The World Series between the Toronto Blue Jays and Los Angeles Dodgers is all tied up at 1-1 heading to L.A. for Game 3 on Monday night. After Toronto dominated the series opener at home via an 11-4 decision, Los Angeles hit back for a 5-1 victory on Saturday. Thus the stage is set for an absolutely critical Game 3.
With Monday’s showdown set for 8:00 pm ET on FOX, it’s time to break down my SGP.
Dodgers -1.5 (+101)
Mookie Betts to record an RBI (+165)
Tyler Glasnow Over 16.5 outs (-105)
Parlay odds: +550
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is the entire plan here, as Los Angeles shortstop Mookie Betts driving in a run and starter Tyler Glasnow working into at least the sixth inning would obviously work well with a Dodgers win and cover. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
Dodgers -1.5 (+101)
Although it’s 1-1, it feels like the Dodgers are in control on the heels of a convincing win in Game 2 and now back at home for the next 3 contests. The pitching matchup favors Los Angeles, as well. Glasnow has been outstanding of late and Toronto’s Max Scherzer cannot be trusted. Yes, Scherzer came up big in the ALCS against Seattle. Still, this is a 41-year-old that we are talking about – one who compiled a 5.19 ERA during the regular season. Scherzer has spent a ton of time in the National League, so L.A. hitters are quite familiar with him – and familiarity generally favors batters rather than the pitchers. It’s also worth noting that Toronto was a disappointing 40-41 on the road during the regular season; Los Angeles was a sparkling 52-29 at home. Count on the Dodgers once again being too good at Chavez Ravine.
Mookie Betts to record an RBI (+165)
It is true that Betts has underwhelmed this season, but he has not exactly been bad. The veteran has reached base in 9 straight games and he has hit safely in 3 of the last 4. He has a pretty good track record against Scherzer, as well. Betts is 3-for-10 lifetime in the matchup with 1 home run, 1 double, 2 walks and 2 RBIs. He bats right behind Shohei Ohtani in the order, which is generally a nice recipe for RBI potential.
Tyler Glasnow Over 16.5 outs (-105)
Glasnow compiled a 2.49 ERA in the month of September and so far in the playoffs he is sporting a 0.68 ERA through 3 appearances. In other words, the right-hander is on an absolute roll. In 2 postseason starts, Glasnow has worked at least 5.2 innings on both occasions. Although the Dodgers’ bullpen is entirely rested, we have seen that manager Dave Roberts is will to leave his starters out there as long as they are getting along nicely (see: 2 consecutive complete games by Yoshinobu Yamamoto). Expect a relatively long, productive outing for Glasnow on Monday night.
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