Best NFL player prop for SNF Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders: Jonesing for some catches

Las Vegas Raiders wide receiver Zay Jones (7) in the second half against the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium
Photo of PropBetGuy

PropBetGuy

NFL· 2 weeks ago

Show Bio

More commonly known as @PropBetGuy on Twitter, Doug Carter has been crunching the numbers on player props for years. He's also a staunch defender of future Hall of Famer, Eli Manning.

The last Sunday Night Football matchup of the season should be a doozy. Not only will be treated to an AFC West clash, but in all likelihood, this game will serve as de-facto elimination game. The Raiders and Chargers square off with a playoff berth awarded to the winner. Before I get to my favorite bet, be sure to check out our full game picks and analysis.

There’s nothing better in sports than win-or-go-home matchups. Teams put it all on the line, typically leaning on their best players to perform. This game should be no different, and my best bet of the night reflects that. I’m focusing squarely on the Raiders receiver who has stepped up in a big way of late.

Zay Jones (LVR) over 3.5 receptions (-138)

Line available at FanDuel at time of publishing. Playable up to -150, with up to over 45.5 receiving yards as an acceptable pivot. 

With the Raiders pass catching group in flux, it’s Jones who has come to the rescue over the last few weeks. Over the last 6 games, Jones is 2nd on the team to Hunter Renfrow in targets, catches, receiving yards and routes run. He’s pulled in at least 5 catches in 5 of those games.

Jones’ resurgence has coincided with the Raiders cutting Henry Ruggs, and losing All-Pro tight end Darren Waller to an injury. Now Waller has been deemed a game-time decision for Sunday night, and if he does suit up, he’ll almost certainly be on a snap count. This play assumes Waller will be playing, but of course Jones’ value would jump if the tight-end can’t go.

Shorter routes, more receptions

Jones had been used as a part-time deep threat over the first part of the season. But with his expanded role has come shorter routes. More than half of his targets (23 of 45, 51%) over the last 6 games have come within 10 yards of the line of scrimmage, compared to just 25% (4 of 16) previously. The higher percentage routes has led to an uptick in receptions.

If it ain’t broke…

While the Chargers have been good against opposing wideouts on paper, in a do-or-die matchup, I expect the Raiders to lean on what’s been working. And what’s been working has been getting the ball to Jones. I have the 6th year pro projected with 5 catches for 55 yards on Sunday night.

And yes, if the Jaguars somehow upset the Colts, then these two teams can both clinch a playoff spot by tying. I do not expect Indianapolis to lose, but I’ll be sure to tweet guidance on this play in the unlikely event of that happening.

Check out our full game analysis of Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

See All
BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Win $200 if either team scores a TD in a Playoff game!

Bet $10 on the Money Line for any NFL team

Win $200 if either team scores a touchdown in the game

Winnings paid in free bets

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$150

Bet $5, Win $150 CASH on Any NFL Team to Win Their Playoff Matchup!

Sign up for a new account with FanDuel Sportsbook

Bet $5 on any NFL team to win their next playoff game

If your team wins, YOU WIN $150 - in CASH!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

DraftKings

$280

Bet $5, Win $280 on Any NFL team to Win Their Playoff Game!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account

Bet $5+ any NFL playoff game Money Line

Win $280 in credits if your team wins the game

Must be 21+ located in AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WY or WV to play. Offer valid only for new customers. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$200

Bet $20, Get $200 - Regardless of Outcome!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit $20+.

Bet $20 on any game in any sport!

Win $200 - no matter whether your initial bet won or lost!

BetMGM

$200

Win $200 If ANY NBA Team Makes a 3-Pointer!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline bet on any upcoming NBA game.

Win $200 if either team in your selected game makes a 3-pointer

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Win $200 If A Goal Is Scored In ANY NHL Game!

Sign up for a new account with BetMGM, and make a deposit of $10+.

Place a $10 moneyline bet on any upcoming NHL game.

Win $200 if either team in your selected game scores a goal

21+ and new players only. Full terms available at BetMGM Sportsbook.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,001

Get a $1,001 First Bet Match + A FREE NBA JERSEY!

Register for a new Caesars Sportsbook account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,001

Receive a free bet matching your initial stake up to $1,001 + a FREE NBA JERSEY!

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$400

Get a $400 Risk-Free Bet on the Breeders' Cup!

Register for a new Twinspires account using offer code PICKS400

Place a bet on the Breeders' Cup

Receive a refund if your first bet loses up to $400

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.