Chad Hartsock
ConsultantChad's Picks
The Milwaukee Brewers and Miami Marlins finish a series on Sunday afternoon. The Brewers took the first 2 games and have pushed their winning streak to 4 games now. The Marlins started hot, but they have scuffled quite a bit lately. Both teams have been playing more low-scoring games than otherwise lately, and that is what I am looking for on Sunday afternoon. Give me the game total under 8 runs.
The pitching matchup is an excellent one as Jacob Misiorowski faces Eury Perez. The Miz is as hard to hit as anyone in the league, and the Marlins aren’t exactly the most potent offense. Perez has not quite rounded into form yet, and he has given up 3 or 4 runs in each start. However, this is a Brewers offense that is missing some key bats, including both Christian Yelich and Jackson Chourio. They are much less dangerous at the moment, and they are leaning on their pitching and run prevention. This feels like a game that stays under the total as the arms should be better than the bats on Sunday.
Brewers vs Marlins prediction: Under 8 (-115) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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The San Francisco Giants and the Washington Nationals conclude a series on Sunday afternoon. It took 12 innings for the Giants to resolve Saturday’s game, but they have now won the first 2 games and are aiming for a sweep. Both teams sit at 9-12, and neither team is great, but I prefer the Giants quite a bit in this matchup. Give me the Giants on the money line on Sunday.
The pitching matchup is Robbie Ray vs. Miles Mikolas, and there are 2 strong factors for me. First, I am always interested in fading Mikolas. While his ERA over 11.00 is certainly worse than he actually is (thanks to giving up 11 runs to the Dodgers), Mikolas is a fade candidate for me in nearly every start. Second, and significantly, I am fading the Nats against a good lefty. The Nationals currently have the highest batting average in the league versus lefties, but that is not sustainable for them. Rather, they are designed to hit righties, as most of their best young bats are left-handed hitters. Ray has been great so far this season, and aside from walking too many people, he has held every opponent to 2 runs or less. Let’s also remember that Washington has one of the worst bullpens in the league, and they will likely be in the game early. Take the Giants.
Giants vs Nationals best bet: San Francisco Giants ML (-155) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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