1u – Lamar Jackson u28.5 Pass Attempts (-115 @ MGM)
I love this bet for so many different reasons. First off, Lamar is on track to play so seeing his name on sportsbooks again is a delight. With that being said, I don’t think he should be overworked this Sunday. Coming off an injury, I bet the gameplan is largely to run with King Henry. Lamar is still an MVP level talent and will be needed, but asking for 29+ passes feels like alot. He has thrown 28 or less passes in 8/10 of his games dating back to last season. This game projects to be a win for Baltimore as this should be the beginning of them turning their season around. I don’t envision Chicago actually winning a 5th straight game, they should come back down to reality. With the reinjury risk, the offense not wanting to overwork him, and the projected game script I thought this line would open at 26.5 so seeing 28.5 was an instant auto bet for me. Hoping this goes how we think, lets roll!
1u – Jake Elliott o2.5 XPM (-118 @ MGM)
I’m expecting an extremely angry and motivated Eagles team to come out this Sunday. Giants shocked the world two weeks ago and defeated the defending champs, but I don’t expect that to happen twice. This is the most simple out of routes I could think of going for this game. Elliott has hit this mark in 4/7 games and the Giants defense showed lots of signs of weakness on tape in that 4Q against Denver. I don’t expect Saquon to be neutralized once again and I expect Philly to scheme him up much better against his former team. Eagles are implied 26 points so three touchdowns are certainly in play. Elliott is 20/20 on XP’s and I’m expecting him to continue looking elite.
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