We close out the Christmas Day slate of NFL with the Denver Broncos (-13) heading to Kansas City to take on what’s left of the Chiefs. Patrick Mahomes will miss the remainder of the NFL season with an ACL injury and their playoff hypes died when he went down in Week 16. The Broncos are currently in the 1st seed of the AFC playoff picture and holding off the Patriots as best they can. With a win on Thursday and a Chargers loss, they can clinch the AFC West. Let’s get into my best Broncos vs Chiefs player prop bet for Thursday Night Football, while you can also get our expert NFL picks for every Week 17 matchup.
Check out NFL pro bettor Chris Farley’s Broncos vs Chiefs predictions for Christmas Thursday Night Football — he’s hit 15 of his last 20 picks!
Best Broncos vs Chiefs player prop bet: Isiah Pacheco (KC) 50+ rush+receiving yards (-115)
Line available on bet365 at the time of publishing.
Chris Oladokun is starting under center for the Chiefs Thursday night after back up Gardner Minshew exited Week 16 early. I’m slightly off put by the spread and total of this game with a double digit spread and total under 40 points. I’m picturing a neutral game script for KC who will make a few surprise plays on defense and special teams while playing with nothing to lose. Pacheco is coming of a 73% snap count, second highest of the season and I expect his big play ability will be something Andy Reid leans on in both the rushing and passing game.
Given the injuries that Kansas City has sustained in recent weeks, it’s no surprise that Pacheco tallied 7 targets in the passing game and 7 total red zone rush attempts over the last two games. It’s clear the Chiefs want to see what they have in him over these last two weeks and there is likely a reason he hasn’t been extended past his rookie deal. I’m expecting 10-13 carries from Pacheco and 4-5 targets in the pass game. He is an angry runner with big play ability, so this number is extremely beatable if he can break off at least one big play of 10+ in either rushing or passing game.
After 2 winners on Saturday and another on MNF don’t miss our Broncos vs Chiefs parlay picks at +895 odds!
Click here to add us to your Google preferred sources and never miss a story
