Ryan Hodges
Despite the Capitals having the opportunity to level things up at 2-2, this series has felt one-sided in favor of the Hurricanes. Carolina is coming off of a dominant 4-0 win in Game 3 which gave them a 2-1 series lead. Prior, they won Game 1 and lost Game 2, despite outplaying Washington. The Hurricanes have a good chance on home ice to take a stranglehold of this series going back to Washington. But the Capitals will be in desperation mode in Game 4 to not let that happen. With that in mind, let’s get into my Capitals vs Hurricanes Same Game Parlay at +490 odds. You can also find out our NHL picks for both of tonight’s playoff matchups.
Hurricanes ML (-238)
Under 5.5 (-118)
Taylor Hall over 0.5 points (+115)
Capitals vs Hurricanes Same Game Parlay odds: +490
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Carolina Hurricanes ML over Washington Capitals (-238)
We hit our Capitals vs Hurricanes Same Game Parlay at +445 odds from Game 3 of this series with very similar picks to tonight. We had the Hurricanes winning outright, the game total under 5.5 and a Jackson Blake point prop. Trends leading into Game 3 were reinforced, making it even tougher to fade the trends in Game 4. Such trends in favor of the Hurricanes primarily include Carolina now having won 4 of their last 5 games, as well as 8 of their last 9 at home. The Hurricanes are now 35-9-1 at home in 2024-25, including 27-18 on the puck line. They also had a +1.32 goal differential per game at home this season, which is now +2.50 per game in the playoffs. The Hurricanes are playing to their strengths this postseason. A big strength, which they have the benefit of on Monday, is home-ice advantage.
The head-to-head numbers between these teams largely favor the Hurricanes as well. Carolina has won 4 of the 7 played against Washington in 2024-25. That isn’t a dominating record, but the Hurricanes have a +6 goal differential and a +76 shot differential across those 7 games. With that, Carolina has outshot Washington in all 7 games played head-to-head this year and by an average of 10.86 shots per game. Longer term, the Hurricanes have won 10 of the last 15 games played against the Capitals, including 6 of the last 7 played in Carolina. This Hurricanes team is playing great hockey and has given no reason to fade them.
Read our full Capitals vs Hurricanes prediction for Game 4 tonight
Under 5.5 (-118)
As mentioned, the Under is yet another trend that has been friendly to bettors and hit again on Saturday. With Carolina’s 4-0 win, the Under has now hit in 4 of Washington’s last 5 games and in 6 of Carolina’s last 8 games. Head to head, the total has now gone Under in 4 of the last 6. While the Hurricanes broke out offensively after a couple of games being snakebit, they continued to clamp down defensively and progress the Capitals’ scoring woes. Entering Game 4, the Caps have scored just 4 goals through 3 games in this series.
A lack of scoring for the Capitals is nothing new in this postseason. Their 2.75 goals per game in these playoffs ranks 11th among the 16 playoff-eligible teams. A key reason they advanced and have kept this series close on paper is their goal-prevention. Even with Saturday’s 4-0 shutout loss, Washington still ranks 2nd in the playoffs in goals allowed per game. Unsurprisingly, they rank only behind Carolina. If these teams just stick to their recent averages on both sides of the puck, we should see another Under in this one.
Taylor Hall over 0.5 points (+115)
The Hurricanes have not had to rely solely on their top line for production in these playoffs. They have received several contributions from their middle and bottom 6 forwards to help get them within 2 wins of the Eastern Conference Finals. In Game 3, the Hurricanes got a combined 6 points from players not on their top line. Among those players was Taylor Hall, whose line accounted for 2 of those 6 points on the 4 goals scored. Hall has become an important role player on this team thanks to his mix of talent, experience and reliability.
Taylor Hall is a Hart Trophy winner in this league. So it is not surprising that he can be a difference-maker on a playoff team. In this case, Carolina already has plenty of star players. He doesn’t have to be the guy. This is an experienced player who can still bring it on the offensive side of the puck but has become a much more reliable 2-way forward with experience. Hall’s value to the team was solidified with a contract extension during the playoffs, which is rare. He has new life in his game now with contract security and playing on a legitimate Stanley Cup-contending team. The chip on his shoulder to win his first Stanley Cup only adds to the tangible talent and production Hall already brings. Look for Hall to come out with some added urgency to help his team take a commanding series lead.
