Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
This is an interesting matchup for Monday Night Football with the Jacksonville Jaguars getting +3.5 as home underdogs despite a 3-1 start. The Kansas City Chiefs saw the return of WR Xavier Worthy in Week 4 and it came at a much-needed time after starting 0-2; last week’s 37-point performance was the highest-scoring output of the season for Patrick Mahomes and company. The Jaguars can be taken seriously in the AFC with a win this week over KC, while the Chiefs can continue to dig themselves out of the early hole they dug out of the gate. The total sits at 46.5. Let’s get into my best Chiefs vs Jaguars player prop bets for MNF, while you can also lock in our NFL picks for tonight.
Read our full Chiefs vs Jags prediction for MNF, with our experts boasting an 86-67-1 record for +33 units!
Best Chiefs vs Jaguars player prop bet: Xavier Worthy (KC) 4+ receptions + Trevor Lawrence (JAX) 5+ rushing yards (-128)
Odds available on FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing. 1u
For this player prop Same Game Parlay, I’m first targeting Worthy to have 4+ receptions. The Jags run zone defense at the 3rd-highest rate in the league and it aligns closely with Worthy’s target share against zone on the team. 4 of his 9 receptions this season were against zone defense and last week he saw 8 targets with 5 receptions. The most impressive part of that stat line was that it was only done on 59% of snaps, a number I expect to go up this week. Instead of playing the juiced over 4.5 at -140, I brought down his receptions to just 4 in case one gets declared a rush attempt from a backwards pass.
For the 2nd leg of this player prop SGP, I’ve added in Trevor Lawrence to post at least 5 rushing yards. He has hit that in 3 of 4 games this season and is playing a Chiefs team that has allowed the 2nd-most rushing attempts per game this season to opposing QBs.
Find out our Chiefs vs Jaguars Same Game Parlay picks for MNF at HUGE +1000 odds
Best Chiefs vs Jaguars lotto: Brian Thomas Jr. (JAX) and Xavier Worthy (KC) 25+ receiving yards in each half (+750)
Odds available on FanDuel Sportsbook at the time of publishing. 0.35u
As well as our Chiefs vs Jaguars Same Game Parlay, I’m also rolling the dice and backing Worthy and Brian Thomas Jr. to have 25 yards receiving in each half at enticing +750 odds. This game could turn into a shootout and many pundits peg Thomas Jr. as finally breaking out this week, after PFF pointed out that BTJ is seeing a 29 percent first-read target rate. If things go as expected, this longshot could wind up cashing very easily.
Lock in JutPicks’ Chiefs vs Jaguars touchdown scorer best bets, including a play at +380 odds!
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