We close out one of the crazier weeks in the NFL season with Philip Rivers in primetime. I cannot begin to tell you how excited I was to type that. The Indianapolis Colts (+5.5) are still technically in the Wild Card hunt of the AFC, but the lights are dimming. With a win at home against the San Francisco 49ers, their playoff odds improve to 11%. This is a fall from grace for the Colts team that was the Cinderella story of the season, with Daniel Jones emerging as an MVP candidate and the gutsy move to go all-in with CB Sauce Gardner at the deadline. For San Francisco, they’re currently 6th in the NFC and 3rd in the NFC West. Let’s break down my best MNF player prop bets for 49ers vs Colts, while you can also get our expert NFL picks for EVERY game this season.
Now check out our expert’s 49ers vs Colts touchdown scorer best bets, including a prediction at +280 odds!
Best 49ers vs Colts MNF player prop bet: Tyler Warren 4+ receptions & Jonathan Taylor 2+ receptions (+100)
Odds available at bet365 at time of publishing. 1u
For my best 49ers vs Colts player prop bet, I’ve pieced together a small parlay on the Colts side of this game and for a few reasons. For starters, Philip Rivers does not look like he will be pushing the ball down field much during his 2nd stint in Indianapolis. Based on what I saw last week, Rivers is in there to move the chains and get Jonathan Taylor in scoring position while the defense tries to win the turnover battle. Last week, Warren and Taylor combined for 10 targets and 6 receptions between the pair and the only change I see coming is getting the ball more in Tyler Warren’s hands.
Rivers had the 4th-lowest air yards per attempt last week (5.2), and while it can only improve, it would take a miracle to see him airing it out to deep and intermediate crossing routes at this stage of his career. Warren was the focal point of the offense the first few weeks of the season until Daniel Jones elevated his play and became more comfortable in the offense. I expect Rivers to have several plays with Warren as his first read and Taylor as his check down. The other side of this is that San Francisco jumps out to an early lead and the Colts become one-dimensional, loading up on the underneath targets to the 2 men mentioned above.
After 2 winners on Saturday night at +650 and +407 odds, don’t miss our 49ers vs Colts parlay picks for MNF tonight!
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