Chad Hartsock
ConsultantChad's Picks
The early game on Saturday features the Chicago White Sox vs the Detroit Tigers. On Friday, the White Sox walked off Detroit in the 10th inning, and that was after a 9th-inning rally to force extras. At some point, we need to start taking the White Sox seriously. The Tigers, on the other hand, are cratering hard. They have lost 11 of their last 13 games, and blowing the lead twice in the final 2 innings on Friday is just demoralizing. I have no idea why the White Sox are such plus-money underdogs, but I am happy to see it, and I will be locking that in.
The pitching matchup features a pair of lefties, Framber Valdez and Anthony Kay. Both have been pitching well for most of the season, and there is no reason to fade either guy. What does stand out, however, is the slugging percentage of each team vs lefties. Would it surprise you to know that the White Sox have the 4th-best slugging percentage in the league vs LHP? They trail only the Yankees, Dodgers, and Diamondbacks. The Tigers are in the bottom 5 in the same category. Look, the White Sox keep finding ways to win, and the Tigers keep finding ways to lose. Let’s ride the hot team.
Tigers vs White Sox Prediction: Chicago White Sox ML (+115) available at the time of publishing. Playable to -110.
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The Houston Astros host the Milwaukee Brewers this weekend for an interleague series. Both teams come in hot, winners of 7 of their last 10 games. The Brewers have been doing this all season, and they just swept the division rival Cardinals this week. The Astros have only gotten hot recently after struggling in the early part of the season. They took 2 of 3 games from the Rangers earlier this week, and they were also part of the massive Cubs losing streak. We have some relatively unknown arms on the mound on Friday, which makes this game a bit harder to predict, but I am going with the home-standing Astros on the money line. As of the time of this writing, that can be nabbed at even money.
The Brewers will turn to Coleman Crow on Friday, who is stepping into the rotation spot vacated by the injured Logan Henderson. Crow has made 2 spot starts for the Brew Crew, both of them effective enough, even if only 5 innings. He will face Kai-Wei Teng, who has recently joined the Houston rotation, which is not a 6-man situation. Teng has yet to allow a run in his 2 starts, spanning 11 innings. After the starters are gone, Milwaukee certainly had the bullpen advantage, as the Astros have the worst bullpen ERA in the league. Still, they have shown some signs of improvement lately, and the Houston offense has been hitting well. Call it a hunch, but I like the Astros tonight.
Brewers vs Astros Prediction: Houston Astros ML (+100) available at the time of publishing. Playable to -110.
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The Atlanta Braves head to Cincinnati for the weekend, and they arrive sporting the best record in baseball. The Braves have done while overcoming a ton of early injuries, too. The pitching staff was almost entirely a replacement staff at one point, and several key bats have been hurt at times. Nevertheless, the Braves keep winning. The Reds are playing good baseball themselves, even if they are in 4th place in the crowded NL Central. Still, it is hard to go against the Braves here for multiple of reasons, and I will be grabbing this line before it inevitably loses value.
The Braves should have the advantage on the mound as Grant Holmes faces Chris Paddock. Holmes will not go deep into the game, but the innings he gives Atlanta are almost always quality. Paddock, on the other hand, is a pitcher I never want anything to do with. The Reds are trying to milk the last couple of drops out of his career, but in 2 starts with the Reds, Paddock has allowed 5 runs in 10 innings of work. Being a groundball pitcher helps mitigate Great American a little bit, but still, this is not a guy I want to back. Both guys are likely done by the 5th inning, so the bullpens are important. Atlanta has the 3rd-best bullpen ERA in the league. Cincinnati? The 4th-worst. Give me the Braves, all day.
Braves vs Reds Prediction: Atlanta Braves ML (-140) available at the time of publishing. Playable to -160.
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