Josh Gayle
1u – Kai Fairbairn o1.5 Field Goals Made (-110 @ MGM)
This one is pretty straightforward. Tennessee has allowed 2+ field goals to every kicker they have faced this season. Houston is 0-3 and motivated to finally get a tally in the win column. Despite that, I dont fully trust Stroud and that offense in redzone situations. Houston is favored by 7 but the total for this game is an astoundingly low 38.5. I feel like that low total implies that we will see some drives fall short on Houstons end despite a great defensive performance. Fairbairn has attempted 2+ field goals in every game this season and 2/3 on hitting the prop. This game is played in a dome so there’s no concern about wind or weather conditions. This should be juiced much more than -110 in my opinion, this is one we have to take at these odds. Lets roll!
1u – Jalen Tolbert o2.5 Receptions (-121 @ DK)
This is too good to pass up. Dallas is going to have the fill the massive void of losing CeeDee Lamb to injury. My guess is that the public will be heavy on Turpin because he had two explosive catches last week for 64 yards. Although I like Turpin this week as well, Tolbert may be the safer bet. Tolbert saw a season high of playing 88% of the snaps in Week 3. He quietly reeled in 3 balls and should be heavily utilized in a game where Dak is projected to throw 37+ times. Green Bay enter this game as touchdown favorites which should force Dallas to throw the ball. Tolbert hit this prop in 8/10 of Dallas losses last year. Green Bay should come out pissed that they blew their Week 3 against Cleveland and force Dallas into a passing script. I absolutely love Tolbert to bring in 3 balls for us. Lets roll!
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