Despite some terrific action in Week 11 of the NFL season, the primetime games have not been very compelling in recent weeks. That trend continued into last week, where the Patriots cruised past the Jets on Thursday and the Cowboys absolutely annihilated the lowly Raiders on Monday Night Football. However, things could be different this week, as the action gets underway on Thursday Night Football with the Buffalo Bills taking on the Houston Texans in what is a pretty important game for both sides. Despite the fact that C.J. Stroud has been ruled out for Houston, this is still a game that profiles to be pretty close given the strength of the Texans defense. Let’s get into my Bills vs Texans player prop best bet for TNF, while you can also find out our NFL picks for EVERY Week 12 game on the slate.
Don’t miss NFL pro bettor Chris Farley’s Bills vs Texans best bets for TNF
Bills vs Texans player prop bet for TNF: Josh Allen anytime touchdown scorer (-105)
Odds available at bet365 at the time of publishing. Playable to -125.
Over the last couple of seasons, I’ve often targeted Josh Allen to find the end zone with his legs, and those tickets have cashed repeatedly. As we have seen over the years, the Bills often turn to their superstar quarterback to dig them out of a hole when the chips are down, and he typically uses his legs to do so. Now in his third year as the offensive coordinator, Joe Brady’s reliance on Allen’s legs in pivotal spots has been consistent all season long, and I expect that to continue on Thursday in a game where the Bills need to win in order to keep pace with the Patriots in the race for the AFC East division crown.
Allen racked up a whopping 9 touchdowns on the ground in between Week(s) 10-16 a season ago as the Bills made a push for seeding in the AFC playoff picture. While I don’t quite expect that level of insane production this time around, it’s notable that Allen finished with 6 total touchdowns a week ago, including 3 on the ground. The Wyoming product has found the end zone with his legs in 3 of the Bills last 4 contests and it wouldn’t surprise me at all if Allen gets multiple opportunities in the red zone in this one. Given the fact that his rushing workload around the goal line has ticked up in recent weeks, this prop still feels a bit mispriced at the current number, so let’s take advantage and back Allen to find the end zone once again on Thursday.
Don’t miss our Bills vs Texans parlay picks for TNF at +619 odds!
Click here to add us to your Google preferred sources and never miss a story
