Bears vs Eagles Picks, Props & Parlay: Best Bets for NFL Black Friday Week 13

Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams (18) throws a pass in the first quarter of the NFL Preseason Week 2 game between the Chicago Bears and the Cincinnati Bengals at Soldier Field in downtown Chicago.

Andrew Wilsher

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Managing Editor of Pickswise. Born and raised in jolly old London, England, with an undying love for the NFL, NBA, soccer and horse racing. A big-time sports bettor who loves futures markets and backing underdogs. Long-suffering New York Jets fan. For Andrew Wilsher media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.

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Bears vs Eagles predictions & NFL Black Friday picks

Chris Farley’s Bears vs Eagles best bet: Bears +7 (-110)

Philadelphia finally paid for its transgressions. After going up 21-0 in Dallas this past weekend, the Eagles allowed their rival to score 24 unanswered points en-route to victory. It was a microcosm of the their many flaws, inefficiencies that haven’t kept them from winning until Week 12. Their rushing attack, which still ranks among the worst in the NFL (25th in yards per carry) put up just 63 yards. Their offense stalled after the midway point of the second quarter, resulting in 5 punts, a missed field goal and 2 fumbles lost on their final 8 drives.

Philly’s defense struggled to hold off Dallas’ high octane pass-offense, which eventually gained 473 yards and 25 first downs in a historic comeback. It was the best and worst of the Eagles all in one contest and a glaring case study in what they’ll need to improve if they hope to take home another Lombardi Trophy this season. They also incurred injuries to star safety Reed Blankenship, who’s working through a thigh injury, and Adoree Jackson is questionable after getting evaluated for a concussion.

The Bears are still riding high and that alone is enough to breed confidence in Ben Johnson’s new program. Although they continue to beat up on mid to lower-tier programs (and back-up quarterbacks), Chicago is officially on a 4-game winning streak and remains atop the NFC North. Their offense is their strength, leveraged by turnovers and ranked top-10 in total EPA, with the 7th best rushing attack and a top-11 passing game according to EPA metrics. Philadelphia will, by far, present their greatest challenge yet. Against two other comparable defenses (Baltimore and Minnesota), Chicago was limited (35 combined points, 692 combined yards). The Bears’ defense, which ranks 22nd against the run and allows 5.2 yards per carry, a bottom-3 ranking, is a concern.

At Philadelphia on a short week, it’s tough to picture the Eagles losing this game. It’s also tough to imagine them pulling away. The Eagles’ offense just hasn’t been explosive, ranking average to below average across the board. Caleb Williams and a smart offense led by coach Johnson should yield a competitive battle between these top NFC programs.

Chris Farley’s Bears vs Eagles prediction: Under 44.5 (-110)

The Eagles’ defense has looked in its best form throughout November. That is, until last Sunday. The Cowboys’ avenged 2 early turnovers and did whatever they wanted eventually, gaining an impressive 7 yards per play and scoring a touchdown on 3 out of 5 red-zone possessions. Dumb mistakes (14 penalties for 96 yards, 2 turnovers) by Philly certainly helped catalyze Dallas’ resurgence. A banged up secondary won’t help matters against Caleb Williams and a burgeoning Bears’ offense, but we’re also not overly concerned about the Eagles’ ability to respond after a poor performance. Vic Fangio is one of the league’s premiere defensive coaches, a major reason why Philadelphia sits at 6th overall in total defensive EPA. We’re confident that he’ll scheme and fix the errors he saw from Sunday’s performance.

The Bears’ offense is generating 26.3 points per game (8th) and has one of the NFL’s best rushing operations. They sit 7th overall in rushing yards per game (142.3) and per carry (4.8). We consider the Bears’ offense versus the Eagles’ defense to be an even matchup in that sense, but Philly has a distinct advantage against the pass. Fangio’s group ranks 7th in defensive EPA per pass and #1 in opponent pass completion rate (57.41%). They’ll battle a Bears’ pass-game that’s middling in some areas (15th in yards per pass) and far below average in others (59.29% completion rate, 31st). Chicago also benefits from the NFL’s best turnover margin (+1.5 per game); this checks out as a quintessential regression game.

The total could be decided when Philly’s offense takes the field, a group that’s been inconsistent at best (14th in total EPA). For example, Jalen Hurts only averages 193.2 pass yards per game (23rd). However, we could certainly say the same thing about Dennis Allen’s defense, a unit that’s 18th in total EPA and allows 26.5 points per game (27th, and that’s mostly against poor offenses). While we can’t necessarily count on the Eagles’ offense or the Bears’ defense, we know that this will be a contentious game between two top NFC teams — and that there are plenty of reasons to fade both quarterbacks. Conclusion: this number is a tad too high.

Find out all of our expert Bears vs Eagles picks for today

Bears vs Eagles player prop bets

Best Bears vs Eagles player prop bet: D’Andre Swift (PHI) under 10.5 rush attempts (+100)

The split backfield in Chicago has officially commenced. D’Andre Swift played 29 snaps to rookie teammate Kyle Monangai’s 35. Swift carried the ball just 8 times for a season-low 15 yards, which included a fumble. Meanwhile, Monangai averaged 4 YPC, giving the Bears a different pace back. Heading into Black Friday’s battle, Swift will be tested against his former team and the city where he grew up. The Eagles rush defense fared well in battles against Josh Jacobs and the Lions running back duo. Yet, Javonte Williams had his way last week, as the Eagles defense was shredded after halftime.

The Bears 4-game winning streak includes wins by a combined 14 points and now walk into their toughest test to date. If the Eagles offense can jump out to an early lead, I’m reluctant to think Ben Johnson feeds Swift on the ground more than 10 times in a negative game script – Especially after last week’s outing. As always, remember line shop all your props. Swift’s rushing attempt line of 10.5 is available at +100 odds on DraftKings, while FanDuel is down to -114.

Read the rest of JutPicks’ best Bears vs Eagles player prop bet analysis for Black Friday

Bears vs Eagles TD scorer best bet: Kyle Monangai (CHI) anytime touchdown scorer (+250)

Regardless of how the Bears’ offense approaches this game, they’ll need to have some success on the ground to have a chance to pull the upset. On that front, it’s hard to ignore the value we’re getting with Chicago running back Kyle Monangai to find the end zone at the current price. After all, while Monangai is the secondary running back in this offense, the rookie has gotten plenty of touches in recent weeks, particularly around the goal line.

The Rutgers product has 3 touchdowns in as many games this month, while also racking up 56 carries over the last 4 contests. Given that starting running back D’Andre Swift struggled a week ago and the Eagles pass defense has been stout in the red zone, Monangai should get plenty of touches out of the backfield near the goal line.

Bears vs Eagles TD scorer prediction: Dallas Goedert (PHI) anytime touchdown scorer (+180)

On the Eagles’ side of things, the Philadelphia offense has not exactly been the model of consistency to this point, especially when it comes to the passing game. However, this should be a good matchup for Dallas Goedert this week, as the Bears’ defense has been punching above its weight all season long, especially when it comes to opposing tight ends. With that in mind, this should be a good opportunity for Goedert to get back on track following a couple of mediocre showings in recent weeks.

At the end of the day, Goedert has been one of the more reliable targets for Jalen Hurts over the last few seasons, and he should be in position to find the end zone against a Chicago secondary that has surrendered 27 receptions to tight ends over the last 4 contests, including 3 touchdowns.

After cashing +500 and +425 TD scorer winners yesterday, make sure you lock in today’s Bears vs Eagles touchdown scorer best bets

Chicago Bears vs Philadelphia Eagles Same Game Parlay

We cashed our Bengals vs Ravens SGP last night at +525 odds to add to our recent winners at +753, +750 and +450! Don’t miss our Bears vs Eagles SGP for today

Eagles -7 (-110)

The Bears are tempting when they are getting a full touchdown, but…it’s a no from me. There are just too many red flags. Chicago’s defense – specifically the linebacker corps – is too depleted. Starters T.J. Edwards, Ruben Hyppolite II and Noah Sewell have all been ruled out for Friday. Defensive end Dominque Robinson and cornerback Tyrique Stevenson is also sidelined, while cornerback Jaylon Johnson is questionable.

Philadelphia’s offense may not be firing on all cylinders these days, but even a struggling unit should be able to capitalize on those absences. It’s also worth noting that the Bears have not defeated any opponent that is more than a game above .500 this entire season. There is no denying that head coach Ben Johnson’s team is wildly improved, but the 8-3 record may be a bit misleading. Give me the Eagles to cover…barely.

Over 44 (-110)

Philadelphia’s offense is too talented to stay in a funk. Jalen Hurts, Saquon Barkley, DeVonta Smith, AJ Brown…. The offensive line is a bit banged up, but Chicago’s defense does not boast a great pass rush (23 sacks this year) even when healthy – and in this game it will be using backup linebackers all over the place (and maybe some backup DEs, too).

On the other side of the ball, Bears head coach Ben Johnson has his offense humming. Caleb William is starting to live up to his #1 pick billing, as he sports a 16-to-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio and has also rushed for 3 scores. Chicago is #6 league wide in total offense and #8 in scoring offense. This is not a big number, so it’s one that should be surpassed.

Saquon Barkley to record 90+ rushing yards (+150)

It’s time – past time, in fact – for Barkley to cook. He has scored only 1 rushing touchdown since Week 4 and is coming off a 22-yard effort against Dallas, which also included a lost fumble. That being said, tales of Barkley’s demise are greatly exaggerated. It is true that he simply is not the same player as the one who dominated the NFL last season, but he has still been productive in 2025 compared to most guys’ standards (684 rushing yards, 259 receiving yards, 6 total touchdowns).

Barkley has produced at least 83 yards in 2 of the past 4 contests, including a 150-yard performance against the Giants in Week 9. Chicago’s defense ranks #28 against the run (138.1 yards per game allowed) and #30 in yards per rush allowed (5.2).