NFL Prop Bets

These odds on the reigning MVP are too enticing to pass up. Jackson has won this award twice in the last 5 seasons, which means that in 2 of the last 3 years in which he has stayed healthy the whole time (or at least close to the whole time), he has been MVP of the league. At 27 years old, there is no reason to think Jackson is slowing down – not now and not any time soon. Keep in mind that Jackson did not even have tight end Mark Andrews at his disposal for 7 games in 2023. If his main weapons like Andrews and Zay Flowers can also stay injury-free, Jackson is almost certain to have another humongous season.

The Buffalo Bills better hope for their sake that this longshot bet doesn’t cash. If it does, they will know they made a costly draft-day trade with the Chiefs. Buffalo traded out of the first round and selected WR Keon Coleman. They swapped with Kansas City, which moved into the first round and snagged Worthy. Needless to say, this is a dream situation for the speedster out of Texas. He gets to play with Patrick Mahomes, Travis Kelce and the rest of the Super Bowl champions. Worthy could go crazy in this offense.

At first glance, I wanted to back Kirk Cousins with a wager in this market. After all, Cousins has been much quieter throughout his rehab process from a torn Achilles compared to Aaron Rodgers, and an NFC South division championship with the Atlanta Falcons could go a long way to sculpting a positive narrative that the NFL media and voters could get behind. However, we just don’t know too much about how Cousins is going to look at his advanced age coming off this injury, so much like Rodgers, I can’t get behind a wager on the unknown. Instead, I’m going to look toward the Cleveland Browns and target their franchise running back to have an inspiring bounce-back season en route to claiming this award. 

Nick Chubb has had to overcome a lot in his career, particularly when it comes to injuries. The former Georgia product tore his PCL, MCL and LCL in his left knee in college and managed to overcome that on his way to becoming one of the best running backs in the NFL. In his 6th season with the Browns, Chubb was sadly forced to miss most of the campaign with a major knee injury suffered in Week 2 last fall. Chubb has now had multiple surgeries to repair his MCL and ACL in his career, which makes a potential return to high-level football feel extremely improbable. However, reports from training camp have been very encouraging for the veteran running back, leading me to believe that he might take the field in a meaningful game before the end of September.

It’ll be an inspiring story if Chubb is able to perform at even a competent level after another serious injury, which presents us with a compelling case for taking this number at +1300 before it could potentially be cut in half by the midway point of the season. Let’s take a shot on Chubb to have a successful comeback season and hope that the voters are also taken with his story.

While this Detroit Lions defense has some question marks in the secondary, the defensive line has a chance to be one of the most improved units in football, led by Aidan Hutchinson. One reason why there’s room to be optimistic about the Lions’ front seven and Hutchinson’s chances at this award as a whole is that he’s been getting better and better with each season. The Michigan product recorded a career-high 11.5 sacks in 2023 to go along with the league lead in hurries (29), the second-most pressures in the NFL (25) and a new career-high in tackles for loss (14). Hutchinson was elite at creating havoc and he should generate plenty more in what projects to be his best season yet.

Given that the Lions’ defense has room for growth, if Detroit does improve on that side of the ball this season, there’s little doubt that its franchise cornerstone will be given the lion’s share of the credit. Additionally, what helps our chances of Hutchinson grabbing this award is that he has never missed a single game in his 2 NFL seasons to this point. Barring an injury for the 24-year-old, Hutchinson is going to be on the field and give himself every opportunity to rack up plenty of big numbers as part of a career-best season for a Super Bowl contender.

While some defensive rookies find themselves in good situations in starting roles where they can make an impact, there isn’t much value on the likes of Dallas Turner or Laiatu Latu at their current prices of around +400 in the market. In contrast, snagging Verse at +1100 is a much better play given the price and playing time he should receive. The former Florida State standout had a terrific last couple of seasons on the college gridiron and enters Los Angeles in a perfect spot for him to succeed.

Verse will likely be starting from Day 1 on the Rams, where the loss of Aaron Donald in the middle of the defensive line will undoubtedly leave a massive gap in production. I’m expecting plenty of snaps for the rookie as part of a team that is looking to make a playoff push in a fairly open NFC this season. The 19th overall pick was stellar in college against elite competition and we should see a fairly seamless transition into success at the professional level under defensive coordinator Chris Shula. Expect a big first year for Verse in a role where he should shine from Week 1.

It is true that Williams finds himself in a pretty good situation as the undisputed starting quarterback for the Bears, but there isn’t any value on him as a short +140 favorite. Instead, Daniels at +700 is a much better play. The former LSU standout was incredible last year on the college gridiron and won the Heisman Trophy for his efforts. He will no doubt be starting from Day 1 in Washington, where Marcus Mariota is second on the depth chart. Terry McLaurin as WR1 and Zach Ertz at tight end will help the rookie’s efforts. Fellow rookie Luke McCaffrey is also looking good at receiver so far during the preseason. Expect a big first year for Daniels – maybe really big.