NFL Picks

Point Spread Pick
ARZ Cardinals Win -7.5

Arizona moved to 2-0 last week with a dramatic win over Minnesota, and the Cardinals can maintain their perfect start to the 2021 season with victory over the Jaguars. Quarterback Kyler Murray has been a revelation for Arizona this year, having already posted 7 touchdown passes in 2 games, while throwing for 400 yards in that Vikings win. The Cardinals are already looking a force to reckoned with through the air, boasting top wideout Deandre Hopkins while also bringing rookie Rondale Moore to the party, who had a huge game last week in just his second NFL start. This week Kyler and company get to feast on the Jaguars, who have looked incredibly flat after plenty of excitement before the start of the season.

Jacksonville quarterback Trevor Lawrence has made a troubled start to his NFL career, having last week completed just 14 of his 33 pass attempts for 118 yards, while throwing 2 interceptions. In Lawrence’s defense, he was going against a mean Broncos team that looks to have one of the best units in the league. Still, things haven’t gone to plan and it’ll be interesting to see how the rookie recovers. Ultimately the Jags have struggled to move the ball on offense and although they could have some success against an average Cardinals defense, it’s hard to see how they keep up with Arizona’s scoring power. Jacksonville is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games and that trend could continue. Take the Cards to win this by more than a touchdown.

Cardinals -7 available at time of publishing. Playable to Cardinals -8.

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Game Totals Pick
Under 51.5

This line looks a little too high, so the under is the way to go. While Arizona has been red hot at putting points on the board, Jacksonville has not. The Jags’ offense managed just 21 points in their opening game against the Texans, one of the worst teams in the league, and scored only 7 last week against the Broncos. For their other 7 points, they had to rely on Jamal Agnew scoring off a crazy 102-yard kick return. It’s safe to say they can’t bank on that happening every week.

With Lawrence still needing time to adjust to the NFL and the Jaguars’ run game being pretty much non-existent, it’s hard to see how the over cashes without the Cardinals having to do most of the scoring. Even then, Arizona was wildly inconsistent with putting points on the board last season, and the fact Jacksonville held Denver to just 10 points in the first half indicates that they can give some resistance. The under is 10-1 in Arizona’s last 11 road games, and 5-1 in Jacksonville’s last 6 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take the under.

Under 52 available at time of publishing. Playable to under 51.

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Andrew Wilsher
Point Spread PickBest Bet
ATL Falcons Win +3.0

Call me crazy. Ridicule me if you must. But I like the Atlanta Falcons this week, and I’m not ashamed to say it. The New York Giants as a substantial favorite against just about anybody? Give me the ‘dog all day. It’ll get lost because the final score looks lopsided, but the Falcons actually played a fairly good game against the defending Super Bowl champion Tampa Bay Buccaneers last week. Atlanta was an underdog of nearly two touchdowns on the road against arguably the best team in the NFC, and they trailed by only three points with the ball in the fourth quarter. Back-to-back fluke pick-sixes made the final score tell a story that isn’t at all accurate.

Arthur Smith made strides in his second game as an NFL head coach, and an adjustment period was always going to be required. The Giants, on the other hand, are coming off one of the most devastating losses you can imagine to Washington on Thursday Night Football last week. The team no longer appears to be buying what Joe Judge is selling, and I’m expecting some regression from Daniel Jones after one of his rare good starts. The Falcons’ weak offensive line will also now have a bit of an easier task after having to go up against the imposing defensive fronts of Philadelphia and Tampa Bay in the first two weeks. Atlanta should win this game outright, but grab the three points while you still can.

Falcons +3 (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Game Totals Pick
Under 47.5

I also like the under in this spot. The line has fallen from 48.5, but there’s value at this slightly worse number. Jones had a solid game in Week 2, but his career history tells us not to bank on two in a row of those from him. The Giants also still have no semblance of a running game with Saquon Barkley managing only 83 yards in his first 2 games.

Again, the scoreboard from last week doesn’t tell the full story of how the Falcons played. All things considered, they didn’t do the worst job on Tom Brady, and the Bucs finished with less than 350 yards of total offense. New York’s offensive line was already suspect, and then starting guard Shane Lemieux went down with a season-ending injury in Week 2.

Under 47.5 available at publishing. Playable at that number.

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Andrew Ortenberg
Point Spread Pick
BAL Ravens Win -7.5

Lamar Jackson needed to become superhuman to save the Baltimore Ravens from falling to 0-2, but he can leave his cape at home for the trip to Detroit. The Ravens should be pumped up after overcoming an 11-point deficit to beat the Kansas City Chiefs as their offense and defense finally came to the party following 6 bad quarters to start the season. The Lions have actually put together more quarters of good football than the Ravens, but have nothing to show for it at 0-2. A second-half rally against the 49ers proved meaningless, with the exception of covering the spread, while they failed to build on a halftime lead at Green Bay, conceding 21 unanswered points in Monday’s loss.

While the lines on both sides have done well for Detroit, they have major flaws in other areas. They are still to figure out who their number one wide receiver is, while the cornerback situation is a mess with two undrafted free agents likely to start against the Ravens. With the Week 1 loss to the Raiders behind them, Baltimore should keep the ball rolling by brushing aside Detroit. Their run game looks in decent shape, despite all the injuries, with Jackson leading the way, while Sammy Watkins and Marquise Brown can put up big numbers against this makeshift secondary. The Ravens have dropped the hammer on bad teams in recent years, covering the spread in the last 4 games against franchises with a losing record. The Lions could prove competitive at times but a defense that is giving up 38 ppg game on average is always likely to let them down.

Ravens -7.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to Ravens -8.

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Game Totals Pick
Over 50.0

Neither team’s defense has been particularly impressive in the first 2 weeks of the season, helping the over go a combined 4-0 in games involving the Lions and Ravens. Look a little further back to last season and the over cashed in 10 of Detroit’s 16 games, giving a clear indication of how to play this one. Goff has been able to help the Lions put points on the board in bursts and will get the odd opportunity against a Baltimore team missing so many players through injury.

The Ravens should be looking to score at least 35 points in this game based on what they have shown so far but that will require an improvement in their passing game. Jackson needs to work on his accuracy, posting a 66.1% pass completion rate through 2 weeks, but this Detroit defense looks like a good opponent to get his game back on track.

Over 49.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Chris Rivers
Point Spread Pick
CHI Bears Win +7.0

The Cleveland Browns will host the Chicago Bears in Week 3 for the starting debut of quarterback Justin Fields. If Fields plays well, it’s hard to imagine the team going back to Andy Dalton even when he’s healthy. I’m not expecting Fields to play lights out, but Chicago can do enough to keep this one within a touchdown. The Browns almost upset the Chiefs in Week 1, but Kansas City showed this past week that they’re hardly untouchable. In Week 2, Cleveland struggled to put away the lowly Texans as massive favorites.

If Tyrod Taylor didn’t injure his hamstring in the middle of the game, it’s quite possible that the Browns could have lost outright. Cleveland made a bunch of additions on defense this year, but so far the unit certainly hasn’t been impenetrable. The Bears’ offense clearly has more upside with Fields under center than Dalton. At the very least, Fields’ legs will be able to keep the chains moving and the team in the game. It also doesn’t hurt that Baker Mayfield is dealing with a dislocated left shoulder, even if the Browns are downplaying it. Cleveland also doesn’t have all that much at receiver right now, so a touchdown seems like a steep price to lay. Grab the points with the underdog.

Bears +7 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Game Totals PickBest Bet
Under 45.5

The under is the play I like more on this game. Fields is a rookie making his first career NFL start on the road in a hostile environment. It’s unrealistic to expect him to play lights out, especially with a suspect offensive line and Myles Garrett and Jadeveon Clowney bearing down on him. I’m also not too optimistic about the Browns’ offensive prospects. Not only is Mayfield dealing with an injury, but receiver Jarvis Landry is going to miss this game with a knee injury.

The receiver depth chart was already a bit thin. Cleveland will want to lean on their ground game led by Nick Chubb, but Chubb will be facing a tough Bears defensive front that just held Joe Mixon to only 69 yards on 20 carries last week. Fields averaged 4.6 yards per attempt as a passer. Matt Nagy is going to want to take it easy with his rookie quarterback, so expect to see a heavy dose of David Montgomery, which will keep the clock churning.

Under 45.5 available at publishing. Playable at that number.

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Andrew Ortenberg
Point Spread Pick
CIN Bengals Win +3.0

We’re going to Heinz Field for the Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers matchup at 1pm ET on Sunday. Both teams are coming into this one at 1-1 and will be laser-focused with this being an AFC North division game. The Steelers let everyone down last week as 5.5-point favorites when they were embarrassed 26-17 at home by the Las Vegas Raiders. Pittsburgh’s pass defense was as suspect as they come, allowing Derek Carr to throw for 382 yards while completing passes to 8 different receivers. The Steelers never got anything going on the ground offensively as their offensive line was an absolute disaster for the second week in a row.

On the other side, the Bengals dropped their Week 2 game 20-17 to the Chicago Bears. The Bears led 7-3 going into the 4th quarter, so offense was definitely optional. It should be noted that the Bengals’ defense gave up only one touchdown on the day, which came on Chicago’s first drive of the game. After that, they shut the Bears’ attack down in almost every way. The only other time Chicago found paydirt was when Roquan Smith picked off Joe Burrow and took it to the house. As bad a Cincinnati has been in recent years, their defense is much improved at this point. I’m not buying the Pittsburgh Steelers as favorites. Their Week 1 win over Buffalo was as fluky as can be and their pass defense looked terrible last week. They are a one-trick pony on offense since their offensive line can’t block anyone. On top of that, Ben Roethlisberger has not been practicing this week due to injury. He should still play but you have to wonder how effective he can be behind the Swiss cheese offensive line the Steelers are working with. Joe Burrow and the Bengals could spring an upset on Sunday.

Bengals +3 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Game Totals Pick
Under 43.5

Nobody wants to take an under but that might be the way to go here. I’m mostly worried about the Steelers offense putting up points. The Bengals could certainly get their team total of 20.5 but Pittsburgh may not hold up their end of the bargain. It took a miracle 17-point fourth quarter against Buffalo in Week 1 for them to get into the 20s and they never made it last week against the Raiders.

Meanwhile, the Bengals have given up only 24 and 20 in their games so far. The 24 points were against the Minnesota Vikings, who have looked like an absolute juggernaut. It’s not crazy to expect them to give up another 17-20 points this week. The under 43.5 will be tight but this has all the makings of a 20-17 type game.

Under 43.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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John Hyslop
Point Spread Pick
TEN Titans Win -5.0

The schedule-maker is no friend of the Indianapolis Colts as they set out on a 3-game road trip, starting with a visit to divisional rivals Tennessee for a must-win game after two tough losses. To make matters worse, they could be without Carson Wentz for this AFC South showdown with the Colts’ starting quarterback having not one but two sprained ankles. Second-year quarterback Jacob Eason could get the start if Wentz isn’t available and Eason’s small sample size doesn’t offer encouragement after he threw a pick with his second pass in the league against the LA Rams. That interception iced a game in which the Colts had fought valiantly to give themselves a chance, with their defense doing a good job of keeping an explosive Rams offense tied down after some early issues. They limited the Rams to 3.5 yards per carry on the ground but will need to be even tighter if they to stop rushing king Derrick Henry.

Anyone who thought Henry’s production levels would fall off this year were given a wake-up call in Week 2 as Henry went for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns in the second half of Tennessee’s overtime win at Seattle. Henry had apparently rallied the locker room during the build-up to the Seahawks game, making it clear they couldn’t afford to fall to 0-2, before leading by example on the field. While the Titans found a way to win, there’s still a lot to clean up, particularly on defense, where the same old problems persist and if Wentz is fit a Colts team who are 14-5 ATS in the last 19 meetings with Tennessee would have a fighting chance. But can Eason expose a Titans defense that ranks 30th in pass defense (DVOA)? It’s a tall order and it could be best to wait to see who will start for the Colts, with the Titans to cover being the play if it’s not Wentz.

Titans -5.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to Titans -6.

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Game Totals Pick
Under 48.0

As with the outcome of the game, whether the total goes over or not rests heavily on Wentz’s availability. Yet another Wentz injury is a shame because this divisional matchup usually produces fireworks, with the over clicking in 4 of the last 5 meetings.

The over has landed in 23 of the Titans’ last 32 games too, and they are capable of holding up their end of the bargain by putting up points if Henry and Julio Jones are in the same mood as last week. Again, a late decision on whether to play the line will be needed but the under is the choice if Wentz is out.

Under 48 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Chris Rivers
Point Spread Pick
LA Chargers Win +6.5

This is the 1pm ET game many are looking forward to the most and why not? It’s got the highest total on the early slate and it’s featuring Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs. Although they lost Sunday night to the Baltimore Ravens, they are still the team to beat in the AFC. They haven’t scored less than 33 points in either of their first two games of the season and it’s hard to imagine them slowing down anytime soon. Mahomes has hung 300-burgers on both opponents so far while Travis Kelce has been in the end zone three times already. They are the definition of an offensive juggernaut in today’s NFL.

While the Chiefs are loaded again, bettors have to remember that the Chargers players still get paid too. Quarterback Justin Herbert has topped 300-yards in both games so far while Keenan Allen and Mike Williams are helping him to look good. Allen has been over 100 yards in both games while Williams has caught touchdowns in each game. Los Angeles had multiple opportunities against the Cowboys’ defense last Sunday but penalty after penalty stalled their efforts. Make no mistake, this offense can move the ball. While both offenses will be the story all week, it’s the defense, or lack of in Kansas City’s case, that will decide this game. The Chargers haven’t been great on that side of the ball but the Chiefs have been horrific. They are dead last in run defense (DVOA) according to Football Outsiders. That’s not great news when bettors need them to cover 6.5 points. They haven’t done it yet and I don’t think this is the week they get it done.

Chargers +6.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to Chargers +6.

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$39.05
Game Totals Pick
Under 54.5

Nobody in their right mind wants to play an under in a game that has a total of 55.5. We’re going to see DFS players talk about stacks for this game all week and we’ll be listening to experts talk about this being “high-scoring” matchup. Even early bettors like points for this one, as the line opened at 52.5 only to be bet up 3 points almost immediately.

Kansas City is playing slower than every team in the NFL except one right now at 31.1 seconds per play. It hasn’t stopped both of their games from going over so far, but at some point it will. It’s hard to keep up the efficiency you need to hang points while you’re playing at a snail’s pace. That’s just science. I’m not saying go big on this one but more of saying be careful. A divisional game like this may not be what over bettors think it is.

Under 55.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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John Hyslop
Point Spread Pick
NE Patriots Win -2.5

The New England Patriots will try to win their second game in a row when they host the New Orleans Saints on Sunday afternoon. New England bounced back from a 17-16 loss to Miami by destroying the Jets 25-6 on the road last weekend. Mac Jones managed the Week 2 game nicely by going 22-of-30 for 186 yards with no touchdowns or turnovers (he fumbled once but it was recovered by the Patriots). Jones didn’t have to do much, as running back Damien Harris delivered one of the touchdowns of the year and the defense dominated from start to finish. Jets QB Zach Wilson threw 4 interceptions.

New England’s Bill Belichick is one of the best coaches of all time and in no area is he better than when it comes to taking advantage of mistake-prone QBs. He did it last Sunday and should be able to do it again with Jameis Winston coming to town. Winston crashed back to earth following a huge season opener, throwing for a mere 111 yards with no TDs and 2 INTS during a 26-7 setback at Carolina. It was much tougher to play on the road than it was at home (the Saints opened with a rout of visiting Green Bay) and now they have to travel again. The Patriots are 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a victory by at least 14 points. Look for New England to stay hot with a win and cover.

Patriots -2.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to Patriots -3.

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Game Totals Pick
Under 42.0

It’s quite obvious that New England plans on getting the job done with defense this season. Belichick doesn’t want to ask Jones to do too much, and right now he doesn’t have to. The Patriots gained only 260 yards of total offense in Week 2 and still destroyed the Jets. In Week 1 they gave up just 259 yards of total offense to the Dolphins.

Alvin Kamara has been alarmingly non-existent for New Orleans’ offense so far and that will have to change, otherwise there will be too much pressure on Winston. The under is 5-0 in the Saints’ last 5 overall and 5-1 in their last 6 on the road. It is also 9-1 in the Patriots’ last 10 overall, 6-1 in their last 7 at home, and 4-1 in their last 5 as favorites. Lean toward the under.

Under 41.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Ricky Dimon
Point Spread Pick
WAS Football Team Win +7.5

Buffalo got their 2021 campaign going at the second attempt when shutting out Miami 35-0 on the road in Week 2, but the line for their home game against Washington is bordering on disrespectful to the visitors. Both teams are 1-1, for a start. The Bills were also big favorites to beat Pittsburgh at home in their opener, but fell to a 23-16 loss, and the Steelers did little for that formline when losing to the Raiders last week. The Bills certainly looked a lot more like the team we had expected the week before in Miami, with the Dolphins offensive line failing to cope. Buffalo faced Miami starter Tua Tagovailoa for only two series before he departed with injured ribs and Jacoby Brissett took over. QB Josh Allen still completed only 17 of 33 passes for 177 yards, but running back Devin Singletary showed up well with 82 rushing yards on 13 carries. The Bills could still be the team people thought could challenge the Chiefs in the AFC, but we haven’t really seem them at their best yet.

Washington have already had a quarterback change this season, with Taylor Heinicke taking over from Ryan Fitzpatrick during their opening home loss to the LA Chargers. Heinicke looked the part in their Thursday Night Football win over the Giants, completing 34 of 46 passes (after 11 of 15 against LA) and he clearly has a strong relationship with WR Terry McLaurin (11-107 vs NYG) already. The Football Team have plenty of talent on defense and while Buffalo should be the favourites to win, make no mistake, Ron Rivera’s team are not the forlorn hope that the line suggests. Take Washington.

Football Team +8.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to Football Team +7.5.

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Game Totals Pick
Under 45.0

Both teams could find their undoubted offensive talent tested by above-average defenses in this contest and the under is the recommended total points play. Thanks to last week’s shutout, the Bills have given up only 23 points this season, with both their games going under. Washington’s game against the Chargers produced only 36 points before their win over the Giants had 59 in the only over these teams have played this season.

The teams are both showing up well in the early defensive stats — Buffalo 4th and Washington 6th in QB pressures, for example, while they have allowed only 3 passing touchdowns between them while registering a combined 14 sacks already. Take the defenses to turn this into something of a low-scoring battle.

Under 45.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to under 45.

 

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Phil Agius tipster profile
Phil Agius
Point Spread PickBest Bet
LV Raiders Win -4.0

The Las Vegas Raiders will be hoping to remain undefeated when they entertain the Miami Dolphins on Sunday afternoon. Las Vegas has kicked off its 2021 campaign in incredibly impressive fashion, with a Monday night win over Baltimore following by a road victory at Pittsburgh. Derek Carr has been outstanding so far with a ridiculous 817 passing yards through 2 games in addition to 4 touchdowns and 1 interception. Henry Ruggs III (22.7 ypc) provides and fellow WR Hunter Renfrow seems to just keep getting better and better every year. As expected, Carr’s MRI for an apparent ankle issue did not show anything of note and he was a full participant in Wednesday’s practice.

The quarterback news is not as good in Miami. Tua Tagovailoa is injured again, having suffered cracked ribs in Week 2. He is out, which means Jacoby Brissett is now under center for the Dolphins. Brissett was awful against the Bills last weekend, completing 24 of 40 passes for 169 yards with no TDs and 1 INT during a 35-0 loss. Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 following a double-digit home loss. The Raiders are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 September games. It should also be noted that the home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 head-to-head matchups. Back Las Vegas and do so with confidence.

Raiders -4 available at time of publishing. Playable to Raiders -5.5.

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$58.57
Game Totals Pick
Under 45.0

The Las Vegas defense boasts a nice mix of young guys (Maxx Crosby) and veterans (Denzel Perryman). Pittsburgh was held to an anemic 39 rushing yards in Week 2. That is bad news for a Miami offense that is down to its second QB and scored a grand total of zero points last Sunday. Raiders running back Josh Jacobs (ankle/toe) and guard Richie Incognito (calf) did not practice on Wednesday and are listed as questionable. In other words, the home team may have to get the job done with defense this weekend.

The under is 13-4 in the Dolphins’ last 17 after scoring fewer than 15 points in their previous outing. Go with the under.

Under 45 available at time of publishing. Playable to under 44.

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Ricky Dimon
Point Spread Pick
DEN Broncos Win -10.0

It’s certainly novel for Denver to be favored by such a large amount these days, but it’s hardly a surprise this week. The Broncos have won well twice on the road, and now they return home to a noisy Mile High to be greeted by the New York Jets, who started the season badly and got a lot worse last week. It may have the elements of a trap game for the Broncos, but this is their last extremely winnable game until December (they have the Raiders, Steelers, Ravens, and Browns in their next 4 games), so Vic Fangio will surely impress upon his players the importance of going all out against the Jets. Denver will be delighted by the early returns of their new era with Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback. They beat the Giants by 14 and the Jaguars by 10, but it felt like a lot more. The injury losses of pass-rusher Bradley Chubb and wide receiver Jerry Jeudy are the only real negatives in their season so far, but they still have plenty of pass-catchers and defensive stars to make life tough for the Jets in Colorado.

The New Yorkers are still expected to make progress under Robert Saleh eventually, but it looks like a long-term project and QB Zach Wilson’s confidence could be shattered after the nightmare he endured against the Patriots, throwing 4 interceptions. He has been sacked 10 times in 2 games and the Jets’ offensive line remains a major worry against this Broncos defense. Take the home side to score a comfortable success.

 Broncos -10 available at time of publishing. Playable to Broncos -10.5.

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Game Totals Pick
Over 41.0

Both these teams have played two games that went under the posted game totals, but that has resulted in a line for their meeting that is so low it looks worth taking the over.

The Broncos are the most complete offensive unit the Jets have faced so far, so the main threat to this modest total being reached is whether the visitors will be able to contribute much themselves. Their running game has no real identity yet, but Wilson has the potential to land one or two big plays while likely running for his life. And don’t forget that fumbles and interceptions from the Jets could lead to more points by the Denver defense, too. Take the over, but keep wagers small.

Over 41 available at time of publishing. Playable to over 41.5.

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Phil Agius tipster profile
Phil Agius
Point Spread Pick
SEA Seahawks Win -1.5

The Minnesota Vikings are still in search of their first win in 2021 as they prepare to host the Seattle Seahawks on Sunday afternoon. Minnesota is 0-2 following an overtime loss at Cincinnati and a 34-33 setback against Arizona. Although the Vikings have been competitive, this may not be the spot in which they go from just getting close to getting over the hump. Running back Dalvin Cook is expected to play in Week 3, but is banged up with an ankle issue. On the other side of the ball, Patrick Peterson (undisclosed) in questionable along with linebacker Anthony Barr (knee) and cornerback Bashaud Breeland (back).

Things are going better for the Seahawks even though they suffered an OT loss of their own last weekend (33-30 to Tennessee). That isn’t a terrible result against a solid Tennessee team, and it was preceded by a 28-16 victory at Indianapolis. Clearly this Seattle squad doesn’t mind playing away from home. Russell Wilson is averaging almost 300 passing yards per game and has 6 touchdowns through the air without being picked off. Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 September games and 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between the teams. The Vikings are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 overall, 0-4 ATS in their last 4 at home, and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 against the NFC. Roll with the Seahawks.

Seahawks -1.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to Seahawks -2.5.

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$38.18
Game Totals Pick
Under 55.5

This is a pretty big number; the second-biggest of the week behind only Bucs vs Rams (56). That is why I am leaning toward the under, and Cook’s status is another reason. He didn’t practice on Wednesday, which is not a great sign, even though it sounds likely that he will play on Sunday.

So far this season the Vikings have only one rushing play of 20+ yards and one touchdown on the ground. Meanwhile, Seattle ran for just 77 yards during its loss to Tennessee. The under is 8-3 in the Seahawks’ last 11 overall, 4-1 in their last 5 on the road, and 6-2 in their last 8 against the NFC. It is also 4-1 in their last 5 trips to Minnesota. Look for this one to stay under the total.

Under 55.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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$19.52
Ricky Dimon
Point Spread Pick
LA Rams Win +1.5

The game everyone will be watching on Sunday at 4:25pm ET will be the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Los Angeles Rams. SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California will be rocking and fans at home will be treated to Fox’s A-team of Joe Buck, Troy Aikman, Erin Andrews and Tom Rinaldi. The weather will be perfect with temperatures in the low 70s and very little wind. Just the perfect set-up for two undefeated NFL teams. The Buccaneers have been scoring all over people so far this season. They hung 31 on the Dallas Cowboys in Week 1 and then turned around and dropped 48 on the Atlanta Falcons. While it’s true they scored two defensive touchdowns in the fourth quarter against the Falcons, they still tagged them for 34 before those late scores. The point is, they are scoring, although this week they could be without Antonio Brown, who tested positive for Covid-19 this week.

As for the Rams, they went on the road and beat up on the Indianapolis Colts 27-24 in a game that should have never been that close. Los Angeles had a 17-6 lead midway through the third quarter only to watch the Colts score 2 touchdowns in about 5 minutes of gametime. One of which was the luckiest punter-fumble scoop-and-score you will ever see. The Rams quickly regained their composure and closed out the game with a field goal in the final 3 minutes. One thing the Buccaneers have not seen this season is a defense and they will see one on Sunday. The oddsmakers opened this game at Los Angeles -1 and they were right to do it. Look for the Rams to win this game outright.

Rams +1.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to Rams +1.

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Game Totals Pick
Under 55.5

This total has trap written all over it. Of course both of these teams can score, but to get to 55.5, we’ll likely need both to go “defense is optional”, which probably won’t happen. The catalyst for this under is the fact that the Rams have a top-5 defense in the NFL, which is something the Buccaneers have not seen yet.

The only reason this is a 1-star is because both of these teams play at a top-5 pace in neutral situations. Both have played teams so far that play slowly, which has held down the total number of plays each team has run. Basically this is an undercover track meet. Still, the books set this number at 50 and it has been bet all the way up here. It’s more likely these teams will approach 55.5 but never get over it.

Under 55.5 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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John Hyslop
Point Spread Pick
SF 49ers Win -3.5

Green Bay got back on track by beating the Detroit Lions in Week Two but they face being knocked right back down again by the San Francisco 49ers. The Packers put the painful memories of their mauling by the New Orleans Saints behind them with a strong second-half showing against the Lions, scoring 21 unanswered points to record a 35-17 victory. It was all smiles at Lambeau Field after Monday’s triumph but the performance did little to ease the concerns raised by the Saints defeat. The Packers defense, minus the injured Za’Darius Smith, is still struggling to get to the quarterback, registering a league-worst 1 sack and leaving their questionable secondary exposed as a result. On offense, Green Bay have not got their ground game going, posting a painful average of 3.0 yards per attempt, thanks in large part to a line that can’t create gaps or keep Aaron Rodgers upright — he has been sacked 5 times this year. They’ll need to find a solution to these issues on a short week before heading to San Francisco, which has been an unhappy hunting ground for the Packers under head coach Matt LeFleur.

The 49ers covered the spread in 2 comfortable wins over Green Bay at Levi’s Stadium in 2019 and they are trending in the right direction to complete a hat-trick. The Niners’ elite defense shut down the Philadelphia Eagles in Week 2, severely restricting Jalen Hurts’ impact on the 17-11 win. While the offense didn’t shine in Philly, let’s not forget they put 41 points on Detroit in Week 1 and they have the potential to punch some big running lanes through this questionable Packers defense. This looks a good match up for San Fran given the similarities between themselves and the Saints defense, which held Rodgers to his worst ever QB rating, and the Niners are tough to ignore. If the offense can get close to matching their Week 1 output then the 49ers could make a mockery of this line.

 49ers -3.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to 49ers -4.

Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select Odds
$18.33
Game Totals Pick
Over 50.0

It is probably safer to side with the over given all the talent on the field and despite all the doubts about how Green Bay’s offense will cope with the 49ers defense. The over is 9-3 in the last 12 meetings between these NFC powerhouses and 5-1 in the Packers’ last 6 games overall. While the memories of their Saints stomping are still fresh in the mind, Green Bay did look better on offense against Detroit as Aaron Jones stole the show. Davante Adams, last year’s leading touchdown scorer, has been unusually quiet and has the potential to go off if the Niners’ banged up secondary is left exposed.

The Niners have plenty of weapons to hurt this Green Bay defense with George Kittle likely to have a big game given the Packers’ struggles with tight ends this year. Deebo Samuel is looking like a monster and although San Francisco have limited options in the run game, history tells us Kyle Shanahan can be trusted when it comes to hurting the opposition on the ground.

Over 50 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select Odds
$19.09
Chris Rivers
Point Spread Pick
DAL Cowboys Win -3.5

The NFC East streets will be on fire Monday night when the Philadelphia Eagles pay the Dallas Cowboys a visit. Everyone will be able to see the game from AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas as kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm ET on ESPN. Bettors will certainly be out in full force. The Eagles have played well in the first 2 weeks but they really haven’t played anyone yet. Maybe. The Falcons are frauds and the 49ers just may be in that same category. The Eagles handled the Falcons in Week 1 but that’s because Atlanta can’t stop the run. San Francisco didn’t do great in that area in Week 2 as they allowed 151 yards on the ground to the Eagles, but 37 of those yards were on 2 carries. For the most part, the Eagles couldn’t get anything going leading to an 11-point showing.

Dallas might struggle with the pass defense, but their run defense is very solid. They’ve been torched through the air in both games but that was by Tom Brady and Justin Herbert. Jalen Hurts will never be that type of quarterback, so if they can keep him in check on the ground, they should be able to limit points. Taking -3.5 is never fun because of the hook but this looks like a game in which the Cowboys offense can put a few points on the board. At least enough to make Hurts and the Eagles more one-dimensional, which would be horrific for Philadelphia backers.

Cowboys -3.5 available at time of publishing. Playable to Cowboys -4.

Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select Odds
$19.52
Game Totals Pick
Under 52.0

The under is in play for this one as the Philadelphia offense may not be able to hold up their end of the bargain. Any time we see totals in the 50s, we want points out of both teams and it’s hard to imagine the Eagles offense will be able to get it done against the Dallas defense.

If they do, they’ll have to do it on the ground as Hurts just isn’t a guy who can handle teams through the air. There is a reason his ADOT is so low and it’s because he’s more of a runner than a passer. We’re looking at a 27-20 type of game that approaches the over but doesn’t quite get there.

Under 52 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select Odds
$38.18
John Hyslop

NFL Picks

The Home Of Free Expert NFL Picks For The 2021/22 Season

Even though there are just 18 weeks in the regular season with a maximum of 16 games per week, NFL betting is easily the most popular North American sports wager. NFL point spreads and season win total prop bets are one of the few in the major sports that are openly discussed by announcers and fans alike. Because of betting, and the popularity of fantasy football, every single game of the NFL season is important, widely discussed, analyzed, and a great opportunity to get in on the action with our free NFL expert picks.

Free NFL Picks Explained

There’s almost an infinite way to bet on the NFL, from NFL picks against the spread, over/under, Parlays, Prop Bets, daily fantasy sports, or even scoreboard squares, there is a wager type for every kind of football fan. Some bettors like to specialize in a single particular type of NFL pick, while others like to be diverse and wager as many ways as they can on a game. Both types of players can be successful with a disciplined and calculated strategy which is the great thing about NFL betting.

Free NFL Picks Against the Spread

The most popular way to bet on the NFL is against the spread (ATS). With these wagers, you are not picking a simple winner or loser of a game. Instead, ATS betting is placing your money that Team A wins by a certain amount of points (Philadelphia -7 for example) or that Team B will keep the game closer than oddsmakers expect (Chicago +3.5). The great thing about ATS NFL betting is that the team you wager on can lose outright, but your bet can still be a winner (a Chicago 17-20 loss). Our NFL picks against the spread are our most popular bet on site, and the game lines are widely discussed by sport shows and experts in the lead-up to matches. A fun stat worth noting is that the team that covers the spread wins the game outright around 80% of the time.

Free NFL Over / Under Picks

When you aren’t 100% confident in which team is going to win in an NFL game, or would rather wager on the game, rather than a team, another exciting way to still get in on the action is with totals wagers. In these bets you don’t take a side, but whether the two teams will combine to score over or under the total number of points that the oddsmakers have set. This is why last-second field goals in 24 point blowouts are still edge-of-your-seat moments as they can push the total over or under the set line. We preview every game of the NFL season, providing expert insight into the game alongside NFL picks which will always include a pick on the over/under market in each game of the NFL season.

Money Line NFL Picks

Ask any seasoned NFL bettor and they’ll tell you that ATS betting is exciting, but can also be frustrating. It is important to keep in mind that NFL teams are only looking to win by one, of course, they’d love to win by more, but they’ll change their schemes late on to secure a win, not to ensure they cover the spread.

Your research could have given you the right side, but if they win by 6 instead of 7 your -6.5 bet is a loss. Therefore a lot of wagerers enjoy money line (ML) NFL expert picks. The best way to describe ML bets is that you simply wager on either a winner or loser with no spread involved. If you’re confident in an underdog, ML bets are also a great way to increase your profits. If a team is +10 ATS, for example, they may be upwards of +350 on the money line to win outright meaning a $100 bet would pay you $350.

NFL Schedule 2021/22

Big offseason changes now see the 2021/22 NFL season Schedule move to 17 regular-season games for the first time. It’s been years in the pipeline that the NFL will seek to expand the regular season, and 2021/22 will be the first 17-game season, following the expansion of the playoffs in 2020/21.

The 2021 NFL season will be the 102nd in league history and is set to kick off with the NFL Kick-Off game on September 9th, hosted by the defending Super Bowl Champions Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

The 2021/22 regular season will come to a conclusion on January 9th, 2022 with the NFL Playoffs scheduled to begin the following weekend on the 15th & 16th January 2022.

Super Bowl LVI is scheduled for February 13th, at SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, California, which is the shared home of both the Los Angeles Rams and Los Angeles Chargers.

Regular Season NFL Expert Picks – NFL Picks This Week

Some sites solely focus on the marquee games of an NFL slate but our system features expert picks for every game of the NFL season. The best way to have success in NFL betting is by finding those under-the-radar games like Miami at Jacksonville that do not draw as much public betting interest as Dallas vs. Green Bay. Our expert handicappers spend just as long researching the under-the-radar games, as they do for Thursday Night Football or Primetime Football games. Our NFL picks this week are the best ways to get a breakdown and a reading of all the games on an NFL slate, with a complete game preview alongside our best NFL picks for each game.

NFL Playoff Picks & Futures

Throughout the NFL season, we also give you free long-term, often season-long picks such as our NFL Futures Bets, which include both team-based and individual player prop bets. Not only do we publish our previews and picks for every game of the NFL regular season but we do the same for the playoffs as well. There’s a lot of money to be made in the relatively short NFL season – why not make the most of it? The stakes in the NFL playoffs are even higher and the margins between the teams are usually even smaller. With more on the line and the best against the best, the hours of research and analysis our NFL experts put in are at even more of a premium. Follow our NFL playoff picks throughout the entire NFL postseason, right through to the Super Bowl itself.

More Than Just NFL Picks

We also specialize in every major North American sport including the MLB, NBA, NHL, and College Football, and College Basketball. Check out our site every single day for some of the best bets in every major athletic contest and make sure to follow us on social media as well.

Weekly NFL Picks, All Season Long

Here at Pickswise our expert NFL handicappers are on hand all season long with the best free picks each week. Our weekly NFL picks will include our top plays against the spread, on the totals and straight up on the money line. Check out each weeks’ NFL picks below. 

NFL Picks Week 1

NFL Picks Week 2

NFL Picks Week 3

NFL Picks Week 4

NFL Picks Week 5

NFL Picks Week 6

NFL Picks Week 7

NFL Picks Week 8

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NFL Picks Week 11

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NFL Picks Week 13

NFL Picks Week 14

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NFL Picks Week 17

NFL Picks Week 18

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