Filip Tomic

I briefly touched on JJJ’s scoring near the basket, and he just had his best game of the season against the Boston Celtics over the weekend, scoring 26 points. Although he isn’t averaging as many points as he did over the past 2 seasons, his efficiency numbers are fairly similar to what he’s averaged in previous years for Memphis. His shot attempts should be going up in Morant’s absence as he is now the clear-cut number one option on offense for the Grizz.

Not having to face Victor Wembanyama helps Jackson Jr. massively as it should save him a lot of energy on defense and make life easier when trying to score on the other end. In 10 meetings with the Spurs, JJJ is averaging 24.1 points per game while scoring at least 20 in 6 of those. The last time he played San Antonio, he finished with 42 points. Scoring 20 shouldn’t be too difficult here.

Golden State celebrated an unlikely hero in their 124-106 win over the Pelicans the other day. Moses Moody caught fire from three-point land going 8-for-12 on the night en route to a 32 point performance. He completely overshadowed Stephen Curry’s 2-for-11 effort and just 8 points scored. We often say age is just a number when looking at Curry, but he has shown signs of inconsistency this season, which is to be expected for a player at the age of 37 who mostly relies on his shooting to get points. Steph has a solid bounce back opportunity vs the Magic on Tuesday, he scored 56 points when last time these two teams met back in February of last season.

Scoring on the Magic will be a tough task though – Orlando is one of the elite home teams in the league defensively, allowing the 5th lowest amount of points per game. They just suffered a tough loss in Houston 117-113 after OT, playing without their best player Paolo Banchero. His status is unchanged ahead of Tuesday’s game, which could be problematic considering how much he means to them offensively. The Magic have been decently reliable from a bettors’ perspective, covering the spread in 6 of 9 games and in 4 of 5 vs West teams.

Getting a read on this game wasn’t easy, but I feel like it’s the Warriors’ to lose. They’ve been red-hot from downtown connecting on 24, 17 and 21 threes in their last 3 games. Steph had a miserable game in New Orleans the other day, I wouldn’t be surprised he went for 40 against the shorthanded Magic here. Warriors are 4-1 ATS/SU in 5 meetings, let’s stick with the trends and back them to cover.

Warriors vs Magic prediction: Warriors -3.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Owners of the NBA’s worst record along with the Washington Wizards, the Indiana Pacers are looking to end a 7-game losing streak as they head to Detroit on Monday night. This was a massive rivalry game in the early 2000s, but since then these two teams have taken very different paths to get where they are today. Indy is just unable to get over the injury bug that has them losing games by an average of 14.6 points per game. Offensively this is the worst team in the league, scoring an average of just 104.3 points per 100 possessions. In the underdog role they are 1-10 SU this season, while in road games they are yet to record a win in 7 attempts.

Meanwhile, the Pistons are the complete opposite. They’ve won 8 of 9 games as favorites this season and are 11-2 SU on the season which is their best start in almost two decades. They’ve lost only once at home and currently have a 6-game win streak active there, they might be getting Cade Cunningham back from his hip injury for this one. He has not played since his 46-point performance vs Washington where he took 45 field goal attempts. His absence wasn’t felt almost at all, the Pistons look like a well-oiled machine with others stepping in whenever someone is missing from the line-up.

With the lowest offensive rating and the lowest effective field goal percentage, it’s really hard to consider the Pacers against teams like the Pistons. Detroit has a sizeable gap atop of the East right now, beating teams like the struggling Pacers is a must if they want to keep hold of the number one seed. I’ll take Detroit to cover as double-digit favorites.

Pacers vs Pistons prediction: Pistons -9.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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