The NFL season is approaching the home stretch, and we have a fascinating NFC South matchup on Thursday Night Football, as the Atlanta Falcons are set to take on the reeling Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium. Will the Falcons break out of their slump against a division rival, or will the Bucs get back on track at home and remain in first place in the NFC South? Let’s get into our Falcons vs Buccaneers Same Game Parlay picks for TNF, with the matchup getting underway at 8:15 pm ET on Amazon Prime Video. You can also find out our expert NFL picks for all of the Week 15 action, with our team of handicappers currently up +19.8 units this season!
Buccaneers -4.5 (-105)
Over 43.5 (-125)
Bucky Irving over 20.5 receiving yards (-114)
Falcons vs Buccaneers Same Game Parlay odds: +500
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that you can have legs that can correlate with each other if you so choose. In this case, Bucky Irving clearing his receiving yards prop correlates nicely with a Tampa Bay victory and the game going over the total. Let’s break down each leg.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4.5 over Atlanta Falcons (-105)
For the first leg of our Falcons vs Buccaneers Same Game Parlay, we’re going to be backing the home team laying the points. Tampa Bay has been quite poor in recent weeks, as the Bucs have dropped 4 of their last 5 games. Despite the fact that Todd Bowles’ team appears to be in the midst of a massive slide, this presents the Buccaneers with a nice bounce-back spot in a game where Tampa Bay should finally have the likes of Mike Evans and Tristan Wirfs back in the lineup.
It goes without saying that this should be the healthiest the Bucs offense has been in some time, and that should put them in position to succeed against a Falcons defense that is on the decline of late. I can only look toward the hosts on TNF.
Find out NFL pro bettor Chris Farley’s Falcons vs Buccaneers predictions for TNF as he looks to add to his 14-6 run!
Over 43.5 (-125)
This is an instance where I’m bullish on a higher-scoring game than what the market is expecting. On one side, the Buccaneers offense isn’t what it was earlier in the season, but Tampa Bay has a pretty favorable matchup on Thursday against an Atlanta defense that has been trending downward in recent weeks. In fact, the Falcons have surrendered 28 points per game over the last 7 weeks, and Atlanta has allowed 30 or more points in 4 of those contests.
On the other side, the Falcons offense has shown flashes of life with Kirk Cousins back at the helm in recent weeks, and Tampa Bay’s defense (20th in EPA per pass) just struggled against Tyler Shough and the anemic Saints offense a week ago. With that in mind, let’s roll with the over on TNF.
Check out Prop Holliday’s best TNF player prop bet for Falcons vs Buccaneers, targeting Chris Godwin
Bucky Irving over 20.5 receiving yards (-114)
Bucky Irving has dealt with a ton of injuries in his 2nd season in the NFL, and while the Buccaneers’ running back has struggled on the ground in his 6 games this season, he’s been very active in the passing game out of the backfield. Irving shouldn’t get as much of a workload on the ground given that this game is taking place on a short week and Rachaad White should split the carries in this matchup.
The Oregon product has been a consistent target for Mayfield in the passing game, with Irving racking up 23 receptions in his 6 games played this season to go along with 240 receiving yards. Irving has cleared this number in each of his last 5 games played, so let’s go back to that well on Thursday Night Football.
Don’t miss JutPicks’ Falcons vs Buccaneers TD scorer best bets for TNF at +240 and +235 odds!
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