Ryan Hodges
The Oilers and Stars playing in the Western Conference Finals seems to have become an annual tradition. The Western Conference Final has featured one or both of these teams in 5 of the last 6 years. This is the 2nd consecutive season that Edmonton and Dallas will play for the right to go to the Stanley Cup Finals. This year’s Western Conference Finals edition looks to be a special one, and I’ve pieced together my Oilers vs Stars Same Game Parlay picks for Game 1 at +575 odds. You can also get our NHL picks for this matchup and every game throughout the Conference Finals.
Oilers ML (+110)
Under 6.5 (-130)
Leon Draisaitl anytime goalscorer (+120)
Oilers vs Stars Same Game Parlay odds: +575
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Edmonton Oilers ML over Dallas Stars (+110)
There is such a thin margin for error between these teams and it has the makings of a long series. But for Game 1, look for the Oilers to make a statement on the road. Edmonton enters this game in fantastic form. Since dropping the first 2 games of their opening-round series to the Kings, the Oilers have won 8 of their last 9 games and 4 consecutive road games. That is even more impressive considering that dominant run was over the Kings, who finished ahead of the Oilers in the regular season, and then the Golden Knights, who finished 2nd in the Western Conference regular season standings.
Vegas was a phenomenal team with a winning pedigree. Yet, Edmonton took care of them in 5 games. To reinforce how well the Oilers are playing, they have not allowed a goal since Game 3 of their 2nd-round series. Typically, it is the scoring strength that carries the Oilers. But for nearly a month now, they are clicking on all cylinders on both sides of the puck. The Oilers can neutralize the Stars’ home-ice advantage given their strong road performances. They have also won 4 of their last 6 against Dallas and enter this game with the rest advantage.
Edmonton clinched their prior series last Wednesday, and have enjoyed a full week of rest and recovery. Dallas had 3 days off, which is still good, but those extra days mean something this time of year given injuries sustained to rosters. This is a good spot for the Oilers to pull the small road upset at plus-money odds.
Read our full Oilers vs Stars prediction for Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals
Under 6.5 (-130)
For the most part, both the Oilers and Stars were successful in their respective prior series when they smothered their opponent defensively. As mentioned, the Oilers are coming off of back-to-back shutouts. They seem to have figured something out on the defensive side of the puck and with goal prevention as a whole. Edmonton held Vegas’ top line of Jack Eichel, Mark Stone and Ivan Barbashev to 2 goals and 9 points in a combined 15 games played between the 3 players. If the Oilers can continue to emphasize this goal-prevention strength, the Under has a strong chance of cashing.
Low game totals are nothing new for the Stars in this postseason either. The Under has hit in 5 of Dallas’ last 6 games. That recent stretch contributes to their now 39-49-7 over/under record between the regular season and playoffs. At home, the over/under record in Stars games is 20-25-3. Combining Edmonton and Dallas’ over/under records in 2024-25, it would be 80-97-11, including 40-51-4 with Oilers road games with Stars home games. The pure matchup bodes well for the Under, as does the strength of goal prevention for the Stars matched up against the recently flexed goal prevention strength of the Oilers.
Leon Draisaitl anytime goalscorer (+120)
Even if this game does indeed go under the total, someone still has to score. Why wouldn’t that someone be Leon Draisaitl? After all, Draisaitl’s 52 goals led the NHL during the regular season. Unsurprisingly, he also led the Oilers in points (106), game-winning goals (11), even-strength goals (36), powerplay goals (16), shots on goal (240), plus-minus (+32) and was 2nd among Oilers forwards in ice time per game (21:31). Very clearly, this is a guy that his coach and teammates lean on in every situation regardless how high-leverage of a situation it may be.
This year was the 7th time in 8 seasons that Draisaitl tallied over 100 points. He did so in 2024-25 in 71 games played, which was the 8th consecutive season he averaged well over a point per game. Fortunately for the Oilers, his production has translated to the playoffs. In 85 career playoff games played, Draisaitl has scored 46 goals and collected 124 points along with a +18 rating, 254 shots on goal and 22:07 average minutes of ice time per game. This is a supremely talented player that also shares the ice with fellow star players, obviously the most noteworthy being Connor McDavid. Draisaitl continues to come through game by game, year by year. Getting plus-money odds for him to score is good value and a nice add to our Oilers vs Stars Same Game Parlay.
