Chad Hartsock
ConsultantChad's Picks
The Houston Astros head to Arlington on Monday to face the Texas Rangers in an AL West rivalry series. The Astros are coming off a weekend sweep of the Cubs, catching the Cubs in the midst of a prolonged slump. The Rangers, on the other hand, were swept by the Angels and are looking to get back on track. With Kumar Rocker and Tatsuya Imai on the mound, we have a lot of potential for volatility on Monday, but I am going with the more reliable Rocker and the Rangers to get the win.
Imai returned from a brief minor league reassignment and has made a couple of starts since, but the results have not improved. He has allowed 9 runs and 4 home runs in those two starts, and he is simply not trustworthy as a starter so far in his MLB career. Rocker has been up and down for a couple of seasons now, but he has worked behind an opener in his last two starts, and that has led to a lot of success. Rocker has tossed 13.2 scoreless innings over his last two appearances, and he seems to be building some momentum. The Houston offense has not been great this season, so I look for Rocker to continue. Also, bear in mind that Houston has the worst bullpen ERA in baseball at 5.60, while the Texas bullpen is 2nd best in the league, and trails only the Dodgers with a unit ERA below 3.00. Let’s trust that.
Astros vs Rangers Prediction: Rangers ML (-135) available at the time of publishing. Playable to (-145).
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The St. Louis Cardinals and Milwaukee Brewers get a series started on Monday afternoon. The Brewers dropped 2 of 3 to the Dodgers over the weekend, while the Cardinals battled the weather in Cincinnati, ultimately raining out Sunday’s contest. American Family Field has a roof though, so no worries on Monday afternoon. Monday is a “Miz day” as Jacob Misiorowski takes the ball for the Brew Crew. This game comes down to whether you think Misiorowski will continue to do amazing things, and I am not betting against that.
Misiorowski is doing incredible things. He has a 1.89 ERA and a WHIP of just 0.88, and he has 88 Ks in just 57 innings. He is virtually untouchable, hasn’t given up a run all month, and has struck out at least 8 guys in 6 straight games. Oh, and something like the fastest 80 or so pitches thrown by starters this season are all by Miz, and he is routinely hitting 102 or 103. Good luck hitting him. On the other side is Matthew Libertore, who is having a fine season, but he has logged two straight short outings while allowing 4 runs. This game comes down to whether the Brewers show up on offense, and whether you want to bet on the Miz finally coming back to earth a bit. I’ll ride the hot hand.
Cardinals vs Brewers Prediction: Brewers -1.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable to -120.
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