The NFL season has a trio of games on the docket on Christmas Day, and we have a fascinating NFC East matchup on Thursday Night Football, as the Dallas Cowboys are set to take on the reeling Washington Commanders at Northwest Stadium. Will the Cowboys break out of their slump against a division rival, or will the Commanders get back on track at home and spring the upset? Let’s get into our Cowboys vs Commanders Same Game Parlay picks for TNF, with the matchup getting underway at 1:00 pm ET. You can also find out our expert NFL picks for all of the Week 17 action.
Cowboys -7 (-110)
Under 50.5 (-105)
Javonte Williams (DAL) anytime touchdown scorer (-175)
Cowboys vs Commanders Same Game Parlay odds: +450
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that you can have legs that can correlate with each other if you so choose. In this case, Javonte Williams scoring correlates nicely with a Cowboys victory by margin. Let’s break down each leg.
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Dallas Cowboys -7 over Washington Commanders (-110)
For the first leg of our Cowboys vs Commanders Same Game Parlay, we’re going to be backing the visitors by laying the points. Each of these teams has struggled for consistency on a week-to-week basis, as the Dallas defense has proven to be a massive weakness, while the Commanders have struggled on both sides of the ball due to injuries and poor play. However, even though it’s hard to trust the Cowboys on the road, the Commanders are clearly handicapped with third-string quarterback Josh Johnson at the controls of an offense that is already struggling. On the other side, the Cowboys offense is one of the better units in the NFC, and Dallas should see plenty of success against this porous Washington pass defense.
Find out NFL pro bettor Chris Farley’s Cowboys vs Commanders predictions
Under 50.5 (-105)
This is an instance where I’m bullish on a lower-scoring game than what the market is projecting, and it all starts with Washington’s situation on offense. Even though the Cowboys defense has struggled, the secondary is catching a major break by facing a Commanders passing attack that likely won’t have much juice with Johnson under center. Conversely, the Cowboys offense is still potent, but Dallas has leaned on its ground attack moreso in recent weeks compared what we saw earlier in the season. This number is just under the key of 51, but we’ll rely on Dallas to sit on the ball late in the game and grind this game out on the road.
Javonte Williams anytime touchdown scorer (-175)
The Dallas run game has been a lot better than what most were expecting heading into this season, and Javonte Williams has found himself within this Cowboys offense. The lead running back has racked up 10 touchdowns on the season, and his previous matchup against the Commanders could certainly be instructive for how Thursday’s meeting could shake out. Williams tallied 19 carries for 116 yards and a touchdown in the first meeting back on October 19, and it would be hard to see Williams not getting at least a handful of carries around the goal line in this one.
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