Ricky Dimon

The Cardinals have given up more than 40 points in back-to-back outings; the Jaguars are averaging more than 30 over their last 3 contests. It’s safe to say that none of that is encouraging for Arizona’s defense heading into Sunday’s matchup. As such, my Jaguars vs Cardinals pick is Over 47.5. Jacksonville running back Travis Etienne has scored 3 touchdowns on the ground over the past 2 games and he is now facing an Arizona defense that has surrendered 11 rushing TDs in 2025 (tied for the ninth most in the league). Quarterback Trevor Lawrence has thrown too many interceptions this season (8), but half of those came in the first 3 weeks.

If there is any good news for the Cards, it’s that Jacoby Brissett is filling in decently enough for Kyler Murray — who is out with an ankle injury and not expected to start again in 2025. Brissett just torched San Francisco for 452 yards on 47-of-57 passing to go along with 2 touchdowns. His TD-to-INT ratio through 5 starts this season is 10-to-3, including 8-to-2 over the past 4 outings. Brissett now faces a Jacksonville defense that is #26 in the NFL against the pass and has allowed the fourth-most touchdowns through the air.

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Arizona Cardinals prediction: Over 47.5 (-105) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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Both teams should be able to move the ball relatively well in this matchup, regardless of what Rodgers’ status ends up being. Obviously Rodgers’ presence would help Pittsburgh, but it’s not like the 41-year-old is irreplaceable at this point of his career. Rudolph is a capable backup who has plenty of experience, plus Chicago’s defense is nothing special. As such, my Steelers vs Bears pick is Over 44.5. The Bears are #23 in the NFL against the pass and have recorded only 21 sacks, so either Rodgers or Rudolph should be in decent shame for at least a decent amount of success on Sunday. Running back Jaylen Warren has averaged at least 4.7 yards per carry in 5 of his last 6 games, having previously gained no more than 3.4 in his first 3 contests. The Oklahoma State product has averaged 5.2 and 6.0 in the past 2 outings.

As for the Bears’ offense, it is a well-oiled machine. Swift is often injured, but right now he is armed with a clean bill of health. The former Georgia standout has racked up 634 rushing yards and 210 receiving yards through 9 appearances so far this year. Williams has not been picked off since Week 8 — and during his 3-game stretch of mistake-free football, Chicago is scoring 30.0 ppg. Expect a relatively high-scoring affair when these 2 teams tangle this weekend.

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Chicago Bears prediction: Over 44.5 (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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You can’t feel good about either offense in this matchup. The Falcons’ offensive attack went into the 2025 campaign with high expectations, but the receiving corps does not have much outside of London, Penix has underwhelmed at quarterback and the offensive line is in shambles. Tackles Kaleb McGary and Storm Norton are on injured reserve, while guard Matthew Bergeron is questionable for Sunday because of an ankle injury. Speaking of London and Penix, neither will play on Sunday. That is part of the reason why my Falcons vs Saints pick is Under 39.5.

Rookie QB Tyler Shough has taken over from Spencer Rattler in New Orleans — early returns are not overly encouraging. In 4 appearances (3 starts), the 26-year-old out of Louisville has completed 61.4 percent of his passes with 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Shough has logged meaningful minutes in 3 games; in those 3 the Saints have scored 3, 10 and 17 points. Prior to the bye they played a boring 17-7 game against the Panthers. This one may not be quite that bad, but offense will almost certainly be minimal.

Atlanta Falcons vs New Orleans Saints prediction: Under 39.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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By the time Week 14 rolls around, #1 overall Cam Ward should have found his footing in the NFL. That’s not to say Tennessee’s offense will be a well-oiled machine at this point, but it should at least resemble something respectable. As for the 49ers, they seem to be a team on the decline. This franchise might be tempted to blow it all up sooner rather than later, and this late in the 2025 campaign it could be time to tank for a high draft pick. There’s no way I’m giving the Titans more than a touchdown.