations on their bullpen and relievers, sportsbooks offer the first 5 innings lines.

Also if you are really confident in a particular matchup you can bet on alternate run lines or taking a team to win by -2.5 or even -3.5 runs with increasing pay outs. Another fun way to essentially bet on all MLB games today, at once, is with a grand salami wager, in which you’re wagering on the over/under for total runs scored in all games on a given day. There’s plenty of fun to be had on a daily basis with our MLB picks.

Free Baseball Picks Today

Baseball is a notoriously difficult sport to bet on day today. Teams will typically play each other in mini-series over a few days, and it’s common to see the sides split these games. Trying to find out which team is primed on any given day in a league built around parity is no easy task. To make the most informed decision about any matchup or wager requires a lot of time and research ahead of making our MLB baseball picks. Our expert handicappers will consider everything from pitching lineups, bullpen strength, the number of days on the road, player injuries, the stadium, the weather, and a whole host of advanced statistical models before making our baseball picks. With 2,340 regular-season games and up to 15 on any given day, that’s a lot of hours’ worth of research for any one person. That’s where we at Pickswise come to the fore. Our team of baseball, experts do the research for you. All of our baseball picks and free and come with full reasoning, analysis, and a confidence rating. Check out our MLB Best Bets page for our favorite plays today

What Is An MLB Computer Pick 

An MLB computer pick is an unbiased entirely stats-driven MLB pick  on the outcome of particular markets in a given MLB game.

Advanced stats, beyond the hits, runs and strikes, have long been associated with baseball, and the importance of it has grown immensely in recent years with regards to MLB picks and waging. With access to more and more data, we can use this information to find an edge in the MLB markets to bring you the best MLB picks from today’s games.

An MLB computer pick is generated by a supercomputer capable of simulating pre-game probabilities using advanced machine learning techniques by simulating each MLB game over 10,000 times to cater for the large range of outcomes and variables that can occur. It does this by running hundreds of algorithmic variabilities to predict the performance of each player, which is then used to run overall match simulations. This is then compared to the live odds and markets to find the biggest non-biased edges out there.

How To Use And Wager On MLB Computer Picks

There are many ways you can use MLB computer picks, with a wealth of information generated for various markets ahead of today’s MLB slate.

For each MLB game, you’ll find MLB computer picks for the Money line, Run Line, and Run Totals markets. You can also generate individual player projections with strikeouts, runs, & or hits, which are great for finding the edge on MLB player prop bets.

MLB Baseball Consensus Picks

MLB consensus picks are the picks in which the public are leaning and waging on any given MLB game, or market. For example, if 68% of the picks are on the Chicago White Sox money line, over the Detroit Tigers, then they are the consensus money line pick. However if 60% of the picks are on the Tigers ATS, then they are the consensus pick on the spread. The consensus, in short, is a way to gauge where the money is going, this can move lines and odds, so are worth keeping an eye on, at the very least, even if you intend on fading the public.

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