A tasty week of Thanksgiving football continues on Black Friday with a showdown in the NFC between the Chicago Bears and Philadelphia Eagles. It is a huge matchup with both teams firmly in playoff contention. Both teams come in with 8-3 record, placing Chicago atop the NFC North and Philadelphia leading the NFC East.
Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which get underway at 3:00 pm ET on Amazon Prime. Also be sure to check out our full Bears vs Eagles predictions.
Eagles -7 (-112)
Over 44.5 (-108)
Saquon Barkley to record 90+ rushing yards (+150)
Parlay odds: +575
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is the entire plan here, as Philadelphia running back Saquon Barkley racking up his fair share of yards would both obviously work well with both the Eagles covering and the over. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
Eagles -7 (-112)
The Bears are tempting when they are getting a full touchdown, but…it’s a no from me. There are just too many red flags. Chicago’s defense – specifically the linebacker corps – is too depleted. Starters T.J. Edwards, Ruben Hyppolite II and Noah Sewell have all been ruled out for Friday. Defensive end Dominque Robinson and cornerback Tyrique Stevenson is also sidelined, while cornerback Jaylon Johnson is questionable. Philadelphia’s offense may not be firing on all cylinders these days, but even a struggling unit should be able to capitalize on those absences. It’s also worth noting that the Bears have not defeated any opponent that is more than a game above .500 this entire season. There is no denying that head coach Ben Johnson’s team is wildly improved, but the 8-3 record may be a bit misleading. Give me the Eagles to cover…barely.
Over 44.5 (-108)
Philadelphia’s offense is too talented to stay in a funk. Jalen Hurts, Saquon Barkley, DeVonta Smith, AJ Brown…. The offensive line is a bit banged up, but Chicago’s defense does not boast a great pass rush (23 sacks this year) even when healthy – and in this game it will be using backup linebackers all over the place (and maybe some backup DEs, too). On the other side of the ball, Bears head coach Ben Johnson has his offense humming. Caleb William is starting to live up to his #1 pick billing, as he sports a 16-to-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio and has also rushed for 3 scores. Chicago is #6 league wide in total offense and #8 in scoring offense. This is not a big number, so it’s one that should be surpassed.
Saquon Barkley to record 90+ rushing yards (+150)
It’s time – past time, in fact – for Barkley to cook. He has scored only 1 rushing touchdown since Week 4 and is coming off a 22-yard effort against Dallas, which also included a lost fumble. That being said, tales of Barkley’s demise are greatly exaggerated. It is true that he simply is not the same player as the one who dominated the NFL last season, but he has still been productive in 2025 compared to most guys’ standards (684 rushing yards, 259 receiving yards, 6 total touchdowns). Barkley has produced at least 83 yards in 2 of the past 4 contests, including a 150-yard performance against the Giants in Week 9. Chicago’s defense ranks #28 against the run (138.1 yards per game allowed) and #30 in yards per rush allowed (5.2).
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