Chad Hartsock
ConsultantChad's Picks
The Arizona Diamondbacks and Seattle Mariners have one of the final games on the slate tonight. They battled late into the night on Friday before the Mariners eventually took a 7-6 victory in extra innings. That pushed the Mariners’ winning streak to 4 games, and it ended a 5-game streak for the D-Backs. As we head to Saturday, the Mariners are heavy favorites with Bryan Woo on the mound as he faces Ryne Nelson. There is value in backing the Diamondbacks at a nice plus-money payout, but I am going to go with under 7 in this spot.
We don’t usually want to bet an under with Ryne Nelson on the mound, as he is very capable of giving up a big number. However, he has been really strong in the month of May, pitching into the 7th or 8th inning in 4 straight starts, logging quality starts in all of them. He will face a Seattle lineup that has never seen him before, and feels a little thin without Cal Raliegh in the middle of the order. Woo, on the other side, is as reliable as a starter gets. He has had a couple of rough outings this season, but he has more than earned my trust whenever he takes the hill. I think we could be in for a low-scoring grind of a game. The books think so too, and they know we hate betting unders already.
Diamondbacks vs Mariners Prediction: Under 7 (-115) available at the time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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The early game on Saturday features the Chicago White Sox vs the Detroit Tigers. On Friday, the White Sox walked off Detroit in the 10th inning, and that was after a 9th-inning rally to force extras. At some point, we need to start taking the White Sox seriously. The Tigers, on the other hand, are cratering hard. They have lost 11 of their last 13 games, and blowing the lead twice in the final 2 innings on Friday is just demoralizing. I have no idea why the White Sox are such plus-money underdogs, but I am happy to see it, and I will be locking that in.
The pitching matchup features a pair of lefties, Framber Valdez and Anthony Kay. Both have been pitching well for most of the season, and there is no reason to fade either guy. What does stand out, however, is the slugging percentage of each team vs lefties. Would it surprise you to know that the White Sox have the 4th-best slugging percentage in the league vs LHP? They trail only the Yankees, Dodgers, and Diamondbacks. The Tigers are in the bottom 5 in the same category. Look, the White Sox keep finding ways to win, and the Tigers keep finding ways to lose. Let’s ride the hot team.
Tigers vs White Sox Prediction: Chicago White Sox ML (+115) available at the time of publishing. Playable to -110.
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