Lions-Vikings on Christmas Day won’t feel very jolly. The Lions ultimately watched their playoff chances vanish last Sunday with a loss to the Steelers in dramatic fashion, while the Vikings are looking to pack it in early after J.J. McCarthy is likely down for the season after exiting early last week. Let’s dive into my best Lions vs Vikings player prop bets for Week 17 on Christmas Day, while you can also find out all of our expert NFL picks for EVERY GAME in Week 17 and throughout the season!
Lions vs Vikings player prop bet: David Montgomery over 31.5 rushing yards (-110)
Odds available at Bet365 at time of publishing.
Last Sunday was rock bottom for David Montgomery and the Lions run game. Montgomery played just 13 snaps and received 4 touches. It’s been a common theme not to utilize Montgomery over the last month and a half. In the last 6 games, Montgomery has run the ball fewer than 9 times in each of his 6 games, resulting in 4 Lions losses and ultimately missing out on the playoffs after last season’s historic regular season. Looking ahead to Christmas Day, we’re banking on the Lions going back to their 1-2 punch in a game where they’re touchdown favorites on the road.
We’re waiting on more major books to release Montgomery props, including rushing attempts, but BetMGM has Montgomery’s rushing attempt line at 8.5 – Insinuating they expect Montgomery to see a much larger workload than we’ve seen in the past. Since Montgomery made the move from Chicago to Detroit, it’s been apparent that when he gets notable touches, the Lions success comes naturally. With 11+ touches by Montgomery, the Lions are 26-8. When he receives fewer than 7 touches, that record drops to 2-5, including a daunting loss last week. The game script should heavily be in the Lions favor with the Vikings having Max Brosner under center. Expect Montgomery with fresh legs to soar over his rushing line.
David Montgomery 50+ rushing yards (+300)
Odds available at Bet365 at time of publishing. 0.5u play.
Let’s have some fun on Christmas. It’s no surprise Bet365 has the best prices for a Montgomery rushing ladder. I’m personally laddering Montgomery up to 70+ rushing yards at +850 on Bet365, while FanDuel and DraftKings are priced at +640.
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