F1 2022 Dutch Grand Prix odds, picks and betting predictions: Verstappen prevails in his home race

Max Verstappen drives for Red Bull Racing
Photo of Matt Selz

Matt Selz

F1 · 3 weeks ago

Show Bio

NASCAR handicapper for Pickswise, looking to give you winners throughout the season!

Zandvoort, the storied seaside track in the Netherlands, is the host venue once more for the Dutch Grand Prix. Following a wild Belgian GP last weekend, are we in store for my chaos this weekend? It can’t be any more chaotic than the McLaren-Alpine-Oscar-Piastri situation which just got settled, so perhaps that’s a sign of clean racing to come.

Let’s take a look at the track for this weekend’s race.

Zandvoort track layout & betting strategies

This 14-turn track has a very tight racing line over its just-over-two-mile distance. Not only is it a tight racing line, it’s also a terrain driven layout. Built on sand dunes, it has quite a bit of undulation over the course of each lap. That, combined with the corners means that high-downforce setups will excel here, like some other tracks earlier this year like Hungary and Azerbaijan. The downside of this track is that it can be tough for overtaking like Monaco and also Azerbaijan even with the banking in place in turn 3 and 13 and 14.

F1 Dutch Grand Prix outright winners

Best bet: Max Verstappen (+100)

He’s won the last two races this year and nine overall on the year. He’s not looked the best in practice so far this weekend but it is his home race. We’ve also got the fact that we can trust Red Bull to figure out setups and strategy come Sunday. It’s too hard not to include Verstappen at this point at positive odds. 

Lewis Hamilton (+650)

This might be the weekend for Mercedes to log a win in 2022. Hamilton has been fast this weekend so far and the high-downforce setups have been the best for Mercedes this year. While it’s been considered a lost season for Mercedes, it doesn’t mean that the Seven-time world champ can’t snag a win at a track he’s been good at historically with car that’s been fast this weekend. You could also throw a bet on George Russell (+1100) since he’s finished top-5 in all but one race this year.

Carlos Sainz (+700)

The main question with this bet is do we trust Ferrari? Sainz has the speed this weekend to be a threat and has out-qualified Leclerc in 4-of-the-last-6 races. So if he starts in front of Leclerc and has been more consistently fast than Leclerc this weekend and there’s no team orders for Ferrari, why not bet Sainz? Again this all comes down to trusting Ferrari with strategy.

Lando Norris (+8000)

The news has been great for McLaren so far this weekend with the winning of the Oscar Piastri contract dispute. It could be better though. Norris could win. He has the speed having run P4 at both FP1 and FP2 and the high-downforce package has been good for McLaren. Remember back to mid-season when McLaren started to show signs of life and put up good finishes? Those were high-downforce tracks…just like Zandvoort. These are long odds, especially for F1 but one long shot already won this year at Monaco, a track like Zandvoort in terms of tight racing lines.

Best prop bets for Dutch Grand Prix

Mercedes double podium finish (+450)

It’s been a good run of results for Mercedes over the last several races. That run should continue here this weekend. The Silver Arrows have been good as a team on tracks in the high-downforce setups, like Zandvoort. They also showed good speed here early in the weekend as well. The only reason that they aren’t starting higher than P4 and P6 is due to a safety car that cost them the end of their respective flying laps. With Red Bull having tire wear concerns and Ferrari having their typical concerns about strategy and actual pace, there’s an opening here for Mercedes to both finish top-three.

Favorite: Alpine double top-10 finish (+150)

Just like Mercedes, were talking about a team with more practice speed and race pace than qualifying showed. They, the Alpine duo of Esteban Ocon and Fernando Alonso, qualified P12 and P13 respectively. Both ran inside the top-10 much of all three practices. With Pierre Gasly, Yuki Tsunoda, and Mick Schumacher all starting ahead of Ocon and Alonso, there are spots for the taking to help this duo hit this prop. Not to mention that they’ve combined for 22 top-10 finishes this year out of a possible 28. The odds are in our favor for a good return.

Exactly 17 classified finishers (+275)

There have been a few races already on tight, narrow, tracks like Zandvoort. Each time they’ve raced at this style of track there have been a few drivers each time to not be classified. How many? Well, at Miami, Monaco, Canada, and Austria there were exactly 17 classified finishers. At Azerbaijan, another similar track, there were 16. Getting nearly 3-to-1 odds on a number of classified finishers that’s already happened four times this year is a nice return to be sure.

Our expert F1 handicappers provide race analysis, betting advice and F1 Predictions on every race. Check out our latest F1 Picks today!

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook


Get a $1,000 No Sweat First Bet

Sign up for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account and make your first deposit of $10+

Place your first bet up to $1,000!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

Must be 21+. First online real money wager only. $10 first deposit required. Bonus issued as non-withdrawable free bets that expire 14 days after receipt. See full terms at fanduel.com/sportsbook.



Bet $5+ on any NFL Pre-Game ML, Get $200 If Your Bet Wins

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any NFL pre-game ML

Win $200 if your team wins

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.



Get a $100 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $100 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $100

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.



Get 4x $200 In Free Bets

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Bet up to $200 and If you lose, you get a refund

You will receive Free Bet(s) in the amount of the losing wager(s), up to $200 each for four days.

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook


Get a $1,250 risk-free bet

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Place your first bet of $10 or more

If your first bet loses, you’ll receive a refund up to $1,250 from Caesars in free bets

21+. Terms and conditions apply.



Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get Your First Bet Risk-Free Up To $500

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make your first deposit & get up to $500 in free bets

To get $500 in free bets, wager $500

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF



Bet $5+ on MLB and get $100 in Free Bets Instantly!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5+ on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $100 no matter what!

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.



Get 5x $100 in Free Bets With PointsBet's Second Chance

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.



Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.



Get $2,000 in Free Bets

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Monkey Knife Fight


Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS


Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.



Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.



Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.