NBA Picks

Expert NBA picks for the best of the NBA action throughout the 2023/24 season. We crunch the numbers, analyze the data, and provide free NBA expert picks every day. You can trust our expert NBA handicappers to find all the key betting trends and make reliable NBA picks you can trust.

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Bet Type
Experts
Confidence Rating
Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland Cavaliers
CLE
Yesterday
BSIN, BSOH
IND
Indiana Pacers
Indiana Pacers
Point Spread Pick
IND Pacers -8.0CLE Cavaliers @ IND Pacers

Cleveland is right there with Milwaukee in the Central Division. A fast finish could net them the #2 spot in the Eastern Conference. However, they are only 2-4 in their last six game though and getting right at Indiana is going to be a tough task. Their injury list is once again long and impressive (including Donovan Mitchell and Evan Mobley). Indiana has won four of six and there is some upward mobility for them in the East if they finish strong. The teams behind them are not far off either. How they finish the last four weeks of the season will determine whether they are guaranteed a full playoff series or not (the Play-In is a real possibility). Guard Ty Haliburton is having a great season but he has struggled to get back to where he was before he got hurt. 

The Cavs are 20-12 SU on the road this season, yet still significant underdogs on Monday night. Indiana has won and covered the first two meetings of the season and that was when the Cavs were much healthier than they are right now. The Pacers should be able to get the flow of this game where they want it and while they probably will not run Cleveland off the floor, they will make it very tough for them to keep up.

Pacers -8 available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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$18.77
Matt Wiesenfeld
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
DET
Yesterday
ESPN
BOS
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
Game Totals Pick
Under 223.5DET Pistons @ BOS Celtics

Monday night will feature a matchup between the beast in the East and the least in the East. Or at least the second-least for the sake of accuracy of this article as the Detroit Pistons will go to TD Garden to take on the Boston Celtics. Surprisingly, the last time these two teams met in December, the game was competitive and went into overtime where the Celtics prevailed 128-122. Tonight’s game will be the first of two times these two teams will play each other this week. The Celtics are coming off a 130-104 victory yesterday against the Washington Wizards. Sam Hauser knew his role and played it well, scoring 30 points while going 10-13 from three-point range. Boston is currently on a 5-game winning streak. Detroit is coming off a two-game set against the Miami Heat where they lost both games. Bam Adebayo broke the tie on Sunday with a game-winning, buzzer beating three to bury the Pistons. Before the back-to-back losses, Detroit was on a streak where they had won three of four games. They had defeated the Nets, Hornets, and Raptors, three teams that are nowhere near the level of Boston.

Today’s Detroit Pistons team is not the same team that we saw go on a historic losing streak earlier this season. The Pistons are beginning to find a semblance of a competitive edge near the end of the season. Cade Cunningham is beginning to grow into a better leader and playmaker. Detroit has a pair of young, forceful big men in their starting lineup with Jalen Duren and Isaiah Stewart. Guard from Purdue, Jaden Ivey, is also playing well on the offensive with eleven straight games scoring in double figures. With all that said, the Celtics are still leaps and bounds in front of the Detroit Pistons. The Celtics are currently 30-3 when playing on their home court. It is less of a question on if Boston will win tonight, but instead by how much will Boston win by. 16 points is a little too high for me to bet for even odds. Instead, I’m going to look at the under for this game. Overall scoring has been down in the NBA in the month of March. We are beginning to see less whistles and more defensive intensity in each game. Both the Celtics and the Pistons also played just last night and needed to travel into Boston for this game today. We could potentially see some tired legs or a slower pace due to the back-to-back.

Under 223.5 available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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$38.18
Ben Dezell
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
MIA
Yesterday
ESPN
PHI
Philadelphia 76ers
Philadelphia 76ers
Point Spread Pick
MIA Heat +2.5MIA Heat @ PHI 76ers

Things can turn around very fast in the Eastern Conference and the Miami Heat are a prime example of that. Just 2 weeks ago the Heat were 4th in the standings, but a 4-game losing streak has dropped them to 7th. They’ve recovered with consecutive wins over the Pistons this weekend, but pressure remains on them as they face the 76ers who are right behind them at 37-30 SU. Jimmy Butler is questionable to play, he didn’t participate in Sunday’s win over the Pistons. Miami does lead the regular season series 2-0, they enter this game on a 6-1 SU/ATS run in the last 7 meetings.

A dark cloud has hovered above the Philadelphia 76ers ever since Joel Embiid went down with his knee injury. Without him they’re just 11-22 SU this season, a play-in tournament spot appears to be the likeliest outcome for their season. Tyrese Maxey played his heart out and they barely beat the Charlotte Hornets 109-98 over the weekend for only their 2nd win in 7 games. Just when you thought things couldn’t get any worse, they also lost Tobias Harris to an injury, he is questionable to play tonight. In their last 13 home games the 76ers have covered just twice.

Miami has dominated the head-to-head proceedings with 7 wins in 10 games. They’re also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 visits to Wells Fargo Center. Even if Butler isn’t able to play, I still see them coming out on top, as road underdogs. Back Miami to cover.

Heat +2.5 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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$37.86
Game Totals PickBest Bet
Under 210.0MIA Heat @ PHI 76ers

Neither team has excelled with scoring since the All-Star break. In their last 13 games the Heat rank 25th in pace (95.8), while the 76ers are even slower ranking 29th (93.7). Having only one consistent scoring threat in Maxey is a big issue, opponents know who to focus on in order to keep you from scoring. The 76ers have struggled heavily because of this, their offensive rating is only 27th in those 13 games, they’re scoring just 108.4 points per 100 possessions. Add to that now the absence of Tobias Harris, they could suffer even more. Miami likes to win games on the defensive end, they’re the 8th best defense in the league since the break, they’ve allowed just 98.7 points per game in their last 3 outings. With 6 of the last 10 meetings between the two teams cashing on the under, I think that is the way to go with tonight’s game as well.

Under 210 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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$38.52
Filip Tomic
New York Knicks
New York Knicks
NYK
Yesterday
ESPN
GS
Golden State Warriors
Golden State Warriors
Point Spread Pick
NY Knicks +5.0NY Knicks @ GS Warriors

While the Golden State Warriors are favored at home against the New York Knicks, the smart money should be on the visitors getting 5 points. The Knicks have emerged as one of the league’s stingiest defensive teams, holding opponents under 100 points in five straight games. Their addition of OG Anunoby has taken them to another level on that end.

Even with Steph Curry back, the Warriors’ offense has been inconsistent and prone to droughts. New York’s ability to switch everything and protect the paint could frustrate Golden State’s perimeter attack. The Knicks also have an elite closer in Jalen Brunson, who is coming off back-to-back 40-point games. While the Warriors have a clear talent advantage, playing elite defense can neutralize that. Getting 5 points with a Knicks team allowing just 96 points per game over their last five is tremendous value. Their commitment to defending without fouling could make it difficult for Golden State to pull away.

With the Knicks feeling confident after a recent win in Sacramento, expect a gritty, low-scoring affair where 5 points could loom large. Against an excellent defensive team getting a handful of points, taking the Knicks presents an opportunity to cash in.

Knicks +5 available at time of publishing. Playable to +3.5.

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$37.86
Game Totals Pick
Under 211.0NY Knicks @ GS Warriors

The Knicks have been on a defensive tear, holding their last five opponents under 100 points. Their acquisition of OG Anunoby has bolstered an already stingy defense, allowing them to switch everything and protect the paint effectively.

While the Warriors boast an explosive offense led by Steph Curry, their defensive prowess should not be overlooked. They excel at forcing opponents off the three-point line and contesting shots at the rim. With both teams playing at a deliberate pace, the game could devolve into a grind-it-out affair.

The previous matchup between these two teams saw a final score of 110-99. Expect a similar defensive-minded approach, as neither team wants to get caught in a high-scoring shootout. The Knicks’ commitment to limiting transition opportunities and the Warriors’ ability to control the paint should lead to a low-scoring battle of wills.

UNDER 210 available at time of publishing. Only play at the number or higher.

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$37.39
Ed Perovic
Ed Perovic

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Pickswise is the home of the best free basketball picks today, you can even check out our selections for the Best NBA Bets right now. Our expert basketball handicappers break down today’s matches to find you the best free basketball picks, We’ve also got expert advice for NBA Futures and how to bet on the NBA. A good basketball pick is a well-researched and fully informed one. Our experts crunch all the latest NBA News, team and player statistics, trends, history and rely upon decades of handicapping experience ahead of making each basketball pick.

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NBA Picks FAQs

Betting against the spread means to bet on the favourite to win by a certain amount of points or the underdog to win or lose by fewer than a certain amount.

Picks against the spread are popular amongst NBA bettors because they give more favorable odds for favorites and less risk when betting on an underdog.

NBA bets against the spread can be lucrative with some research, maybe the favorite has an injury, maybe the underdog has a strong match-up. Factors like these may not change who the winning team is but if you think it will change the margin of the victory NBA bets against the spread is where you can make it count.

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