1u – Derrick Henry o18.5 Rush Attempts (-114 @ Fanduel)
This will likely be popular play, but I think we see some line movement by the time kickoff arises. Henry was fully unlocked last week and Baltimore would be crazy to ignore how great he looked. He is fresh off of a 36 carry game and this is a must win game for Baltimore. When he faced Pittsburgh earlier in the year he had 25 handoffs in the same matchup still easily clearing this number. Lamar Jackson should be back for the Ravens which makes me believe Baltimore either wins outright or keeps it close enough for running to be a viable option throughout this game. Henry in the cold with the season on the line, this cashes more times than not.
1u – Jared Goff o1.5 Passing Touchdowns (-118 @ Fanduel)
Lions appear to have nothing to play for, but that’s not how they see it. Coach Campbell has been very vocal on how despite being eliminated from playoff contention that they will be heading into Chicago with the same intensity of any other game. Just two years ago Detroit was in a similar situation against Green Bay and beat them outright as an underdog to prevent them from making the playoffs. Dan Campbell would love to play spoiler to Ben Johnson. When Jared Goff played Chicago last he threw 5 touchdowns, we just need 2 here. Chicagos offense is playing at an extremely high level and this game has shootout written all over it. I expected this play to be juicier but at -118 it’s worth a look. Goff has hit this line in 9 of his last 13 games. Detroit has a banged up o-line so goal line packages may see more passing than normal because they’re not giving the push needed for Gibbs/Montgomery as of late. This isn’t a market I normally touch, but this one feels good. Lets roll!
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