We are coming down the home stretch of the college football regular season as we embark on Week 11. Week 10’s action was headlined by NC State’s upset of Georgia Tech, SMU’s overtime win over Miami in Dallas, and Oklahoma’s win in Knoxville that kept its College Football Playoff hopes alive. This week we have another awesome lineup of games, headlined by 2 ranked matchups in BYU vs. Texas Tech and Texas A&M vs. Missouri — as well as notable matchups like Alabama vs LSU and Navy vs Notre Dame.
Last week was not kind to us. Georgia had a clear cover there for the taking, but QB Gunnar Stockton took a knee at the 1-yard line on what was a walk-in touchdown to ice the game rather than take an 11-point lead over the Gators. We see that often nowadays, and I get it — it’s the smart play, you can’t lose that way, yadda yadda. But it still hurts nonetheless. We’re 5-4 now on this series, hungry to finish strong. Let’s get into the early-week lines and odds for Week 11 courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook and find a best bet to cap it off. Don’t forget to check out our NCAAF predictions and CFB best bets throughout the week — including midweek MACtion leading into the weekend slate.
College Football Week 11 early lines and odds
- Ohio -3.5 (-108) vs Miami (OH) – Tuesday, November 4
- Toledo -14 (-112) vs Northern Illinois – Wednesday, November 5
- South Florida -14 (-105) vs UTSA – Thursday, November 6
- UCF -1.5 (-105) vs Houston – Friday, November 7
- USC -14.5 (-108) vs Northwestern – Friday, November 7
- Memphis -6.5 (-112) vs Tulane – Friday, November 7
- Indiana -14 (-115) @ Penn State – Saturday, November 8
- Georgia -7.5 (-112) @ Mississippi State – Saturday, November 8
- Texas Tech -10.5 (-108) vs BYU – Saturday, November 8
- SMU -11.5 (-110) @ Boston College – Saturday, November 8
- James Madison -13.5 (-110) @ Marshall – Saturday, November 8
- Army -7 (-105) vs Temple – Saturday, November 8
- Ohio State -28.5 (-110) @ Purdue – Saturday, November 8
- Maryland -1.5 (-108) @ Rutgers – Saturday, November 8
- Louisiana Tech -5.5 (-105) @ Delaware – Saturday, November 8
- Jacksonville State -1.5 (-105) @ UTEP – Saturday, November 8
- FIU -1.5 (-105) @ Middle Tennessee – Saturday, November 8
- Oregon -6 (-108) @ Iowa – Saturday, November 8
- Texas A&M -6 (-110) @ Missouri – Saturday, November 8
- Duke -8.5 (-110) @ UConn – Saturday, November 8
- Miami -28.5 (-110) vs Syracuse – Saturday, November 8
- TCU -6.5 (-110) vs Iowa State – Saturday, November 8
- Arizona -6 (-108) vs Kansas – Saturday, November 8
- Vanderbilt -7 (-115) vs Auburn – Saturday, November 8
- Kennesaw State -7 (-115) @ New Mexico State – Saturday, November 8
- Washington -11.5 (-108) @ Wisconsin – Saturday, November 8
- North Carolina -8.5 (-112) vs Stanford – Saturday, November 8
- Texas State -2.5 (-110) vs Louisiana – Saturday, November 8
- San Jose State -4.5 (-108) vs Air Force – Saturday, November 8
- Virginia -7 (-105) vs Wake Forest – Saturday, November 8
- Clemson -2.5 (-108) vs Florida State – Saturday, November 8
- Alabama -10.5 (-112) vs LSU – Saturday, November 8
- Notre Dame -25.5 (-108) vs Navy – Saturday, November 8
- Florida -3.5 (-105) @ Kentucky – Saturday, November 8
- UCLA -3 (-110) vs Nebraska – Saturday, November 8
- San Diego State -6 (-110) @ Hawaii – Saturday, November 8
CFB best bet: UConn Huskies +8.5 over Duke Blue Devils (-110)
This is a spot that stood out to me right away. Duke enters this matchup following a big, yet fortunate win in Clemson’s Death Valley on Saturday. The Tigers had as much as a 93.9% postgame win expectancy, but the Blue Devils stole the game despite surrendering 560 yards of total offense, converting just 3 of 14 third downs, and rushing for 3.5 yards per carry. With the win, Duke rebounded from its loss against Georgia Tech and is still in the ACC title mix. While the Blue Devils certainly aren’t odds-on favorites to win or even make the ACC title game at this point, they have 3 crucial conference games to end the year — the first being next week against the only undefeated team in ACC play (Virginia). Winning all 3 of those games would give Duke a real shot to play for a conference title, but so much as beating Virginia next week would really open things up in the ACC.
Having said all of that, when you look at Duke’s schedule, you’ll see the Blue Devils have an odd non-conference matchup with UConn this week. Not only do they have an odd non-conference matchup, but that matchup is on the road at UConn. This is quite the sandwich spot for the Blue Devils. How focused on UConn will Duke be? For what it’s worth, the Blue Devils have 2 losses outside the conference already, so they are not in the CFP hunt unless they win the ACC. That puts a vast majority, if not all of their focus on the remaining ACC schedule following this game. Meanwhile, UConn figures to give a max effort here — much like it did when it stepped up in class against Boston College a few weeks ago and at Syracuse early in the season before the Orange’s starting quarterback went down with injury.
Duke’s defense has not been good this year. Going into last week, the Blue Devils were outside the top 90 in most major defensive metrics, often exposed in the secondary – and then they surrendered 385 yards and 2 touchdowns to Cade Klubnik last week. As such, Duke is 124th in passing yards allowed per game and 128th in yards per pass attempt this season, which is not exactly a recipe for success against what has been a very solid passing attack for UConn. To be honest, it’s probably much better than “very solid” considering senior UConn QB Joe Fagnano has thrown 0 interceptions with just 4 turnover-worthy plays on his 300+ pass attempts this year. With over 2,500 yards and 22 passing touchdowns, Fagnano has been the best quarterback in the country that no one is talking about, especially of late — throwing for 15 total touchdowns over his last 4 games.
This is going to be a massively hyped-up spot for UConn, which has already secured bowl eligibility and is now playing with house money. With a strong passing attack, look for the Huskies to at least stay within the number against a Duke team that struggles with defensive efficiency and could be looking ahead to its remaining ACC schedule.
Click here to add us to your Google preferred sources and never miss a story
