Andrew Wilsher

The Buffalo Sabres are travelling to Madison Square Garden to face the Rangers for the final time this season. Buffalo is currently tied with Tampa Bay and Montreal for the top spot in the division, making every remaining game feel like a must-win. They have shown some strong performances lately, but the consistency we saw after the change in General Manager hasn’t been as sharp. Coming off a significant win against the Lightning, they will want to build on that momentum.

The Rangers, on the other hand, are situated at the bottom of the Metropolitan Division. However, they have won four of their last five games, all on home ice—something they struggled with during the first month of the season. Notably, they have allowed just four goals in those victories, and in their one loss to Montreal, they only conceded three. Their strong defensive play is largely thanks to Igor Shesterkin, who continues to post impressive numbers. There’s enough confidence to support New York in this matchup, but it won’t be easy. We’ll take a slight lean on the Money Line and hope they can secure another two points.

Sabres vs Rangers prediction: Rangers ML (+120) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number or better.

The Washington Capitals will be looking to keep their playoff hopes alive when they are on the road in Toronto taking on the Maple Leafs. The Capitals will enter Wednesday nights action sitting five points out of a playoff spot with four games remaining on their schedule. Needless to say, this is a must win game for them. They will be going up against a Maple Leafs team that is eliminated from the playoff race and playing for pride at this point in the season. The Maple Leafs are one of the worst defensive teams in the league, which should give the Capitals an easier time to capitalize on their opportunities. The Maple Leafs are allowing 3.52 goals against per game, which is fourth-worst in the NHL.

The Capitals will be playing with desperation on Wednesday knowing they need every point from here on out. A little extra motivation will be provided from the fact that it may be Alex Ovechkin’s final season. Give me the hungry Capitals in this one.

Capitals vs Maple Leafs prediction: Capitals ML (-155) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Edmonton Oilers continue their road trip with a stop in San Jose to face the Sharks. They are coming off a tough 6-5 overtime loss to Utah. The Oilers were leading 3-1 after the first period, but Tristan Jarry and the team fell apart in the second half. With no playoff spot secured yet, the Oilers need to find a way to end their losing streak quickly.

On the other hand, San Jose is still looking for a chance to get into the playoff race, but they’ve made significant progress in the last ten days, winning four of their last five games. Macklin Celebrini is clearly the best player on the Sharks, and the Oilers know that if they can shut him down, they can effectively limit San Jose’s offence. Expect the Oilers to pay close attention to the 19-year-old star.

Conversely, the Sharks are well aware that Connor McDavid is the player to watch for Edmonton. They cannot afford to get into a high-scoring battle with him and the Oilers, so they need to tighten up their defence. The previous three matchups between these teams have seen at least seven goals scored, but given the significance of this game, it’s possible both teams will focus on limiting scoring chances. If the goaltending holds up, this could turn into a low-scoring affair.

Oilers vs Sharks prediction: Under 6.5 (+105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number or better.

Atlanta’s loss to New York ended a 4-game win streak by the Hawks, but they’re hoping to get back on track as they visit the Cavaliers on Wednesday. This team has won 17 of 20 games, with a bit of luck they could have pushed the Knicks game into OT, but McCollum’s half court heave came too late. The Hawks have a one game edge on the Raptors for the 5th seed, that would actually match them up with the Cavs in a potential 1st Round series. In theory the Hawks could risk it and try falling down to 6th to face the Knicks, but that would be a risky proposition with the 76ers and Magic lurking right behind them.

For Cleveland things are pretty straight forward – the worst they can do is finish 4th, but with a bit of luck they could still overtake the Knicks in 3rd if they wanted to. With 8 wins in 10 games they are one of the more in-form teams in the Conference, their last win saw them put up an impressive 142 points on the Memphis Grizzlies for their 3rd straight triumph overall. Donovan Mitchell opted to sit that game due to an ankle issue, he is once again listed as questionable for tonight, but given the magnitude of the game I think he guts it out and plays. He’s put on a show in both meetings vs the Hawks this season, averaging 39.5 points on over 55% from the field and 50% from three. Together with Harden he has formed one of the more prolific offensive duos in the NBA this season.

These two teams will meet up one more time in Atlanta on Friday. The Cavs have been a well-oiled machine at home lately, winning 11 of 14 games. Playing there should give them the edge in my opinion. These next 2 meetings will tell us just how important is to have home court advantage in the postseason. I’ll side with the Cavs in this one.

Hawks vs Cavaliers prediction: Cavaliers -1.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Memphis Grizzlies continue to flood the injury report, with 13 players appearing on there ahead of their visit to the Denver Nuggets. 12 of those players are out while another is doubtful. It will leave them without recent standout performers like GG Jackson and Cam Spencer. The issues this lack of consistency in player availability has been most prominent when it comes to getting stops. Over the last 10 games the team has been dead last in defensive rating. Being up against a healthy Nuggets team that is leading the league in offensive rating over that same stretch should lead to no shortage of points for the hosts.

Over the last 10 games, the Grizzlies have become a high volume 3-point shooting team. They have ranked 4th in 3-point attempts during that time. Couple that with respectable 36.3% shooting and it is no surprise that they were able to knock down 29 3-pointers in a recent loss to the Cleveland Cavaliers. Both teams here enjoy playing up tempo basketball, ranking 11th and 12th in pace during that same stretch, respectively. That will ensure there will be no shortage of possessions for the Nuggets to exploit this disjoined defense and the visitors will get their chances to let shots go from deep. The Grizzlies have seen 4 of their last 6 games surpass the combined 245-point mark and this one should be more of the same.

Grizzlies vs Nuggets prediction: Over 244 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 246.

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At first glance, this number looks a bit soft even if Oklahoma City should control this game comfortably, the matchup says otherwise. The Clippers are one of the few teams capable of disrupting the Thunder’s rhythm, particularly at home where they play with more control and defensive intensity. The key here is pace. The Clippers slow games down, limit possessions, and force opponents into half-court execution. That’s where margins shrink and spreads become harder to cover. This turns the game into a possession-by-possession battle rather than an attempt at a track meet where the Thunder can capitalize on miscues and turnovers. In this kind of environment, efficiency matters more than volume, and the Clippers are disciplined enough to stay within range.

Home court is another layer. Los Angeles tends to elevate its play in this setting, particularly in games that require physicality and structure. They’ve already shown resilience this season by climbing back into relevance despite an atrocious start, and this is the type of spot where that identity shows. The Thunder can still win, but covering requires separation. The Clippers’ style is specifically built to prevent that, making the points valuable here in a spot with significant upset potential.

Thunder vs Clippers prediction: Clippers +7 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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At first glance, this line looks backwards. The Milwaukee Brewers sit at 8-3, while the Boston Red Sox are just 3-8. Yet Boston is favored—and not just favored, but in a position where laying the run line at plus money makes sense. That tells you everything you need to know about how this matchup is being evaluated by oddsmakers.

The key is on the mound with Boston’s Sonny Gray. We’ve already established his profile: elite command, high strikeout capability, and the ability to suppress offense without giving away free baserunners. That’s the kind of pitcher who can dictate a game from start to finish, regardless of team record. Boston also comes in with momentum, having snapped a three-game losing streak. Sometimes that’s all it takes to reset a team early in the season. On the other side, there’s uncertainty with Shane Drohan. Milwaukee’s record looks strong, but it doesn’t necessarily reflect stability in this specific matchup. The oddsmakers are signaling hesitation about what the Brewers truly are right now. This is about reading between the lines. The Red Sox are trusted here for a reason and this is not something to overthink. Boston cruises today.

Brewers vs Red Sox prediction: Red Sox -1.5 (+160) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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The Seattle Mariners and Texas Rangers cap off their series with an afternoon game on Wednesday. The Rangers have won a pair of close, low scoring games so far in this series, winning 2-1 on Monday and 3-2 on Tuesday. The Mariners continue to get outstanding pitching coupled with zero offense, as they are the 4th-lowest scoring team in the league after the first couple of weeks. I will ride that trend again on Wednesday and play the game total under 8 runs.

MacKenzie Gore has been excellent so far with the Rangers, striking out 16 batters over his first two starts while allowing a manageable 5 total runs. He should flourish with the Rangers. He will face Bryan Woo, who is consistently one of the best pitchers in baseball. We have two good starters on the mound. We have two teams struggling on offense thus far and averaging well under 4 runs per game. We have two low-scoring games thus far in this series. And neither team has used much bullpen in the past two days. That has low-scoring game written all over it.

Mariners vs Rangers prediction: Under 8 (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable to 7.5.

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The Philadelphia Phillies will take on the San Francisco Giants Wednesday afternoon. This will be the third leg of their series and both teams have won a game so far. Last night, the Giants shut out the Phillies by a score of 6-0. The Giants hitting throughout this series has been surprising, as they have amassed 23 hits through the 2 games. On the season, the Giants are batting .218 with only 30 runs through 12 games. This is good news for the Phillies starter Aaron Nola. Nola has a 3.18 ERA giving up 4 runs through 11.1 innings pitched. Against the Giants lineup, Nola has held them to a batting average of .178 throughout his career. I suspect we may see the Giants bats disappear in this one.

For the Giants, they will start Tyler Mahle. Mahle has an 0-2 record this season with a 7.00 ERA. Through his 9 innings pitched he has given up 13 hits and 7 earned runs. The Phillies lineup bats .308 against Mahle throughout his career. The Phillies also have the better batting average this season with more runs scored. Additionally, the Giants bullpen has a 4.65 ERA giving up 21 earned runs this season. Through the first 2 games of this series, the Phillies bullpen has given up 0 earned runs. Overall, the Phillies have the edge across the board and will look to bounce back from last night. I am taking the Phillies on the money line.

Phillies vs. Giants prediction: Phillies ML (-135) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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