The primetime game on Christmas features the Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs in an AFC West showdown that has surprisingly lost some luster. When the season began, you had to figure that this Week 17 matchup would have division-title ramifications. Instead, Kansas City has already been eliminated from playoff contention. It is a big one for the Broncos, however, as they are trying to clinch the AFC West and the #1 seed in the conference.
I have been cashing Same Game Parlays left and right throughout the 2025 season, including 2 of my 4 efforts during Week 16 (+650 in Packers vs Bears and +600 in 49ers vs Colts). Let’s keep the momentum rolling with my SGP for this 8:15 pm ET kickoff. Also be sure to check out our full Broncos vs Chiefs predictions.
Broncos -12.5 (-120)
Courtland Sutton to score a touchdown (+140)
Troy Franklin to record 50+ receiving yards (+220)
Broncos vs. Chiefs Same Game Parlay odds: +895
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is the entire plan here, as Denver wide receiver Courtland Sutton scoring a touchdown and fellow WR Troy Franklin racking up his fair share of yards would obviously work well with a win and cover by the Broncos. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
Denver Broncos -12.5 over Kansas City Chiefs (-120)
These 2 division rivals squared off in Week 11, which is when the Chiefs’ 2025 campaign came to an end for all intents and purposes. Patrick Mahomes and company suffered a 22-19 loss, dropping to 5-5 as Denver improved to 9-2. Improbably, things have actually managed to get worse for Kansas City since that result. Head coach Andy Reid’s team is mathematically eliminated at 6-9 and Mahomes is out for the year with a torn ACL. In fact, backup quarterback Gardner Minshew also tore an ACL – leaving Chris Oladokun (who?!?!) to run the offense. You can hardly blame the Chiefs for waving the white flag, which was apparent during last Sunday’s 26-9 blowout loss at the hands of the lowly Titans. The Broncos, on the other hand, won 11 games in a row before falling to Jacksonville this past week. With a lot at stake and a loss in the rearview mirror, you know Denver is going to come out with fire on Christmas Day. This should be a complete beatdown.
Courtland Sutton to score a touchdown (+140)
Sutton is coming down the stretch of a stellar season with 69 receptions for 972 yards and 7 touchdowns. The SMU product has found the endzone in 3 of the past 4 games. During this stretch, he has gained at least 62 yards on every occasion, including performances of 113 and 86 yards the past 2 weeks. There is no reason to think that Sutton will slow down against the Chiefs, whom Nix torched for 295 yards on 24-of-37 passing in the previous head-to-head matchup.
Troy Franklin to record 50+ receiving yards (+220)
Franklin enjoyed a big outing against Kansas City in Week 11, leading his team in receiving with 4 catches on 8 targets for 84 yards. The former Oregon standout has been productive of late, too, with 85 and 66 yards over the past 2 weeks. He now faces a Chiefs defense that is surrendering 7.2 yards per pass attempt – 10th most in the NFL. With Pat Bryant likely out following the scary concussion he sustained last weekend, both Franklin and Sutton will have to shoulder even more of the pass-catching load on Thursday.
Click here to add us to your Google preferred sources and never miss a story
