Ryan Hodges
Despite the Capitals having the opportunity to notch this series at 2 games a piece, this series has felt one-sided in favor of the Hurricanes. Carolina is coming off of a dominant 4-0 win in Game 3 which gave them a 2-1 series lead. Prior, they won Game 1 and lost Game 2, despite outplaying Washington. The Hurricanes have a good chance on home ice to take a stranglehold of this series going back to Washington. But the Capitals will be in desperation mode in Game 4 as to not let that happen. This will be a fast, intense matchup and make for great viewing on a Monday night. If you will be watching and want to have some action, here is a same-game parlay we like at +490 odds along with some reasoning for the appeal.
You can also find out our NHL picks for this matchup and all of the playoff action.
Hurricanes ML (-238)
Under 5.5 (-118)
Taylor Hall over 0.5 points (+115)
Capitals vs Hurricanes Same Game Parlay odds: +490
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Carolina Hurricanes ML over Washington Capitals (-238)
We hit our +445 same-game parlay from Game 3 of this series with very similar picks. We had the Hurricanes winning outright, the game total under 5.5, and a Jackson Blake point prop. Trends leading into Game 3 were only reinforced, making it even tougher to fade the trends in Game 4. Such trends in favor of the Hurricanes primarily include Carolina now having won 4 out of their last 5 games, as well as 8 out of their last 9 games played at home. The Hurricanes are now 35-9-1 at home in 2024-25, including 27-18 against the spread. They also had a +1.32 goal differential per game at home this season which is now +2.50 per game in the playoffs. The Hurricanes are playing into their strengths this postseason. A big strength, which they have the benefit of on Monday, is home-ice advantage.
The head to head numbers between these teams largely favor the Hurricanes as well. Carolina has won 4 out of the 7 played against Washington in 2024-25. That isn’t a dominating record, but the Hurricanes have a +6 goal differential and a +76 shot differential across those 7 total games played. With that, Carolina has outshot Washington in all 7 games played head to head this year and by an average of 10.86 shots per game. Longer term, the Hurricanes have won 10 out of the last 15 games played against the Capitals including 6 out of the last 7 played in Carolina. This Hurricanes team is playing great hockey and has given no good reason to fade them.
Read our full analysis of Monday’s 2-game Stanley Cup Playoff slate
Under 5.5 (-118)
As mentioned, the under is yet another trend that has been friendly to bettors and hit again on Saturday. With Carolina’s 4-0 win, the under has now hit in 4 out of Washington’s last 5 games and in 6 out of Carolina’s last 8 games. Head to head, the total has now gone under in 4 out of the last 6 played head to head. While the Hurricanes broke out offensively after a couple games being snakebit, they continued to clamp down defensively and progress the Capitals’ scoring woes. Entering Game 4, the Caps have scored just 4 goals through 3 games in this series.
A lack of scoring for the Capitals is nothing new in this postseason. Their 2.75 goals per game average in these playoffs ranks 11th among the 16 playoff-eligible teams. A key reason they advanced and have kept this series close on paper is their goal prevention. Even with Saturday’s 4-0 shutout loss, Washington still ranks 2nd in the playoffs in goals allowed per game. Unsurprisingly, they rank only behind Carolina. If these teams just stick to their recent averages on both sides of the puck, the trends have a good chance to hold true and bring another game total under.
Taylor Hall over 0.5 points (+115)
The Hurricanes have not had to rely solely on their top line for production in these playoffs. They have received several contributions from their middle and bottom 6 forwards to help get them within 2 wins of the Eastern Conference Finals. In Game 3, the Hurricanes got a combined 6 points from players not on their top line. Among those players was Taylor Hall who’s line accounted for 2 of those 6 points on the 4 goals scored. Hall has become an important role player on this team thanks to his mix of talent, experience, and reliability.
Taylor Hall is a Hart Trophy winner in this league. So it is not surprising that he can be a difference maker on a playoff team. In this case, Carolina already has plenty of star players. He doesn’t have to be the guy. This is an experienced player that can still bring it on the offensive side of the puck, but has become a much more reliable 2-way forward with experience. Hall’s value to the team was solidified with a contract extension during the playoffs which is rare. He has new life in his game now with contract security and playing on a legitimate Stanley Cup contending team. The chip on his shoulder to win his first Stanley Cup only adds to the tangible talent and production Hall already brings. Look for Hall to come out with some added urgency to help his team take a commanding series lead.
Capitals vs Hurricanes Same Game Parlay
