The NFC Championship game this weekend is headlined entirely by the NFC West, with the Los Angeles Rams (+2.5) heading to Seattle to take on the Seahawks. These teams met twice in the regular season, splitting the series 1-1 with both victories coming on the road. In terms of who has the edge, it’s going to be difficult to find one if you consider the following stats from both games: total points over 2 games (Rams 58, Seahawks 57), total yards over 2 games (Rams 830, Seahawks 829). On the injury front, the Seahawks will be without running back Zach Charbonnet, while the Rams have questionable tags on safety Quentin Lake and cornerback Emmanuel Forbes. Let’s break down my best Rams vs Seahawks player prop bets, while you can get our expert NFL picks for both conference championship games, with our experts up +82.6 units this season!
Get NFL pro bettor Chris Farley’s Rams vs Seahawks best bets, including a 5-star play!
Best Rams vs Seahawks player prop bet: Terrance Ferguson (LAR) over 14.5 receiving yards (-108)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing. 1u
Terrance Ferguson has had a relatively quiet rookie season when you compare it to his draft status as a 2nd-round pick. He’s battled injuries to start the year, took a while to learn the playbook and has only made 3 starts so far. One of those starts was against Seattle in Week 16, where he logged 4 targets, 3 receptions for 33 yards and a touchdown. Last week against the Bears, Ferguson was involved early, but his snaps were reduced after missing a few key blocks, only playing 29% of offensive snaps.
What encourages me is that plays are being drawn up for him despite only seeing 29% of snaps, to the tune of 5 targets last week for 1 reception and 19 yards. He’s a big-play wide receiver and though the Rams went run-heavy in the last few minutes of regulation into OT, Ferguson was given the last target of the game in OT before kicking the victory field goal. I believe his role will continue to be in that 30-40% of snap range, and he should still see 3-5 targets Sunday night. In games where he sees 3+ targets, he’s over this line in all 5 games.
After recent SGP winners at +650, +600, +675 and +900 odds, don’t miss our Rams vs Seahawks parlay picks at +800!
Rams vs Seahawks player prop pick: Jaxon Smith-Njigba (SEA) over 89.5 receiving yards (-114)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing. 1u
Yes, this is considered a “square” play in terms of being a look that the Average Joe would pull the trigger on without any deep dive into the odds or number. In a game that will get you to the Super Bowl, it is not time for Seattle to get cute, but rather rely on who got you where you are today. In that sense, this is the obvious choice.
The number itself is soft in my opinion: he cleared it in both games against the Rams this season, his median yards for the year are 104, he’s gone over in 14 of 17 (82%) games during the regular season, and the Rams’ glaring weakness defensively is on the perimeter. Whether Emmanuel Forbes plays or not is irrelevant to me in this pick, as LA’s corners across the board have been sub-par all season. We are getting a cheap price on JSN due to last week’s dud against the 49ers, but at no point did they need to put the pedal to the floor on offense, so I’m buying low here.
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