MLB Picks

Money Line PickBest Bet
STL Cardinals Win

St. Louis kept its winning streak going on Friday afternoon. That makes 13 in a row heading into the weekend. It is pretty amazing given how this team had been so ordinary most of the season and the moves the Cardinals made at the deadline were to pick up veteran arms that nobody else seemed to want. Paul Goldschmidt picked up his game and the Cardinals have 3 hitters in the lineup with 30+ homers. They can beat you in a lot of ways and are peaking at the right time. The Cubs head into Saturday looking to halt a 3-game losing streak. Their lineup has a lot of unrecognizable faces but it is probably the pitching that is the weaker side of the team right now. The Cubs have sunk to 27th in team ERA and even if they get a lead it is not all that safe with their bullpen. These teams are miles apart from where they were in the spring. Cubs vs Cardinals is always a good time but there might not be much juice to it this weekend. 

Lefty Jon Lester has been a surprisingly good pickup for the Cardinals. He has not given up more than 2 runs in 6 straight starts and has definitely contributed to St. Louis’ surge to the playoffs. I am not a fan but I can’t discount the result or the fact that this is a good matchup for him. Adrian Sampson is just helping the Cubs get through the season. The journeyman is not part of their long-term plans, but he has been reasonably effective. This will be his 4th start of the season and he has not pitched against St. Louis in any role this year. Perhaps that will be of some advantage. The Cubs are still 1 game over .500 at Wrigley Field but that is not near enough of a reason to look at them in this spot. The markets must not be fans of Lester either because the premium is such that we can sensibly take the Cardinals on the run line. All streaks come to an end, but there are no indicators this is the spot. Take St. Louis.

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$32.12
Game Totals Pick
Over

As the Cardinals have been on their hot streak, they have posted an 8-5 O/U record. They have also gone over the total in each of their last 3 games. Even though Lester has been pitching well it always feels like trouble is just around the corner because he isn’t dominating–he usually gives up a few runs. The Cardinals are clicking on all cylinders now; as long as they are winning games, the over is the best bet. Even more so on the road with both teams getting the full complement of at-bats. Wrigley Field generally favors the hitters Saturday should be a good day for them even though there is not going to be as much intensity as there usually is for these rivals. Take the over.

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$0.00
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$0.00
Matt Wiesenfeld
Run Line Pick
PHI Phillies Win -1.5

The Pirates got spanked 12-6 in the first game of the series. Those 6 runs are pretty good for a team that struggles to score as much as they do. Unfortunately they don’t pitch well, either; they are 28th in team ERA. It has been a struggle all season long in the rotation, as they are 30th in quality starts. That is not a good stat for any team but especially for a team that scores so little. They are playing from behind so much of the time and don’t have the power to play catchup. With every win, the Phillies get to extend their season. After this series they go to Atlanta, so they have a schedule that enables them to take the division if they close strong. Catcher JT Realmuto was the big bat in the Thursday win. With Bryce Harper being so patient, and the guy that most teams do not want to let beat them, he is coming up in big situations and making the most of them. After Sal Perez, he is the best hitting catcher in the game. 

Will Crowe has made 23 starts for Pittsburgh this season. Very few of them have been of quality but the Pirates just don’t have a lot of options. He did get a win in his last start at Miami but his ERA for the month of September is a rough 8.25 even though he has not given up a home run in the month. Lefty Ranger Suarez has been a godsend for the Phillies. Since moving to the rotation he has made 10 starts and only once has he given up as many as 3 runs. He might not dominate but he has been their most consistent pitcher after Zach Wheeler. Philly is a heavy favorite on Saturday. I wouldn’t normally associate that kind of pricing with Suarez, but with the way he has been pitching and how bad the Pirates are it makes sense. When the Phils are -200 or more they are just 5-4 this season, but 2 of those wins have come this week. This can be a third but the run line is the better play for the risk. Take Philadelphia.

Sportsbook
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$36.00
Game Totals Pick
Over 8.5

The total for this game is modest. Suarez should be able to have success against a light Pirates lineup, but I have no confidence in Crowe to do the same in response. The Phillies’ bullpen has been the Achilles’ heel of the team all season long and has an ERA of 5.04 at home. They have been better of late, but I worry about a 5-1 game turning into something like an 8-4 final. The over looks good in this spot thanks to the Pirates’ lack of depth of arms, too. All of their solid ones have been shipped out already. Take the over.

*8.5 available at time of publishing; playable up to 9.*

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$36.67
Matt Wiesenfeld
Money Line Pick
HOU Astros Win

Houston has built up enough of a cushion in the AL West that they might clinch the division this weekend if they play well. They have the top offense in the Majors thanks to one of the deepest lineups in the game. OF Yordan Alvarez is leading the team in homers but he might be resting this weekend as he deals with an injury. There is no reason to push him with the playoffs around the corner, especially with this team loaded with offense. 

While Houston is secure, Oakland’s playoff chances are not looking very good right now. Things might have been different but they were swept at home by Seattle to start the week. At this point, they are both far back and have too many teams to climb over to make it. They just have to take it one game at a time. The offense fell apart against the Mariners, they only scored 10 runs over the 4 games. That has to pick up over the weekend. 

After a couple of bad starts to start September Houston lefty Framber Valdez was great in his last outing, 7 shutout innings against the Angels. It was on the road too. Valdez has been sneaky good for the Astros this season but he is also setting new innings highs with every game so there is some fatigue risk. Sean Manaea is the most experienced starter the A’s have but he has not been able to help them snap out of their recent struggles. The A’s are just 2-5 in his last 7 starts and he has pitched only 5 innings in each of his last 2. They really need a command performance from him. 

Right now this one is lined even. I think that creates a great opportunity for the visitors. I fear that Oakland might not have much left in the tank and I am not confident in Manaea being a difference-maker on the mound. With no premium on Houston, they are the team to back. 

Take Houston.

Sportsbook
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Payout
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$38.18
Sportsbook
Payout
Place Bet
$38.18
$38.18
$39.00
$36.60
Game Totals Pick
Over 8.5

As the top-scoring team in the league, it is no surprise that Houston has played more overs than unders this season. These teams have played 7 games in Oakland before this series and all 7 of them have gone over (heading into Friday night). I see no reason for this game to be an outlier. Houston has plenty of offense and is loaded with righthanded bats that can give Manaea trouble. He tends to have a lot of very good games and ones where he is very easy to hit, with not much in the middle. This will be one of the latter.

Take the over (8.5 available at publishing, bet to 9)

 

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$40.00
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$40.00
$40.00
$40.00
$41.00
Matt Wiesenfeld
Money Line Pick
NY Yankees Win

Friday night’s pitchers duel didn’t turn out as expected as the offenses were the main story of the game. The Yankees jumped out to a quick 7-0 lead after three innings and they never looked back as they won 8-3 and gained some ground in the AL Wild Card race since both Toronto and Boston lost. New York’s outburst for eight runs is the third time in the last three games that they have scored at least seven runs and it can be attributed to Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, and Gleyber Torres all swinging a hot bat. They will have reliever-turned-starter Nestor Cortes on the mound who has been spectacular in the starting rotation with a 2.94 ERA and a .218 opponent batting average. With how hot the Yankees offense is right now, Cortes starting is just an added bonus for New York backers. 

Nick Pivetta could be the definition of inconsistency. Pivetta comes into this matchup with a 4.63 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in 144 innings this season, but it has been a rollercoaster of starts for the 28-year-old. He has thrown six shutouts this season to go with 11 starts of allowing four runs or more. None of the shutouts have come against New York as the Yankees lineup has seen Pivetta really well as they have a .308 batting average with a .410 wOBA in 50 plate appearances. His offense seemed to have found some magic in the yellow uniforms, but they might have run out of luck and don’t seem in position to win this game. I’ll take the Yankees by the money line at a great price.

Sportsbook
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$19.52
Game Totals Pick
Under 10.5

I know yesterday’s total combined for double-digits, but I don’t see that happening again. The under has hit in four of Cortes’ last five starts and those games combined for an average of 7.2 runs. Both teams have far above average bullpens as they rank 7th and 11th in ERA in the last 15 days and neither team used their primary relievers in Friday’s game since the score got out of hand early. A total this high is a little confusing, so I’ll take advantage of it and back the under 10.5 at Fenway Park.

* Under 10.5 line playable at time of publishing. Playable down to 10 *

 

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$37.39
Keith Schmelter
Money Line Pick
KC Royals Win

Sometimes, in late September games between 2 teams that have already been eliminated from the playoffs, you just have to ask yourself whether it’s worth it to have faith in the devil you know. Tarik Skubal has been a part of the Tigers’ rotation since the beginning of the season and has done perfectly fine, nothing more or less. His 4.25 ERA is as good a number as his team could have anticipated, but it’s also one they know very well could be his ceiling. Skubal has gone just 3 innings in each of his 3 September starts, and unless he gets through Kansas City’s lineup quickly and easily the first time through the order, the Tigers are unlikely to have him go much further.

So now for the unknown. Kansas City will give the ball to 24-year-old Jon Heasley, a 13th round draft pick who’d never made it above A-ball before this season (and even this year pitched only at Double-A before his callup a week ago). Heasley made his debut against the Mariners, giving up 4 runs in as many innings and taking the loss. But he did go 7-3 with a 3.33 ERA in the minors this year, and now that the jitters of his debut are behind him, it’s entirely possible that he can settle in and put together a better outing. This is the time of year to take chances on undervalued underdog pitchers, so go with Kansas City on Saturday.

Sportsbook
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Payout
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$42.00
Game Totals Pick
Over 9.0

Salvador Perez has already set the record for most home runs by a catcher in a single season, but don’t expect him to stop just now. Perez has raked against lefties all season, and there’s been no one he’s enjoyed facing more than Skubal. Salvy is 5-for-11 with 3 homers and 8 RBI against the Tigers’ starter, who’s struggled against Kansas City all season. As for Heasley, there’s not much to go off, and the Royals clearly see something in him, but that something wasn’t there last Friday against the Mariners. Without much big league experience for either of these pitchers (Skubal is still considered a rookie despite debuting last season), and given that neither is likely to go further than 5 innings before turning it over to the bullpen, take the over.

Over 9 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number. 

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$37.39
Dylan Ruhl
Run Line Pick
TB Rays Win -1.5

The Miami Marlins and Tampa Bay Rays will play the second game of their 3-games series at Tropicana Field on Saturday.  The Rays dominated last night with a big 8-0 win, and they should feel good about their chances heading into Saturday’s matchup.  The Marlins have really struggled against left-handed pitchers this season, and it showed in last night’s contest.  Ryan Yarbrough tossed 6.0 scoreless frames while allowing just 2 hits.  Tampa Bay will send another lefty, Shana McClanahan, to the mound to start this game.  McClanahan is posting a solid 3.51 ERA so far this season.

The Marlins have won just 32% of their road games, while the Rays have been one of the better home teams in all of baseball, winning 62% of their games at Tropicana Field.  McClanahan typically puts them in a position to win games, and the offense is hot.  Tampa Bay has scored 17 runs on 22 hits over their last 2 games.  It’s hard to back the Marlins on the road, especially against a left-handed pitcher of McClanahan’s caliber.  Take the Rays -1.5 at home.

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$41.00
Game Totals Pick
Under 7.5

Sandy Alcantara gets the nod for the visitors.  He is pitching his best down the stretch.  The Miami right-hander has an impressive 1.84 ERA in 4 September starts, and he has made a habit out of pitching in low-scoring games.  The under is 19-8-4 in his 31 starts on the year.  On the other side, the under is 14-8-1 in McClanahan’s 23 starts.  The Marlins couldn’t do anything against the left-handed Yarbrough last night, and things won’t get any easier against the hard-throwing McClanahan.  Make it a small play considering the Tampa Bay bats are hot, but consider the under.

Under 7.5 available at time of publishing.  Playable at that number.

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Payout
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$19.09
Connor Grootenhuis
Money Line Pick
WAS Nationals Win

After owning a spot in the National League wild care just a short time ago, the Reds have seen their playoff hopes dwindle.  Cincinnati is just 8-13 in September, and they have really struggled with runners in scoring position.  Over the last 15 days, the Reds rank 26th in all of baseball in terms of batting average with runners in scoring position.  Their inability to cash in on scoring chances has really hurt them.  The bullpen has also been shaky.  The Reds had last night’s game all but secured before allowing 3 runs in the top of the 9th to send the game to extras.  Overall, the Reds are a tough team to trust right now.

Vladimir Gutierrez will take the mound for the home team in this one.  The Cincinnati right-hander is posting a 5.51 ERA and .295 at home this season.  He’s struggled with consistency, and Washington’s bats are hot.  Juan Soto is on a historic tear, and the Nationals have scored 7 or more runs in 4 of their last 5 games.  Fade the Reds and back the Nats on the road.

Sportsbook
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$23.00
Game Totals Pick
Under 9.5

Last night’s game was an 11-inning slugfest with a final score of 8-7.  That was the first game between these teams to go over the total this season, and the under is now 4-1 in their 5 meetings.  Things may simmer down a bit in this one.  Washington starter Erick Fedde has allowed just 3 earned runs over his last 2 outings (10.0 innings), and Cincinnati’s offense has been very inconsistent as of late.  The under is hitting at a 56% clip for the Nationals on the road when the line is 9 or higher.  Consider the under.

Under 9.5 available at time of publishing.  Playable at that number.

Sportsbook
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$18.70
Connor Grootenhuis
Run Line Pick
CLE Indians Win +1.5

On paper, this may look like a total mismatch.  The White Sox just clinched the American League Central and have one of the most talented rosters in all of baseball.  However, things haven’t been automatic against the Indians.  Cleveland has played Chicago tough, winning 8 of their 17 matchups so far this season.  Lance Lynn will take the mound for the the White Sox in this one.  While he has pitched very well this season, the White Sox are 1-3 in his last 4 outings.  In addition, Lynn has not earned a win since July 25.  He has also struggled a bit against the Indians.  In 3 starts against Cleveland this season, Lynn is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA.

The White Sox have already clinched the division, so their sense of urgency may not be as high.  On the other side, this is Cleveland’s last home series of the season.  The White Sox are under-.500 on the road (38-40), and the Indians will be looking to end their season at home on a high note.  There is not much value on Chicago, so consider backing Cleveland +1.5.

Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select Odds
$19.52
Game Totals Pick
Over 8.5

The over is 10-7 in the 17 matchups between these teams so far this season.  Yesterday’s game was a 1-0 contest, but that was a pitching matchup between Dylan Cease and Shane Bieber.  Things should open up a bit more in this one.  Lynn has been shaky against the Indians, and this will be his fourth time facing them.  The Cleveland bats should be familiar with him by now.  On the other side, Eli Morgan is posting a less than stellar 5.68 ERA on the year.  He gave up 7 earned runs in his last home start against the Brewers, and the White Sox have a powerful lineup that is capable of giving him some issues.  Consider the over.

Over 8.5 available at time of publishing.  Playable at that number.

Sportsbook
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Payout
Select Odds
$19.09
Connor Grootenhuis

MLB Picks

 The biggest theme of MLB betting is ‘opportunity.’ That’s because of the mammoth 162  regular-season games, plus the playoffs, meaning you can have are up to 15 MLB games a day to wager on. With so many games on offer each day, it means if your MLB picks get hot, you can really build up your bankroll quickly. It also means that if you have a not-so-great day at the sportsbook window, you can get right back on the horse the next day instead of dwelling on it for a week as you would with the NFL for example. We have MLB picks on every game, every day from opening day through to the World Series itself.

What Free MLB Expert Picks Do You Offer At Pickswise?

There are 2,430 total games in the MLB regular season and our expert MLB picks provide insight and analysis including an MLB Expert Pick for every game, if you’re looking for the best MLB bets today we have you covered.

MLB Games Today – Today’s Best MLB Picks

We offer our MLB expert picks throughout the 6-month MLB season with great success. We have you covered with Today’s MLB Picks, available for all of the MLB games today. Our MLB picks cover the marquee matchups as well as the under-the-radar plays away from the spotlights where you often find tremendous value. Pitching matchups, weather, injuries, travel schedule, and many other factors are all taken into account to find the best MLB picks in all of the MLB games today.

2021 MLB Picks

MLB picks provide a real test across such an action-packed and long season. The age-old cliche of it being a marathon and not a sprint is most applicable to MLB picks during the 2,430 game season. 

Our experts spend hours researching and analyzing all of the key information such as statistics, pitchers, team news, weather, travel, and more before making our MLB picks for every game of the 2021 MLB season.

With 2,340 regular season games, and an entire MLB postseason to breakdown, the level of detail required for long-term wagering success is huge. That’s where our experts shine, we do the research so you don’t have to, bringing you a full game preview and the best free MLB picks for every game of the 2021 season. 

Free Money line MLB Picks 

The most popular way to bet on MLB is via the Moneyline. This means games are basically handicapped based on each of the team’s starting pitchers. “Sure thing” pitchers such as Jacob deGrom, Max Scherzer, and Clayton Kershaw are going to cost you, often requiring a $200 or more wager to make $100 (-200). Finding an even pitching matchup or one of those stud pitchers that may be fatigued and going against them is the best way to make money in MLB betting. Our free MLB money line picks help you identify these profitable matchups for every game of the baseball season.

MLB Picks Against The Spread – Run Line MLB Picks

The spread in baseball is known as ‘the run line’. Many bettors feel there isn’t as much value laying -200 on an all-star caliber pitcher because even elite pitchers can turn the game over to his bullpen who will subsequently blow the game and cost them the win. Therefore betting on the run line (-1.5 or +1.5) is a great way to find better MLB prices compared to the Moneyline. A Clayton Kershaw pick on the ML (win outright) for example might be -240 but betting that same game to win by 2 runs or more (run line) could be priced at -120. MLB run line betting works in the opposite way too. There are a lot of 1-run games in baseball and betting on a team +1.5 runs is a great way to string together wagering wins if you think teams can keep games close.

Free Total Runs MLB Picks

There’s no other sport where the stadiums and the weather are so crucial to the scoring as the MLB. This is why our free MLB picks on the totals see almost as much wagering from the public as each side of the game itself.

The dimensions of the MLB parks are also different and need to be factored in when making your MLB picks. Coors Field for example is located in the high altitude of Denver, Colorado which means it’s not unlikely to see scores similar to 11-8 three or four times a week. Minute Maid Park in Houston for example has a left-field wall that is just 315 feet from home plate compared to AT&T Park in San Francisco that has a right-center field alley of 421 feet.

Weather is a major factor when picking our MLB picks today. The ball travels better on 92 degree Summer days in Arlington, Texas, or when the wind is blowing out to left field at 23 MPH at Wrigley Field in Chicago. So before you head to the window make sure you check the weather report to give your ticket the best chance of cashing, particularly with those MLV Totals picks.

Our experts do all of this research and analysis for you and our accompanying game preview will detail all of the key factors in making our MLB Totals Picks for each game. 

Alternate Free Expert MLB Picks

There are numerous ways to have success betting on MLB. For example, if you are confident in a team’s starting pitching but have reservations on their bullpen and relievers, sportsbooks offer the first 5 innings lines.

Also if you are really confident in a particular matchup you can bet on alternate run lines or taking a team to win by -2.5 or even -3.5 runs with increasing payouts. Another fun way to essentially bet on all MLB games of the day at once is with a grand salami wager, in which you’re wagering on the over/under for total runs scored in all games on a given day. There’s plenty of fun to be had on a daily basis with our MLB picks.

MLB Schedule 2021

The 2021 MLB Schedule sees a welcome to return to somewhat a normal baseball season. While fans and attendances will remain limited on a state-by-state basis, baseball is back! And so is the full schedule of games.

The 2021 Major League baseball season will begin on April 1st, 2021 with all 30 Major League teams playing on opening day for the fourth consecutive year. Just five games are scheduled to be played on Friday, April 2nd but the first weekend of the season is packed, with a full 15 games on Saturday 3rd and 13 games on Sunday 4th. The 2021 MLB Schedule is certainly starting with a bang.

The inter-league schedule for 2021 will see the AL West vs. NL West, AL East vs. NL East, and AL Central vs. NL Central. One key takeaway from the inter-league schedule is that the New York Mets will host the New York Yankees at Citi Field across September 10th-12, 2021 – the first time the two New York sides will play each other on September 11th as the league observes the 20th anniversary.

The 2021 MLB playoffs are scheduled to start on October 5th, with a World Series start date planned for Tuesday 26th October.

Pickswise will provide expert analysis on every game of the 2021 MLB Schedule, including who we have winning the world series in 2021. 

2021 MLB Playoff Picks

In addition to free daily MLB picks, we also provide insight into MLB playoffs betting. From wild card ‘play-in’ matchups to Game 7 of the World Series, there’s nothing quite like the excitement of October baseball. In the MLB playoffs, pitching rotations are shortened and home-field becomes an even bigger advantage but it’s important to make sure the lines reflect that. Our experts analyze every playoff game and give you their expert MLB picks to help you make the best selections in the MLB Playoffs to finish off the season strongly and in profit.

2021 World Series Picks

The World Series is the prize in which all 30 teams dream of winning at the start of the season, but some teams have a better chance of winning it than others. You can wager on the World Series winner as soon as the previous season concludes and the odds will fluctuate throughout the offseason in reaction to trades and both player and team news. You can also wager on your World Series picks at any stage throughout the season, with the world series odds also updated in reaction to how the season pans out. Our expert handicappers will provide analysis and expert world series picks before the season as well as highlighting value picks throughout the 2021 MLB season.

Free Baseball Picks Today

Baseball is a notoriously difficult sport to bet on day today. Teams will typically play each other in mini-series over a few days, and it’s common to see the sides split these games. Trying to find out which team is primed on any given day in a league built around parity is no easy task. To make the most informed decision about any matchup or wager requires a lot of time and research ahead of making our MLB baseball picks. Our expert handicappers will consider everything from pitching lineups, bullpen strength, the number of days on the road, player injuries, the stadium, the weather, and a whole host of advanced statistical models before making our baseball picks. With 2,340 regular-season games and up to 15 on any given day, that’s a lot of hours’ worth of research for any one person. That’s where we at Pickswise come to the fore. Our team of baseball, experts do the research for you. All of our baseball picks and free and come with full reasoning, analysis, and a confidence rating. Check out our MLB Best Bets page for our favorite plays today

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BetAmerica is owned by the iconic Churchill Downs Incorporated, home of 150 years of wagering history and the world-famous Kentucky Derby

Players who sign up using ‘BET200’ code will get a $200 sign up bonus. Offer valid for 7 days after registering on BetAmerica Racing product only. 21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign Up Bonus with TwinSpires Racebook!

Register for a new Twinspires account using offer code BET200

Make a deposit and start wagering on horse racing

Earn $100 in bonus cash for every $400 wagered!

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.