Filip Tomic
Pickswise ExpertFilip's Picks
December has not been kind to the Miami Heat, who are currently on their longest active losing streak of the season, dropping 5 games in a row. Whether or not this poor run of form has anything to do with the return of Tyler Herro to the line-up remains to be seen, but the Heat offense has really struggled over the past 5 games, going over 110 points just once during that stretch. Herro has been in and out of the line-up with various knocks, and with the next 3 games all being on the road, the Heat could get close to the .500 mark if they don’t turn things around.
The Nets go into this game without any real expectations, just like they do on most nights. They’ve actually played decently since the turn of the month, winning 4 of their last 6 games, and they’re coming off their biggest win of the season after dismantling the shorthanded Bucks 127-82 on Sunday. So what has been the driving force of this positive run happening all of a sudden? Defense. Brooklyn ranks 2nd only to the OKC Thunder in defensive efficiency during this stretch, allowing just 104.8 points per game. Michael Porter Jr. has also been on a heater averaging 27.1 points per game over his last 7 outings.
Backing the under has yielded profit in 5 straight Miami Heat games, their pace of play has fallen off a cliff compared to the first month and a half of the season. Brooklyn has excelled defensively lately, with the under cashing 7 times in 8 meetings in Brooklyn between these two teams I feel very comfortable backing it again on Thursday.
Heat vs Nets Predictions: Under 226 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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Franz Wagner was dearly missed in the NBA Cup semis against the Knicks, as Orlando fell by 12-points in Vegas. Five days later, the Magic are back in action as they head to the Mile High city to take on the Nuggets. Jalen Suggs is the latest injury causality; he suffered a hip contusion which will keep him out of this game. Not ideal ahead of a 4-game West coast road trip that begins on Thursday. The Magic have not had good luck in games against this team, winning only once in 9 visits to Ball Arena. Dealing with Nikola Jokic is always troublesome for teams, but especially for Orlando — a team that isn’t really built to handle a player like him.
The 3-time MVP Jokic is coming off a monster triple-double performance of 39 points, 15 rebounds and 10 assists in the Nuggets’ OT win over Houston on Monday. He’s averaging close to a triple-double over the last 5 meetings with Orlando, and my only concern here are his fatigue levels following those grueling 42 mins he played vs the Rockets. The key difference between these two teams is their ability to shoot the long ball. Only the Bucks have a higher efficiency from deep range than the Nuggets do, while Orlando ranks all the way down in 25th.
Orlando will want to start off this road trip on a high note. They probably won’t have an answer for Jokic, but Desmond Bane and Paolo Banchero will want to redeem themselves after losing that game against the Knicks in the NBA Cup semis. Denver probably comes out on top, but I have the Magic keeping this one close. They’ve covered the spread in 7 of 9 meetings.
Magic vs Nuggets Predictions: Orlando Magic +7 is available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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Last week the Cavaliers held a players-only meeting following a 14-10 start to their season and then they proceeded to lose to the Charlotte Hornets at home after going scoreless in the OT period. The first 2 months of this season just haven’t been good to the Cavs, who are hoping to spark a turnaround with a win against the struggling Bulls on Wednesday. They did already win once against Chicago earlier in the year but needed Donovan Mitchell to go berserk in the clutch for that to happen. De’Andre Hunter also went off, scoring 29 points. The question is: do the Cavs have it in them to go up 2-0 in the regular-season series?
To say that the last 10 games or so have been a struggle for the Bulls would be an understatement. This team has seemingly fallen off a cliff, especially on offense. We have grown accustomed to seeing them score a ton of points, but that just hasn’t been the case during this stretch with their net rating being the second-lowest in the league at just 108.7 points per 100 possessions. Earlier this week we saw them lose to the struggling New Orleans Pelicans at home, scoring only 104 points. There could be some major changes made to the roster as the trade season begins in the NBA; rumor has it the Bulls will attempt to get Chicago native Anthony Davis from the Dallas Mavericks. Until that happens, it’s hard for me to take the Bulls seriously. The Cavs did have their struggles this season, but I think it’s time for a signature win over a team that plays very little to no defense. I’ll back Cleveland here.
Cavaliers vs Bulls prediction: Cleveland -5.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
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