The Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ (-4.5) season has taken a downturn over the last 5 weeks, dropping 4 of 5 while going 0-5 ATS. They currently still control the NFC South, but Carolina is nipping at their heels. The Falcons, on the other hand, are simply trying to keep the first-round pick they’re sending to LA outside of the Top 10. The Bucs do have the cavalry showing up in terms of veteran WR Mike Evans scheduled to return, which would be his first start since Week 7. The Falcons will be without WR1 Drake London on TNF, while TE Kyle Pitts is currently QUE. Let’s break down my best Falcons vs Buccaneers player prop bet for TNF, while you can also find out our NFL picks for every game this season, including Chris Farley’s Falcons vs Bucs TNF predictions, as he looks to add to his 14-6 run!
Best Falcons vs Buccaneers TNF player prop bet: Chris Godwin (TB) over 3.5 receptions (-112)
Odds available at Fanatics Sportsbook at time of publishing. 1u
There is a lot of hype about Mike Evans returning this week to secure a playoff spot for Tampa Bay after their recent struggles, and that’s kept this line down at a tantalizing 3.5 for one of the best slot receivers in the NFL. Chris Godwin returned 3 weeks ago from injury and he’s seen his snap counts return to 69%, growing week over week. In the last 2 games where he’s seen 66% of snaps, he’s had 5 and 8 targets. He has just 2 drops on 30 targets this season and 12 of those targets were in the middle of the field, which is where the Falcons blitz can create a funnel in the middle of the field for Godwin to exploit.
I do not see the return of Evans and Jalen McMillan as eating into Godwin’s snaps, but rather less attention given to Godwin from opposing secondaries, allowing him to find soft spots in their zone (8th-most zone coverage in the NFL). I would go as high as 6+ receptions if I was laddering up for alt-line action, but Godwin should easily be able to get 4 catches tonight.
After ANOTHER SGP winner on MNF at +1000 odds, don’t miss tonight’s Falcons vs Bucs Same Game Parlay for TNF
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