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The Norfolk State Spartans and the Grambling State Tigers will meet in Georgia on Thursday night for a non-conference showdown. This matchup is part of the Toyota Chris Paul HBCU Classic, and it will tip off at 7:30 pm ET. Neither team has a good record, but they have challenged themselves in their non-conference slates. Grambling State is on a 5-game losing streak but played Southern Miss and Tulane tough in the last 2 matchups. Norfolk State has lost its last 3 games, but 2 of them came to Baylor and Arizona. It should be a close game — as the spread indicates — but my Norfolk State vs Grambling State pick is the under.
The total is currently set at 132 points. The under is my best bet because both teams play very slowly and do not score the basketball at a high level. According to KenPom, Norfolk State is ranked #305 nationally in adjusted tempo and #312 in average possession length, so the pace of this one should keep the total under. Norfolk State is ranked #346 in all of Division I in points per game at 62.5; Grambling State is ranked #313 at 66.8. According to KenPom, both teams are ranked in the 300s in adjusted offensive efficiency. I do not see either team having the offense to score consistently, so let’s take the under.
Norfolk State vs Grambling State prediction: Under 132 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 131.
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The Vanderbilt Commodores and the Memphis Tigers will face off on Wednesday night for a non-conference showdown. The Commodores have been a great surprise to college basketball, starting the season 10-0. They are now ranked #13 in the country and will look to keep their undefeated season going with a win. Memphis is just 4-5 on the season and may struggle to get a much-needed home win against Vanderbilt. The spread is currently Vanderbilt -7.5, but my best bet of the game is the over.
Vanderbilt boasts one of the best offenses in all of college hoops. The ‘Dores are ranked #2 nationally in points per game at 95.4 and have yet to score fewer than 80 points in any game this year. According to KenPom, their offense is ranked #4 in adjusted efficiency, #4 in 2-point percentage and #7 in effective field-goal percentage. I do not see Memphis slowing them down in this one, as its defense is ranked just #51 in adjusted efficiency and outside the top 100 in 2-point percentage. The Commodores should be able to score at a high level in this one, and I expect the pace to be fast.
Vanderbilt will look to play fast, which should help drive the total over. The ‘Dores are ranked #5 in adjusted tempo and #34 in average offensive possession length, while Memphis is ranked #133 in adjusted tempo. I see a fast-paced game with no shortage of points. Let’s take the over.
Vanderbilt vs Memphis prediction: Over 159 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 160.
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