Ryan Hodges
The Oilers and Stars playing in the Western Conference Finals seems to have become an annual tradition. The Western Conference Final has featured one or both of these teams in 5 out of the last 6 years. This is the second consecutive season that Edmonton and Dallas will play for the right to go to the Stanley Cup Finals. This year’s Western Conference Finals edition of Oilers vs Stars looks to be a special one. These are true juggernaut teams in great form as they go into Game 1. If you will be watching the series opening game on Wednesday and want to have some action, here is a same-game parlay you may consider at +575 odds. You can also get our NHL picks for this matchup and every game throughout the postseason.
Edmonton Oilers win (+110)
Game total under 6.5 (-130)
Leon Draisaitl anytime goalscorer (+120)
Oilers vs Stars Same Game Parlay odds: +575
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Edmonton Oilers win (+110)
There is such a thin margin of error between these teams. It has the makings of a long series. But for Game 1, look for the Oilers to make a statement on the road. Edmonton enters this game in fantastic form. Since dropping the first 2 games of their opening round series to the Kings, the Oilers have won 8 out of their last 9 games and 4 consecutive road games. That is even more impressive considering that dominant run was over the Kings who finished ahead of the Oilers in the regular season, and then the Golden Knights who finished 2nd in the Western Conference regular season standings.
Vegas was a phenomenal team with a winning pedigree. Yet, Edmonton took care of them in 5 games. To reinforce how well the Oilers are playing, they have not allowed a goal since game 3 of their 2nd round series. Typically, it is the scoring strength that carries the Oilers. But for nearly a month now, they are clicking on all cylinders on both sides of the puck. The Oilers can neutralize the Stars’ home ice advantage given their strong road performances. They also have won 4 out of the last 6 played head to head against Dallas and enter this game much more rested. Edmonton clinched their prior series last Wednesday, and have enjoyed a full week of rest and recovery. Whereas Dallas had 3 days off, which is still good, but those extra days mean something this time of year given injuries sustained to rosters. This is a good spot for the Oilers at plus money outright.
Game total under 6.5 (-130)
For the most part, both the Oilers and Stars were successful in their respective prior series when they smothered their opponent defensively. As mentioned, the Oilers are coming off of back to back shutouts. They seem to have figured something out on the defensive side of the puck and with goal prevention as a whole. Edmonton held Vegas’ top line of Jack Eichel, Mark Stone, and Ivan Barbashev to 2 goals and 9 points in a combined 15 games played between the 3 players. If the Oilers can continue to emphasize this goal prevention strength, the under will have a great look.
Low game totals are nothing new for the Stars in this postseason either. The under has hit in 5 out of Dallas’ last 6 games. That recent stretch contributes to their now 39-49-7 over under record between the regular season and playoffs. At home, the over under record in Stars games is 20-25-3. Combining Edmonton and Dallas’ over under records in 2024-25, it would be 80-97-11 including 40-51-4 combining Oilers road games with Stars home games. The pure matchup bodes well for the under, as does the strength of goal prevention for the Stars matched up against the recently flexed goal prevention strength of the Oilers.
Leon Draisaitl anytime goalscorer (+120)
Even if this game does indeed go under the total, someone still has to score. Why wouldn’t that someone be Leon Draisaitl? After all, Draisaitl’s 52 goals led the NHL during the regular season. Unsurprisingly, he also led the Oilers in points (106), game-winning goals (11), even strength goals (36), power play goals (16), shots on goal (240), plus-minus (+32), and was 2nd among Oilers forwards in ice time per game (21:31). Very clearly, this is a guy that his coach and teammates lean on in every situation regardless how high-leverage of a situation it may be.
This year was the 7th time in 8 seasons that Draisaitl tallied over 100 points. He did so this year in 71 games played which was the 8th consecutive season he averaged well over a point per game. Fortunately for the Oilers, his production has translated to the playoffs. In 85 career playoff games played, Draisaitl has scored 46 goals and collected 124 points along with a +18 rating, 254 shots on goal, and 22:07 average minutes of ice time per game. This is a supremely talented player that also shares the ice with fellow star players, obviously the most noteworthy being Connor McDavid. Draisaitl continues to come through game by game, year by year. Getting plus money for him to score is good value and a nice add to this same-game parlay.
