Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
Week 6 in the NFL brings us an NFC East divisional matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and New York Giants (+7.5). The Giants are 1-1 under Jaxson Dart but injuries continue to ravage the team as New York is expected to be without WR Darius Slayton on TNF. This leaves Dart with Cam Skattebo, Theo Johnson and WanDale Robinson to take on the defending Super Bowl champions. For Philadelphia, they just picked up their first loss of the season last week and almost pulled it out on a last-second Hail Mary in the back of the end zone. Despite being 4-1, they’ve been in plenty of close games this season. Let’s get into my best Eagles vs Giants player prop bets for Thursday Night Football.
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Check out JutPicks’ Eagles vs Giants touchdown scorer best bets for TNF, featuring a longshot at HUGE +1600 odds!
Best Eagles vs Giants player prop bet: AJ Brown 50+ receiving yards & Tyron Tracy 10+ receiving yards (+100)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing. 1u
The expectation going into the season was that Skattebo and Tracy would be complementary pieces to one another in the run game for New York. It started out that way through Week 1 and Week 2 before Tracy went down with an injury early in Week 3 and Skattebo was given an audition as the every-down back. For a Giants team completely bereft of talent in their skill position group, it would behoove them to get Tracy back on the field on TNF.
The Eagles run man and zone coverage splits at an even rate when compared to the rest of the league, but still in zone 73% of the time. For the Giants offense, this is going to be a dink and dunk fest from Jaxson Dart with occasional shots downfield if they see man coverage on Robinson. When you see what their skill positions are down to, you have to assume Tracy’s floor is his Week 2 42% of snaps, and before getting injured early in Week 3, he had 6 targets for 5 receptions and 41 yards, which equates to 8.2 yards per reception against Zone coverage. This was 3rd behind only Malik Nabers and WanDale Robinson.
On the AJ Brown side of this Eagles vs Giants Same Game Parlay, I’m expecting him to be heavily involved in the passing game. His baseline is 64.5, which is too high for my liking given the game’s total and his receptions line is only 4.5. In short, Brown excels against man coverage and the Giants rank 3rd overall in man coverage rates, playing it 40% of the time. New York feels they can win at the line of scrimmage and get pressure with their front 4 to disrupt shots downfield, but that can only hold for so long. Brown, Jalen Hurts and Saquon Barkley had a players-only meeting to discuss Brown’s frustration and lack of targets, so expect him to get a little more attention than usual this week.
Now lock in our Eagles vs Giants Same Game parlay picks for TNF at +600 odds
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