NFL Prop Bets

Here you will find our top NFL prop bets for every week of the 2022/23 season. From NFL Player Prop Bets to NFL Team Prop Bets, our experts crunch the data to bring you the best NFL props this week. We also have all of the key data and stats included within our Super Bowl Prop Bets ahead of the big game. Whether it’s Player, Team, Game, or Novelty Props, we have you covered ahead of Super Bowl 57.

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Confidence Rating
Kansas City Chiefs
Sun Feb 12
Philadelphia Eagles
Anytime TD Scorer Pick
J. Watson (KC) to score a TD+700KC Chiefs @ PHI Eagles

It’s difficult to find longshots in the Super Bowl of all places, but we managed to find it. There are only 3 healthy wide receivers on the Chiefs at the moment (Marquez Valdes-Scanting, Justin Watson and Skyy Moore) and Watson is the most intriguing. He played 56% of the snaps vs Jacksonville and was inactive vs Cincinnati. Watson has 2 TDs on the year and managed to do it in games in which he played less than 20% of the snaps. Mecole Hardman re-aggravated his hip injury in the AFC Championship and Kadarius Toney is nursing ankle and hamstring issues. Watson could see work in the red zone and is worth the flyer with so much uncertainty at the position for Kansas City.

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$80.00
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$80.00
$80.00

Antes de hacer una apuesta, comprueba las cuotas en la web de las casas de apuestas para asegurarte de que contiene las selecciones correctas.

Bobby Stanley
Kansas City Chiefs
Sun Feb 12
Philadelphia Eagles
Anytime TD Scorer Pick
Q. Watkins (PHI) to score a TD+750KC Chiefs @ PHI Eagles

These odds are absurd for who Quez Watkins is to this offense. Watkins has played more than 50% of the snaps in 15 of 17 games. He is the de facto big-threat wide receiver of the Eagles’ offense and has 3 TDs on the season. I would have expected him in the +350 to +400 range, but at this price we have to like it. The Eagles will look to make a splash play early to set the tone and put the Chiefs on their heels. The matchups over the last 2 weeks are likely driving this number so high. Watkins only played 22% of the snaps in the divisional round, with the better blocking WR, Zach Pascal, getting the nod against a weak rush defense. Against the 49ers, the Eagles were never in need of airing out the ball and Hurts didn’t throw a pass after 4:10 of the 3rd quarter. The Chiefs will represent a higher-octane passing attack than the Eagles have seen since Dallas in Week 16.

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$85.00
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$85.00
$85.00

Antes de hacer una apuesta, comprueba las cuotas en la web de las casas de apuestas para asegurarte de que contiene las selecciones correctas.

Bobby Stanley
Kansas City Chiefs
Sun Feb 12
Philadelphia Eagles
Anytime TD Scorer Pick
I. Pacheco (KC) to score a TD+140KC Chiefs @ PHI Eagles

The Eagles have given up 14 TDs on the ground to opposing RBs this season and 2 in the last 2 games. Pacheco has not scored in the postseason but is taking 43.5% of the teams rush attempts inside the 10-yard line despite playing in only 11 regular-season games.

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$24.00
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$24.00
$24.00

Antes de hacer una apuesta, comprueba las cuotas en la web de las casas de apuestas para asegurarte de que contiene las selecciones correctas.

Bobby Stanley
Kansas City Chiefs
Sun Feb 12
Philadelphia Eagles
Anytime TD Scorer Pick
D. Goedert (PHI) to score a TD+190KC Chiefs @ PHI Eagles

The Chiefs rank 30th in opponent red-zone scoring percentage and have given up 9 TDs to opposing TEs this season (tied for the 5th most). Goedert scored in the divisional round against the Giants and became an afterthought in the blowout vs SF. The Eagles’ TE only has one career game vs Kansas City (2021) and in that game he finished with 56 yards and a TD.

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$29.00
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$29.00
$29.00

Antes de hacer una apuesta, comprueba las cuotas en la web de las casas de apuestas para asegurarte de que contiene las selecciones correctas.

Bobby Stanley
Kansas City Chiefs
Sun Feb 12
Philadelphia Eagles
Player Passing Attempts Pick
P. Mahomes (KC) - Over 36.5 pass atts-115KC Chiefs @ PHI Eagles

An additional two weeks for his high ankle sprain will help with his pocket mobility, but it still did not prevent him from throwing the ball 43 times vs Cincinnati in the AFC Championship. Mahomes for his postseason career averages 38 attempts per game and hit this line in 8 of 13 (61%); he also hit this in both Super Bowl appearances. While I do think the Chiefs will have success on the ground against the Eagles, the game-plan will rely on Mahomes’ arm — as we have seen in his previous two Super Bowl appearances. What I really like about this play is that it accounts for both game-scripts. If Philadelphia wins, Mahomes will have to throw playing from behind. If the Chiefs prevail, it will be because Mahomes is moving the ball up and down the field. The line is as high as 39.5 at other books, so this is a steal. 1U.

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-
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$18.70

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Bobby Stanley
Kansas City Chiefs
Sun Feb 12
Philadelphia Eagles
Player Longest Rush PickBest Bet
I. Pacheco (KC) - Long rush o13.5 yds-120KC Chiefs @ PHI Eagles

There is a lot to like about Pacheco in this upcoming game, but I have landed on his longest rush prop. He has hit this in 5 of the last 10, but most importantly he gets an ideal matchup. The Eagles have given this up 12 times all season and in 5 straight games. We saw Christian McCaffrey break free in the NFC Championship with the entire defense expecting him to be carrying the ball. Against Kansas City, Mahomes prevents any defense from stacking the box. Pacheco is coming off his second-highest snap percentage of the season, proving that Reid is not afraid to use him when it matters most. This is my favorite play of the entire Super Bowl. 1.5U.

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$18.30
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$18.30
$18.30

Antes de hacer una apuesta, comprueba las cuotas en la web de las casas de apuestas para asegurarte de que contiene las selecciones correctas.

Bobby Stanley
Kansas City Chiefs
Sun Feb 12
Philadelphia Eagles
To win MVP Pick
AJ Brown to win Super Bowl MVP+1600KC Chiefs @ PHI Eagles

We HAVE to have someone on the Eagles in this spot in case the game does not go our way. I mentioned before that Hurts carries the least amount of value for me in this market, but AJ Brown makes up for it. There has been a trend over the last 18 years: 5 wide receivers have won Super Bowl MVP in that span. The most recent being last year in Cooper Kupp. The “trick” to getting this award as a wide receiver is to have the game winning touchdown. Cooper Kupp, Julian Edelman, Santonio Holmes, and Hines Ward all had game winning TDs (Deion Branch tied the Super Bowl record with 11 receptions).

AJ Brown can be that iteration of this award for the Eagles, especially if this is a high scoring game. He’s been quiet this postseason…a little too quiet. Brown has the potential to put up an impressive stat line and steal this award away from Hurts, who just proved he can look pedestrian in a Eagles victory.

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$170.00
Sportsbook
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Place Bet
$170.00
$170.00

Antes de hacer una apuesta, comprueba las cuotas en la web de las casas de apuestas para asegurarte de que contiene las selecciones correctas.

Bobby Stanley
Kansas City Chiefs
Sun Feb 12
Philadelphia Eagles
To win MVP Pick
T. Kelce to win Super Bowl MVP+900KC Chiefs @ PHI Eagles

A tight end has never won this award before. There also has never been a tight end like Travis Kelce in NFL history. And that’s not a shot at Gronk, but you can start to make the case of Kelce over Gronkowski after tying Jerry Rice for most 100-yard receiving playoff games. Anytime you break a Jerry Rice record, you deserve your flowers. The path to Kelce winning this award is clear: 100 yards receiving, 2 TD (or game winning) and 9+ receptions.

He has three 2 TD performances, seven 100-yard receiving games, and five 9+ reception games in the postseason. This is all in his wheelhouse. Had he scored in Super Bowl 55, I think he would have already won this award.

Sportsbook
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Payout
Select Odds
$100.00
Sportsbook
Payout
Place Bet
$100.00
$100.00

Antes de hacer una apuesta, comprueba las cuotas en la web de las casas de apuestas para asegurarte de que contiene las selecciones correctas.

Bobby Stanley
Kansas City Chiefs
Sun Feb 12
Philadelphia Eagles
To win MVP Pick
P. Mahomes to win Super Bowl MVP+140KC Chiefs @ PHI Eagles

As you can tell, I’m leaning Kansas City to pull off the upset. Mahomes getting two weeks of rest for his high-ankle sprain is huge, and obviously being in this spot twice before plays a major role in my decision. Jalen Hurts and the Eagles have had one of the best seasons in recent memory and they have clear advantages sprinkled throughout this game (playmakers, offensive line, secondary); but this moment can catch even the best off-guard in their first appearance. For me, the Mahomes/Andy Reid combo is the way to go. Although I mentioned it’s best to play your favorite at 0.5U, I’m going a full 1U on this because I do believe the Chiefs win this game.

If you believe the Eagles win, I’d be reluctant to tail Jalen Hurts (+115) as they have several playmakers who can win this award with big games. As we saw in the NFC Championship Game, the Eagles can win games without Hurts looking overly impressive. Hurts has the least value for me in this entire market.

Sportsbook
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Payout
Select Odds
$24.00
Sportsbook
Payout
Place Bet
$24.00
$24.00

Antes de hacer una apuesta, comprueba las cuotas en la web de las casas de apuestas para asegurarte de que contiene las selecciones correctas.

Bobby Stanley
Kansas City Chiefs
Sun Feb 12
Philadelphia Eagles
Player Receiving Yards Pick
D. Smith (PHI) - Over 60.5 rec yds-110KC Chiefs @ PHI Eagles

This is strictly a numbers play for me. Smith has hit this line in 7 straight games prior to the NFC Championship Game. I do not put any stock in the production level of any Philadelphia wide receiver in that game. Jalen Hurts did not throw the ball in the second half, and Sirianni went completely conservative after he built a 2-score lead. This will not be the case for the Super Bowl. By kickoff, this line will be at 65.5, so please make sure you do not wait on this line if you intend on playing. Smith averages 81 YPG for the season and after seeing what Tee Higgins did yesterday, I feel confident in Smith’s ability to get open against these KC cornerbacks. Play up to 63.5. 1U

Sportsbook
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Payout
Select Odds
$19.00
Sportsbook
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Place Bet
$19.00
$19.09

Antes de hacer una apuesta, comprueba las cuotas en la web de las casas de apuestas para asegurarte de que contiene las selecciones correctas.

Bobby Stanley
Kansas City Chiefs
Sun Feb 12
Philadelphia Eagles
Player Receiving Yards Pick
D. Goedert (PHI) - Over 45.5 rec yds-112KC Chiefs @ PHI Eagles

This line is right where it should be, but the matchup is the intriguing one. Goedert was always going to have difficulty against San Francisco, but luckily this line is at the same mark. The Chiefs allow the 5th most targets per game to opposing TEs. The middle of the KC defense is a funnel, ranked 29th overall in DVOA versus pass direction. Goedert has seen 51% of his targets in the middle of the field and has one of the better mismatches of the Eagles offense. Play up to 47.5 for 1U.

Sportsbook
Set Wager
Payout
Select Odds
$19.30
Sportsbook
Payout
Place Bet
$19.30
$19.30

Antes de hacer una apuesta, comprueba las cuotas en la web de las casas de apuestas para asegurarte de que contiene las selecciones correctas.

Bobby Stanley

What are NFL Prop Bets

NFL Prop Bets or Prop Bets in general are bets on the occurrence or non-occurrence of a specific thing to happen during a game. Instead of betting on the outcome of a game, you’re betting on the proposition of something within the game, offering a. The most popular types of prop bets are NFL players prop bets and NFL team prop bets, with a whole host of markets available on every game of the season.

NFL Player Prop Bets

NFL Player Prop Bets are centered around a player’s performance in a particular game. The most commonly wagered NFL Player Prop Bets are passing yards, receiving yards, rushing yards, or a combination of the two for all-purpose yards. Near enough all online sportsbooks offering odds on football will also offer odds on Player Touchdowns, be it First, Last, or anytime. Defensive players aren’t forgotten in the Prop Bet markets either, with options to wager on a player to record an interception or a sack often also available.

In the age of statistics and fantasy football, player prop betting is a great way to utilize the wealth of information available to place a wager on a player’s performance. Our experts analyze the game conditions from injuries, the weather, to how the teams and players match up, everything is considered in highlighting the best NFL Player Prop Bets available on NFL games this week.

NFL Team Prop Bets

The long list of possible NFL team prop bets can be a daunting and overwhelming one, with almost any part of the game a possible wager. The most common examples of NFL Team Prop Bets include Which team scores first? Which team scores last? 1st turnover a fumble or Interception? Will a team score three times unanswered?

With obscurity comes opportunity and these markets take meticulous research to master, but our experts take care of that for you. With all of our top NFL Team Prop Bets listed right here and the NFL games this week.

Best Sportsbooks For NFL Prop Bets

Prob betting is becoming increasingly popular and the prop bets markets are championed by no sport more than professional football. Almost all online sportsbooks, even the smaller companies will offer prop bets on NFL games, but the bigger online sportsbooks such as FanDuel and DraftKings tend to lead the way in terms of variation within the prop bet markets.

Just as important, if not more so than variation, is value. With the popularity and the number of sportsbooks offering NFL prop bets, be sure to compare the prices of your NFL prop bet picks, as you often see one sportsbook price up a player to score first at +400 but another could offer +600.

As with all of our NFL picks, we post the best odds and the sportsbook offering those odds next to our NFL prop bet selections, but if you want more information about the best online sportsbooks to wager with, check out our comprehensive online sportsbook reviews here, or our full NFL betting guide here

Best Player Props NFL

There are a huge number of ways in which you can bet on players in the NFL, with a whole host of player props offered by all of the leading sportsbooks. If you’ve played fantasy football before, you’ll probably be familiar with many of the metrics in which you can bet on with NFL player props. These include the likes of Touchdown scorers, which can be the first touchdown scorer, last, or anytime for a safer option, as well as the likes of over X amount of passing, rushing or receiving yards. If defence is your thing, fear not, you can also bet on a player to record a sack, or to get an interception. Here at Pickswise we attempt to highlight the best player props in the NFL each week of the season, and with up to 16 games a week, there are thousands of markets, odds and lines to go through. Check back weekly, right here to find these best prop bet plays, all of which include full analysis and reasoning.

What Is An Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prop Bet

Anytime Touchdown Scorer is a popular Player Prop Bet than NFL bettors will wager on throughout the season, but what is it, and how do you win?

As the name suggests, placing a wager on the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market is when you place a bet on a particular player to score a touchdown during a match. This can be a rushing or receiving touchdown for an offensive player, or you can wager on a team’s defense/special teams to score a touchdown by interception return or fumble return or kickoff and punt returns.

If your player or defense scores a touchdown, you win! The odds will differ from player-to-player depending on the sportsbooks’ calculated probability of that player scoring.  

Does The Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prop Bet Include Passing Touchdowns

It does include passing touchdowns, but only for the receiver. If Tom Brady throws a touchdown pass to Rob Gronkowski, wagers placed on Rob Gronkowski Anytime Touchdown Scorer will cash, but those placed on Tom Brady Anytime Touchdown Scorer, will not. See below for more on what the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market means for Quarterbacks.

What Does The Anytime Touchdown Scorer Prop Bet Mean For QB

The Anytime Touchdown Scorer market means something slightly different for QBs. For a wager on a QB to score a touchdown anytime to cash, they must score a rushing or receiving touchdown, with passing touchdowns only counting for the receiver.

In the age of the mobile quarterback, QBs such as Kyler Murray, Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes are often seen rushing in for a touchdown on any given Sunday, and don’t forget the occasional Philly Special, so QBs can be winning selections too.

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