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Pickswise ExpertLock's Picks
The Arizona Wildcats and the Alabama Crimson Tide will face off on Saturday night in Birmingham for a ranked matchup. It will be a top-15 tilt inside Legacy Arena with Arizona ranked #1 in the country and Alabama ranked #12. It’s a semi- home game for Alabama, but Arizona is still a slight favorite in this one. ‘Zona is currently -1.5 but my best bet of the game is the over.
Both teams boast efficient offenses and play a high-paced style. The Crimson Tide are one of the fastest teams in the country and like to shoot as many 3s as they can, so their up-and-down style should dictate a fast-paced game. According to KenPom, Alabama is ranked #9 nationally in adjusted tempo and #9 in average offensive possession length. Likewise, Arizona is ranked #34 in adjusted tempo and #41 in average offensive possession length.
Elite offense should be on display all night as both Alabama and Arizona are ranked inside the top 23 in points per game this season. Alabama is ranked #2 in adjusted offensive efficiency; Arizona is ranked #9 per KenPom. A battle between 2 top-10 offenses and fast-paced teams should help carry the total over.
Arizona vs Alabama prediction: Over 178 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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The Michigan Wolverines will travel to College Park on Saturday for a Big Ten matchup against the Maryland Terrapins. Maryland is 6-4 on the season under new head coach Buzz Williams and has lost 3 out of the last 4 games. The Terps’ last 3 high-major games have resulted in blowout losses. Michigan has been one of the best teams in the entire country this season and is now #1. The Wolverines are -19 on the road and I like them to cover.
The Wolverines have blown out every opponent they have played over their last 6 games. They have moved from preseason #11 KenPom ranked to the #1 ranked team following their routs of Middle Tennessee, San Diego State, Auburn, Gonzaga, Rutgers and Villanova. Their defense should make it very hard for Maryland’s offense to score in this one, as Michigan’s defense is ranked #1 nationally in adjusted defensive efficiency and #1 in 2-point percentage. Maryland’s offense is ranked in #277 in 2-point percentage and #130 overall, so I do not see the Terps having much success in this one.
Michigan vs Maryland: Michigan -19 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at -20.
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The Rutgers Scarlet Knights will make the short trip to Newark on Saturday for a non-conference matchup against the Seton Hall Pirates. This game will be played at Seton Hall this season for the Garden State Hardwood Classic. The Pirates are 9-1 on the year and are a big favorite in this one. Seton Hall is an 11-point favorite, but my best bet of the game is the under.
The total is set at just 131.5 points, and I believe the total will remain under that number. I like the under here because both teams play slow and do not have good offenses. According to KenPom, Seton Hall is ranked #299 in adjusted tempo and Rutgers is ranked #294. It should be a slow-paced game and neither offense is efficient enough for me to back the over. Rutgers’ offense is ranked #160 in adjusted offensive efficiency, #275 in effective field-goal percentage and #321 in 2-point percentage. Seton Hall’s offense is ranked #122 in adjusted offensive efficiency, #181 in effective field-goal percentage and #210 in 2-point percentage. I do not see either offense being good enough to carry the total over, especially against a Seton Hall defense that is ranked #13 nationally in adjusted efficiency. I’m taking the under.
Rutgers vs Seton Hall prediction: Under 131.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 130.
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