2026 Super Bowl Expert Picks: 5 Best Bets from Our Expert Roundtable

Andrew Wilsher

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Managing Editor of Pickswise. Born and raised in jolly old London, England, with an undying love for the NFL, NBA, soccer and horse racing. A big-time sports bettor who loves futures markets and backing underdogs. Long-suffering New York Jets fan. For Andrew Wilsher media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.

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Chris Farley’s Super Bowl LX best bet: Seahawks -4.5 over Patriots (-110)

Odds generally available at time of publishing.

The Patriots advanced to Super Bowl LX, but it wasn’t pretty. Right from the start, Drake Maye and the offense looked out of place. In the opening series, Maye nearly threw an interception that really should have been a pick-six. A fortunate fumble by Jarrett Stidham, forced by an opportunistic defense, created a scoring opportunity for New England despite only gaining 67 yards in the first half. In the second half, they opened up with an incredible drive (9 minutes and 31 seconds), but they still couldn’t cash it in to score a touchdown. From there, the weather took over, disabling both offenses from gaining significant yardage or putting any more points on the scoreboard. New England’s defense was impressive when it had to be, although Stidham and the Denver offense moved the ball when the weather was complementary, gaining 9 first downs in the first half.

Under the new regime of Mike Vrabel and their 2nd-year star quarterback, the Patriots are clearly a very good team or they wouldn’t be in the championship game. They’ve also had an extremely advantageous route to get there. According to many different metrics, the Patriots were given the easiest schedule in the NFL in the regular season. In the playoffs, they beat 2 hapless offenses that EPA metrics ranked in the bottom-10. In the AFC Championship, they faced a backup quarterback, yet still nearly lost. We respect and we are impressed by what the Patriots have done this season, but we’re still inclined to doubt purely because of how they got there.

On the other hand, we couldn’t be more impressed by Mike Macdonald and the Seahawks. The Rams brought an extremely prolific offense and Super Bowl-winning quarterback to Lumen Field, but it was Seattle’s defense that made the biggest plays in high-pressure moments. On a crucial 84-yard drive late in the 4th quarter, Matthew Stafford and his teammates were stymied just 6 yards from the end zone, a stop that ended up deciding the contest. Even better, Sam Darnold played one of the cleanest, most efficient games of his career (25/36, 346 yards, 3 touchdowns). He avoided mistakes, stayed poised, and converted for multiple first downs on his team’s final drive. Giving Stafford and the Rams’ offense less than 30 seconds, Seattle closed it out and outperformed one of the NFL’s best teams for the 2nd time this season. The Seahawks are perhaps the most well-balanced team in the NFL (and it’s shown).

We are huge fans of Mike Vrabel and 2 years ago thought it was clinically insane when the Titans’ front office decided to fire him. His coaching was New England’s edge in the AFC Championship game and we’re positive his Patriots will be back in the postseason for many years to come. At the same time, Seattle’s defense is extremely disciplined and effective in big moments. We trust them to rattle young Drake Maye. Meanwhile, Darnold is playing at the highest level of his career. We also trust Macdonald, who is clearly one of the league’s best and brightest young coaches, to have his boys ready. Furthermore, we expect the Seahawks’ offense and its many weapons to find success early and often, even if New England’s defense plays its best. Most importantly, Seattle has been battle-tested far more than New England, which will pay instant dividends in the most nerve-racking spot of the season. The matchup and the intangibles favor a runaway victory for the Seahawks.

Read Chris Farley’s full Seahawks vs Patriots Super Bowl LX predictions, which features a 5-star best bet!

Kevin Rogers’ Super Bowl 60 prediction: Seahawks -4.5 over Patriots (-110)

Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.

Super Bowl LX pits the Seattle Seahawks and New England Patriots at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California. The Seahawks haven’t lost a game since Week 11 against the Rams, as Seattle got revenge in the NFC Championship in a 31-27 victory. Seattle seeks its 10th consecutive victory and 9th win away from Lumen Field on Sunday, facing a New England squad that edged Denver in the AFC title game, 10-7. The Patriots were fortunate to face backup QB Jarrett Stidham, as the Broncos scored an early TD but couldn’t move the ball in a snowstorm in the 2nd half.

New England dealt with substandard weather in all 3 playoff victories over Los Angeles, Houston and Denver, as the Patriots are listed in the underdog role for the first time since winning at Baltimore in Week 16. Head coach Mike Vrabel’s team owns a 4-2 ATS mark as a dog, with all 4 covers coming away from Gillette Stadium. QB Drake Maye is dealing with a shoulder injury heading into Sunday, as he has thrown for 533 yards in the 3 playoff victories.

The Seahawks have covered in 11 of the past 14 games with 2 of the ATS losses coming as double-digit favorites. In the last 5 Super Bowls, the underdog has covered 4 times, with those 4 teams winning outright. Also, 7 straight underdogs of 4 points or more have covered in the Super Bowl, with the last favorite to cash this number being Indianapolis over Chicago in 2007. It’s hard to ignore Maye not at 100%, while the last 2 QBs the Patriots faced were Stidham and CJ Stroud. Seattle QB Sam Darnold has not been intercepted in 2 playoff wins and is completing nearly 70% of his passes. Let’s go with the Seahawks here to take care of business and capture their 2nd Super Bowl title in franchise history.

Want some Super Bowl 60 novelty bet action? Find out our Halftime Show best bets, National Anthem predictions, Gatorade Shower pick and Coin Toss prediction so you’ve got all bases covered for the big game!

JutPicks’ Super Bowl 60 prediction: Seahawks -4.5 over Patriots (-110)

Odds generally available at time of publishing.

An uncanny NFL season wraps up with an unexpected Super Bowl matchup – 4800-1 to be exact, for the Seahawks and Patriots to meet in February before the season started.

The paths to get here have been much different for both teams. Seattle took care of business in Week 18 against the 49ers in a game where were just 1.5-point favorites. They followed that up by smashing the same 49ers team in the Divisional Round and then taking care of another NFC West foe in the Rams. Meanwhile, the Patriots gave life to both the Texans and Broncos with subpar offensive performances, but kudos to the defense for forcing 7 turnovers combined.

I’m going with the Seahawks covering the 4.5 line behind the best defense in the league and an offense that features explosive enough weapons to get the job done. The Patriots’ talent tree on the outside will likely be exposed by this daunting secondary and elite linebacker core.

I expect Sam Darnold to do just enough to get the job done by taking care of the ball and leaning on Kenneth Walker III, while their defense clamps down on a 23-year-old quarterback, who though he was tested by a-list defenses in Houston and Denver, hasn’t given me much confidence to back in this spot.

Lock in JutPicks’ Super Bowl 60 anytime touchdown scorer best bets and Super Bowl LX first TD scorer predictions

Ricky Dimon’s Super Bowl 60 best bet: Over 45.5 (-110)

Odds available at bet365 at time of publishing.

Admittedly, these are 2 defenses you generally don’t want to fade. However, I’m more than happy to do it in this case. It starts with Seattle’s offense. The Seahawks scored 28.4 points per game during the regular season and have been even better in the playoffs. They pinned 41 points on the 49ers (and it could have been more) before scoring 31 against the Rams in the NFC Championship. Sam Darnold is storming into the Super Bowl on the heels of his best-ever performance: 25 of 36 for 346 yards, 3 touchdowns and no interceptions. With skill-position players like Jaxon Smith-Njigba and Kenneth Walker III complementing Darnold, this Seattle offense is a consistent juggernaut.

I think that will force New England’s hand. If the Seahawks are putting points on the board, the Patriots won’t be able to implement their typically conservative offense. Drake Maye and company haven’t done much during these playoffs, but that can be easily explained. One, they haven’t had to. Two, weather conditions have been rough — especially in the Divisional Round against Houston and the AFC Championship against Denver. Both of those variables will likely be eliminated on Sunday. The Pats, who averaged 28.8 ppg in the regular season, won’t be able to play it safe and the weather should be ideal. In Maye, this is an MVP candidate we are talking about. There is no reason why he can’t find success even against a stout Seattle defense. I want entertainment in Super Bowl LX and will back the points.

After Ricky’s recent SGP winners at +675, +650, +600 and +900, lock in his Super Bowl parlay picks for Seahawks vs Patriots at +993 odds!

Caleb Wilfinger’s Seahawks vs Patriots prediction: Under 45.5 (-110)

Odds widely available at time of publishing.

This is a matchup that is conducive to a lower-scoring Super Bowl. The Patriots’ offense is essentially the antithesis of the offenses that have managed to have consistent success against this elite Seahawks defense this season. This is not a dominant passing attack like what the Rams have, or a team that can get into 12 and 13 personnel to dictate things on the ground. It will likely be difficult for New England to provide manageable distances on key downs for Drake Maye, and it’s important to consider that the 2nd-year quarterback has never been in a game of this magnitude before. Mike Macdonald’s defense is excellent against the run and is also able to generate pressure on opposing quarterbacks without blitzing, which doesn’t bode well for a struggling Patriots offensive line in pass protection.

On the other side of the ball, the Seattle offense has generally been an efficient unit this season, but this will be the most difficult matchup for Sam Darnold and company against a Patriots defense that has manufactured plenty of havoc and turnovers in the three prior games they’ve played this postseason. While Darnold has shown an ability to overcome adversity in big moments this season, this is still a quarterback who has never been in this setting and it’s not a given that he’ll play a clean, efficient game against a Patriots defense that has surrendered just 26 points over the last three games. Let’s take the under in Santa Clara.

In the business of a Seahawks vs Patriots longshot? Why not check out our Super Bowl MVP predictions, featuring a pick at +5000 odds!