Best College Football underdog picks for Championship Week

Kyle Trask of the Florida Gators hands the ball off.
Photo of Andrew Ortenberg

Andrew Ortenberg

NCAAF · 1 year ago

Show Bio

I'm an editor here at Pickswise who was raised in a household full of sports fanatics. Since I unfortunately never had LeBron James' jumping ability I wasn't able to make it to the NBA, and chose writing about sports as the next best thing. An avid sports bettor myself, I'm excited to get to write about the industry as it gets set to take off across the country. Buckle up.

The season is officially winding down, but fortunately Championship Week is upon us. With college football teams having such a reduced offseason and with all the variance involved, there are bound to be more upsets than ever during the 2020 season. We’ve already seen some crazy results, and they aren’t slowing down anytime soon.

With the public inflating up big favorites, there is often a ton of value on NCAAF underdogs. Each week we’ll be bringing you the best underdog picks on the slate, and without further ado let’s dive into Championship Week:

1. Notre Dame Fighting Irish +10.5 vs. Clemson Tigers – 4 p.m. ET

We think the line in this ACC title game is pretty inflated. Notre Dame won the first matchup between these teams outright, although Clemson was of course without Trevor Lawrence for that one. Lawrence’s absence has led everyone to dismiss that game, and I think that’s misguided. Clemson’s backup quarterback actually played really well in that one, throwing for over 400 yards with no turnovers. Lawrence not being out there isn’t what allowed the Fighting Irish to put up 47 points.

Clemson’s defense has quietly been shaky this season, as that was far from the only game in which they struggled. The week before that they gave up 28 to a mediocre Boston College team in a game they only won by six. Everyone seems to expect this one to be lopsided, but Notre Dame isn’t going to just roll over. They’ve got plenty of big game experience, with seasoned vet Ian Book under center. The Fighting Irish might not pull off the outright upset again, but they’ll keep this one close at least.

2. Florida Gators +17 vs. Alabama Crimson Tide – 8 p.m. ET

The SEC Championship Game lost a lot of its intrigue last week when Florida lost to LSU, essentially dashing their playoff hopes. But that doesn’t mean the Gators are just going to come out completely flat either. It’s still the SEC title game, there’s a ton to play for no matter what. Anyone who thinks a conference championship wouldn’t matter to this team doesn’t know what they’re talking about. Kyle Trask has turned in a Heisman-caliber season, and this Florida offense can hang with anybody.

Alabama’s defense has also been a bit more vulnerable than in year’s past, like when they gave up 48 points to Ole Miss earlier this season. The Crimson Tide have been dominant in 2020, but they also haven’t played an offense like this all season, and it could come as a bit of a shock to their system. I don’t expect the Gators to win, but this isn’t going to be a blowout either.

3. Minnesota Golden Gophers +12 vs. Wisconsin Badgers 4 p.m. ET

Pivoting away from conference title games for a moment, we also think Minnesota has some value. Wisconsin originally had much higher hopes for a season that has now been derailed, so I don’t think they’re going to be able to get up for this hastily scheduled game without much significance. The Badgers were riding high off back to back dominant wins to open the year, which shot them into the top ten of the polls.

They have since completely collapsed, losing three straight games. I’m not sure how anybody could lay this many points with them considering how their offense has looked recently. They’ve failed to score more than seven points in three straight games, so needless to say I don’t see them beating Minnesota by double digits. Minnesota also has some momentum right now, winning three of four games and scoring at least 24 points in each of their last two.

Want the best college football picks all season long? Make sure to check out our ‘NCAAF picks‘ tab for full game breakdowns. 

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk-Free Bet

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5+ On Any NFL Pre-Game ML, Get $200 If Your Bet Wins

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any NFL pre-game ML

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Unibet

$100

Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

PointsBet

$800

Get 4x $200 In Free Bets

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,250

Get a $1,250 risk-free bet

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetRivers

$500

Get Your First Bet Risk-Free Up To $500

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

DraftKings

$100

Bet $5+ on MLB and get $100 in Free Bets Instantly!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $100 no matter what!

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 in Free Bets With PointsBet's Second Chance

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Free Bets

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.