Can anyone stop Carlos Alcaraz and Jannik Sinner? The top 2 players in the world have won all 8 Grand Slam titles over the past 2 years. Not since Novak Djokovic at the 2023 U.S. Open has anyone else lifted a major trophy. Alcaraz and Sinner are once again massive favorites at the 2026 Australian Open, so the task at hand is to find the betting value – on 1 (or both) of those guys and/or someone else. Djokovic, Alexander Zverev, Daniil Medvedev and Ben Shelton are among the outside contenders.
Let’s take a look at the odds and best bets to make for the Australian Open men’s singles competition in Melbourne.
Australian Open tennis men’s singles odds
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing
- Jannik Sinner -120
- Carlos Alcaraz +180
- Novak Djokovic +1600
- Daniil Medvedev +3000
- Alexander Zverev +3500
- Taylor Fritz +6000
- Alex de Minaur +6500
- Felix Auger-Aliassime +8000
- Ben Shelton +10000
- Lorenzo Musetti +10000
- Joao Fonseca +10000
- Andrey Rublev +10000
- Alexander Bublik +10000
Australian Open tennis 3-star best bet: Carlos Alcaraz (+180)
Sinner is the 2-time defending championship and a hard court is his best surface, but there isn’t any real value on the second-ranked Italian at -120 – not when you can get Alcaraz at +180. Keep in mind that Alcaraz won the most recent hard-court Grand Slam at the 2025 U.S. Open, beating Sinner in the final. The world #1 has never triumphed in Melbourne, but it’s only a matter of time. And that time could be now. He has an extremely favorable draw through the first week and really all the way until the title match, as Sinner and Djokovic are on the opposite side. Well into plus money, I’ll happily back Alcaraz as the champion.
Australian Open tennis 2-star best bet: Daniil Medvedev (+3000)
Although Medvedev is in the same half of the bracket as Alcaraz, I can’t pass up the opportunity to throw multiple units on him all the way at +3000 odds. Based on current form and past history at Melbourne Park, the 29-year-old Russian should really be the third favorite. He is a 3-time runner-up at this event, which includes a 5-set loss to Sinner in 2024. Medvedev struggled for much of last season, but he came on strong in the fall with a title in Almaty, semifinal showings in Beijing and Shanghai, and a quarterfinal performance in Paris. The former world #1 kicked off his 2026 campaign with a title in Brisbane, so he heads into the Aussie Open with a ton of confidence.
Australian Open tennis 1-star best bet: Ben Shelton (+10000)
If you want to take a look at major longshots, the direction to go is either with Shelton or Bublik. Both have intriguing value at +10000, as they are 2 of the few players who have at least an outside shot of beating Alcaraz and Sinner on any given day. They wield extreme firepower and can virtually take the racket out of any opponent’s hands when they are serving well. I lean slightly toward Shelton since he is more consistent than Bublik match to match and therefore probably has a better chance of stringing together the 7 wins that are necessary to win a slam. The eighth-ranked American absolutely loves the big stage. He was a semifinalist at this tournament 12 months ago and he also reached the U.S. Open semis in 2023.
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