It’s Thanksgiving week, and that means that the Lions are hosting a game on Thanksgiving Day against a division rival. The first of the 3 games on Turkey Day takes place between a pair of NFC North foes as Detroit hosts a Green Bay Packers team that already embarrassed the Lions back in Week 1. Will Green Bay pull off the season sweep, or will Detroit get back on track at Ford Field? It’s almost time to find out. Let’s get into our Packers vs Lions Same Game Parlay picks, with the matchup getting underway at 1:00 pm ET on FOX. Also, be sure to check out our NFL picks for every Thanksgiving Day matchup and all of the Week 13 action.
Packers ML (+130)
Under 49.5 (-110)
David Montgomery over 9.5 rush attempts (+108)
Packers vs Lions Same Game Parlay odds: +1200
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that you can have legs that somewhat contradict each other to drive up the price. For example, David Montgomery having a solid game doesn’t necessarily correlate with a Packers win. However, regardless of the result, we don’t expect the Lions to be shut out entirely, and with the way Detroit has been running the ball this season, Montgomery looks capable of putting together a solid performance. Let’s break down each leg.
Green Bay Packers ML over Detroit Lions (+130)
For the first leg of our Packers vs Lions Same Game Parlay, we’re going to be backing the visitors on the money line. Both of these teams have been up-and-down all season long, with the Lions struggling to generate consistent success against strong defenses without the services of Ben Johnson as offensive coordinator, while the Packers are also searching for more consistency on a week-to-week basis on offense. However, what Green Bay does have is a very strong defense, which has the ability to generate pressure on Jared Goff and force the veteran quarterback into mistakes, much like we saw in the Week 1 meeting between these teams.
he Lions have typically been an excellent team at home in the Dam Campbell era, but it has been tough sledding for Detroit in its recent home games. In fact, the Lions have been struggling against inferior competition, with Detroit losing outright as a significant favorite to the Vikings and needing overtime to get past the lowly Giants last week. Detroit’s defense has allowed a combined 54 points in its last pair of home games against the likes of J.J. McCarthy and Jameis Winston. That doesn’t bode well for the Lions against a much stronger opponent this week.
Read our full Packers vs Lions predictions for Thanksgiving Day
Under 49.5 (-110)
This is an instance where I’m bullish on a lower-scoring game given how both of these offenses have looked of late. While Detroit did score 34 points against the Giants a week ago, the offense was far from crisp and it took a couple of tremendous individual effort plays from Jahmyr Gibbs in order to come up with pivotal touchdowns against a Giants rushing defense that is among the worst in football. The Packers present a much tougher matchup, and we saw Green Bay completely bottle up Goff, Gibbs and company earlier this season. On the other side, the Packers offense is dealing with a litany of injuries at the skill positions and Green Bay is still very much a run-first team at the moment. Let’s roll with the under at the current number.
Don’t miss our Packers vs Lions touchdown scorer best bets, including a longshot at +500!
David Montgomery over 9.5 rush attempts (+108)
Given the fact that the Lions have leaned heavily on Jahmyr Gibbs to spark an otherwise sputtering offense in recent weeks, there should be plenty of opportunities for backup running back David Montgomery to shoulder more of the load on the ground in a game against a Green Bay defense that bottled up Gibbs very effectively back in Week 1. Not only did Montgomery finish with 11 carries in that Week 1 matchup, but he’s also cleared this number in 7 of 11 games this season. Let’s bank on that trend to continue on Thanksgiving Day.
Find out our expert’s best Packers vs Lions player prop bets for today, featuring Jordan Love
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